Drier Days and Active Tropics

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Good Saturday bloggers,

We have had rain in the area since Labor Day and some locations still got very little rain.  Here is a look at radar estimated rainfall totals since Labor day around the region. Your rain gauge may read different as these are not only radar estimates, but we have picked one point here and there.

When we look at the wide view you can see all locations saw rain since Labor day, but you will see some rather low amounts near by. Very heavy rain and thunderstorms occurred on Labor day from southwest Kansas to southern Iowa and northern Illinois where amounts were 3″ to 8″. 10″ of rain occurred just northwest of Manhattan, KS creating serious flooding.

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When we look a little closer, look around Lexington, MO where amounts since Labor day were around 0.20″! The northwest corner of Missouri saw 4″-5″ of rain and most of that was early in the week.

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The big rain winner in the Kansas City area was Johnson county where rainfall amounts were in the 2″ to 3″ range. The rest of the KC area saw .50″ to 1″ in five days. That is not that much.

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There were two bands of very heavy rain south of KC. One band extended from Paola to Garnett to Iola in Kansas. There was flooding around Garnett as amounts in this band reached 3″ to 6″.

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The second band was located from around Sedalia to Clinton in Missouri where amounts were in the 3″ to 6″ range. It was still raining in this location Saturday morning.

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What is next? We are in for dry and warmer weather the next several days.

SATURDAY AFTERNOON: Any showers and drizzle will be over as the storm system shifts to the east. Highs will be in the 60s and the clearing line will be getting into northern Missouri.

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SUNDAY MORNING: Lows will be in the low 50s where the sky clears and mid to upper 50s where it is cloudy. The bottom line it will be a comfortable start.

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SUNDAY AFTERNOON: The weather will be very nice with highs ranging from around 70° where there are more clouds to around 75° where there is more sun.

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NEXT WEEK: It will be dry with a warming trend to highs in the 80s and lows in the 60s. The humidity will return by the end of the week. So, if you missed the summer weather, it is on its way back.

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TROPICAL UPDATE: The weather across the USA  will be mostly calm next week, but the tropics will be crazy. We will be tracking 4 tropical systems. The two farther east will likely not be a factor in the USA. The one approaching the Caribbean Sea Wednesday may be a factor in the Gulf of Mexico around the 20th. The one of more immediate concern is Florence.

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Florence will likely be a major hurricane on Wednesday as it is several hundred miles east of the Carolinas. It will be moving west and the end of next week Florence will be a factor on the southeast coast. Now, will it make landfall? Stay offshore and do loop de loops?  Something we will be keeping an eye on (no pun intended).

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Have a great weekend.

Jeff Penner

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Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Weather was amazing at Arrowhead tonight. Definitely felt like fall.

MMike
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MMike

DaveC,

1-3 inches has happened several times in the last 5-6 weeks. Just because every single back yard didn’t get the forecasted amounts each event, doesn’t mean it didn’t happen. There are always areas that get less.. happens every storm.

Johnson county had 2-3 inches of rain yesterday.

DaveC
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DaveC

I dunno.. maybe lets stop forecasting rains in advance of 2-3 days with forecast of 1 to 3″.. History/LRC states it will not happen in the KC Metro area. Instead we get excited of the prospect of rains and with 1-3 inches we end up with .30 and disappointed. I honestly wish I could just turn off paying attention to any weather forecast. I might be happier in the lang haul! lol

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Measured just under a inch here in Prairie Village – ground is pretty soaked / wet.

Nate
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Nate

Just enough to keep me mowing

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

It almost feels like I’ll need to turn my heat on tonight.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

I tried out the heat in my new car this morning…just for a minute…first time its felt cool enough to do that since I bought it in May

Richard
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Richard

Not yet 😁 Hold off
Going to be near 90 by weeks end
I saw on fb that 5 yrs ago today it was 98 at noon !

KirksvilleDave
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KirksvilleDave

1.78” in Kirksville so far this month.

NoBeachHere
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NoBeachHere

Hurricanes can go as far north as warm water allows them to be tropical in nature, from there, they become extra tropical.

As long as the blocking remains in position, Florence will impact and possibly landfall the Carolinas up to NYC. It kind of depends on the front Gary referred to a few days ago and that blocking high way north of it. I am an Arm chair meteorologist though.

MMike
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MMike

Drought: dead grass, dead trees, warm and windy day after day, no rain for weeks

Not a drought: grass along the highway 3 feet tall, the landscape emerald green across the region, flash flood warnings, flood advisories, rain day after day, rivers flooding…

Yet, the talk on here day after day is how bad the drought is. Geez!!!

I guess we’ll call it what it is…a green and wet drought.

Richard
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Richard

How often do hurricanes go as far north as D.C. ?
Was Sandy a hurricane by the time it hit NY.
Seems Atlantic waters that far north are not as warm to sustain a hurricane.
Or was something else in play there

Blue Flash
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Blue Flash

Richard, here’s a good article on that. Basically a once in 100 year event that they get hurricane force winds.

https://patch.com/district-columbia/washingtondc/will-hurricane-florence-hit-dc

DanT
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DanT

Will be interesting to see the updated drought monitor. Guessing the KC area will be on a drought island.