Good morning Weather2020 bloggers,
The weather pattern continues to cycle at close to 57 days, give or take a few days. The cycle has most often been in the 56 to 58 day range since it set up last fall. According to Lezak’s Recurring Cycle (LRC) a unique weather pattern sets up early in the fall. The weather pattern is always cycling, and regularly. This year’s cycle length evolved during the late summer into early fall as well, and we are now in the fourth LRC cycle. Our knowledge of this new weather technology, the LRC, allows our team to make accurate weather forecasts both short and long range.
In late January one of the few Polar Vortex’s had developed just north of the Great Lakes as you can see on the map above. The same weather pattern is not going to produce a Polar Vortex when we move through spring into summer, but the pattern will still be quite similar and right on schedule. Take a look at this next map exactly 57 days later on March 24th, just three days ago:
Just compare these two maps and what we believe you will see, with this complex LRC puzzle, is the early spring version of the mid-winter part of the cycling pattern. This is just a snapshot in time. It is the entire weather pattern that is cycling and regularly. We “know” when the most likely times for winter storms are going to strike a region, and when a severe weather outbreak has a strong likelihood of happening. We have made these accurate weather predictions 50 t0 200 days before the weather pattern actually sets up. Next week is one of the storm systems we targeted for severe weather, so we actually made a severe weather outlook over 100 days before this potential event next week. And, there is a smaller system moving out into the plains today.
For more on today’s severe weather set-up go to the Action Weather Blog at KSHB.com. Have a great day! And, we will look farther ahead soon, or you can download the Weather2020 app to see the long range severe weather precisioncasts.