Good morning Weather2020 bloggers,
The weather pattern continues to evolve and set up for the season. Kansas City has passed it’s average first freeze date by a week now and there is not one in sight at the moment. Two cold fronts will move through this week, one tonight, and a stronger one around Thursday, and temperatures may drop into the 30s by Saturday morning, but a freeze is unlikely. Here is the flow aloft forecast for Thursday night:
There will be a trough swinging east in to eastern Canada by Thursday night, but the jet stream is still far to the north and the cooler air mass will likely not be strong enough to bring freezing conditions as far south as KC. Here is the surface forecast for Halloween night:
This map, above, shows the forecast at the surface for Halloween night. That is a band of snow moving across Lake Eerie and Lake Superior behind a cold front, and associated with that upper level trough swinging east across eastern Canada. A storm will also be moving into the west coast, and the overall flow continues to move from west to east and Pacific air is dominating the pattern for now.
Within ten days the jet stream will be shifting a bit south as you can see below:
The pattern is still showing what it’s potential is for the winter and we will be discussing this a lot more in the coming weeks. For now, it is a warm and wet pattern that we have just experienced during the month of October.
Have a great day. The weather looks great for games six and seven (if necessary) of the World Series. Go Royals!