Florence Rainfall & The Last Days of Summer

/Florence Rainfall & The Last Days of Summer

Florence Rainfall & The Last Days of Summer

Good Sunday bloggers,

Florence is still moving slowly west across South Carolina. Since the heaviest rain bands have been northeast of the center, this has put southeast North Carolina in the middle of the insane rain. How much has occurred?

You can see from the radar estimated totals that southeast North Carolina is clearly the location that had the heaviest rain. There are three bands where the rain was and is out of control.


Those bands have seen 25″ to 40″ of rain. It will keep raining through Monday in these locations, but not quite as heavy or widespread, as Florence accelerates and moves away.


Fall begins next Saturday at 8:45 PM and so let’s go day by day for the rest of summer. In stark contrast to the Carolinas, we need rain.

Monday-Wednesday we will have the chance for a few showers and T-Storms as we sit on the northern edge of tropical moisture.


MONDAY: Florence will be heading towards New England, affecting Pittsburgh, PA. It will not arrive until the Chiefs leave, hopefully on a victory flight. We will be hot and humid with a slight chance for a few showers and T-Storms.


TUESDAY: We remain hot and humid with highs around 90°.  Again, a few T-Storms will be possible while the organized rain occurs across Nebraska and Iowa along a front. This front will not make it here as it will be stalling and lifting north as a warm front.


WEDNESDAY: The main rain and T-Storms will be located from Nebraska, Iowa to the Dakotas, Minnesota and Wisconsin along the warm front. We will remain hot and humid (Highs around 90°) with an increasing south breeze. A few T-Storms are again possible.


THURSDAY: It will be another hot and humid day with a brisk south wind. A cold front will arrive at night and this is our next chance for organized rain and T-Storms. Highs again will be around 90°.


FRIDAY: The cold front will head south and our winds will turn to the northeast. This will take highs down to the 70s, just in time for fall beginning at 8:45 PM Saturday. Notice, that the front may stall and begin to return north as a warm front. A system may also be coming in from the southwest. This system may be part of the remnants of a Pacific tropical system. These features will bring more rain chances next week. The details are not set yet.


The bottom line: If you like summer weather, enjoy the next five days. If you need to fertilize, wait until the end of the week. If you have grass seed out, get the sprinkler out and hope for free water in a week.

Have a great week.

Jeff Penner

2018-09-18T07:35:22+00:00September 16th, 2018|General|11 Comments


  1. Richard September 16, 2018 at 9:44 am - Reply

    Last week…. I thought “there he goes again” when MT was calling for three 90 degree days this coming week.
    While kshb did not have any 90’s showing up in their long ranger. I was sure MT was wrong again. Guess not.

    Jeff, will this be the last hurrah for 90 degree days ? I hope so !!

    • Heat Miser September 16, 2018 at 2:30 pm - Reply

      who is MT

      • Richard September 16, 2018 at 2:46 pm - Reply

        JLs sidekick ! 😁

  2. Snow Miser September 16, 2018 at 11:27 am - Reply

    100 days until Christmas!!!!!!

    • Johnny September 16, 2018 at 2:25 pm - Reply


      • Snow Miser September 16, 2018 at 4:03 pm - Reply

        Bah humbug!

  3. f00dl3 September 16, 2018 at 1:49 pm - Reply

    Yup same pattern we have been in. Hot and dry.

    Realistically I don’t even see us having multi-day stretches of lows in the 40s until we get into the new LRC maybe half-way through October?

  4. Richard September 16, 2018 at 2:19 pm - Reply

    We’re not gonna keep them from scoring
    Different Q but same D

    • Richard September 16, 2018 at 2:48 pm - Reply

      I take it back ! I take it back !
      Ok, no more foo-ball talk

  5. Tony September 16, 2018 at 4:16 pm - Reply

    Thanks richard

  6. Nick September 16, 2018 at 9:12 pm - Reply

    Had a good time in Toronto this past week( 7th through the 14th)weather was a nice break from the Missouri warmth and humidity, last Sunday and Monday were a bit cool even with a stiff wind and rain during last monday up there( Gordons remains). On sunday during a trip to the Toronto islands there was a strong east wind with a convergence band of cumuloform clouds that were producing tiny funnel clouds in a training line which was cool to see forming over the lake( Ontario) my first time actually seeing well formed funnel clouds. Well now just a few more weeks and this old LRC will be history. 😀

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