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Good Wednesday bloggers,

The weather forecast through Monday is not too difficult. Partly to mostly sunny, highs around 90, lows 65-70 with one slight chance of rain. The one chance is Friday as a weak cold front drifts south.

The forecast for next Tuesday-Thursday is a bit more interesting as we will track two features. The first one is a weird system forming in the southwest Plains and the second is a cold front with a system coming in from the northwest.

Today we had a very weak disturbance drift south and it generated some very small, pulsing downpours in eastern Kansas. They are drifting south and may last until 10 PM. These may be the world’s smallest thunderstorms.

Blog3

The next chance for a few thunderstorms is on Friday as a weak cold front drifts south. I may have been generous in calling this a cold front.  It is more likely a surface trough as there is really no temperature change behind this alleged front.

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The feature that has a chance to bring us our next chance of at least scattered showers and thunderstorms is a weird upper low forming in the southwest Plains over the weekend. This data is from the 18Z NAM, and as I am writing this blog, the 18Z GFS is showing this feature develop over the weekend. Next Tuesday-Thursday we will see this low head northeast bringing an increased chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms. If it wanted to, it could be a widespread rain event. But, we know better. The only way we go for a widespread event is if we see evidence of it forming the day of the chance of rain. This is still the same ridiculous weather pattern.

Blog 1 FINAL

Have a great night and we will see how the new data trends with this next, weird system.

Jeff Penner

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NateRichardHeat MiserMr. Peteterry Recent comment authors
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Nate
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Nate

Hoping for a big nasty 45 minute storm to wash all of this algae out of my pond

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

hmmm..no blog today?

Thanks in part to a developing El Niño, federal forecasters said a “below-normal” Atlantic hurricane season is most likely, in an updated prediction released Thursday.

Richard
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Richard

See……Heat is always the one going “hmmm…no blog today?”

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

We had a heavy rain shower here in Prairie Village. Picked up about a tenth of a inch real quick.

terry
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terry

Very heavy rain over KCK

Farmgirl
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Farmgirl

Playing the rain shower lottery. Hedging a bet that the little, lonely cell in southern Miami county might pass over my farm.

Tim
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Tim

I’m near Raymore and hearing thunder, but nothing on radar?

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

The radar I’m seeing is lighting up?
Nice cell just north of Raymore, headed south slowly. It’s the storm lottery today, totally random and you need some luck

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

If this line of storms was just 10 miles to the north a decent chunk of the metro could get some rain.

NoBeachHere
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NoBeachHere

Looking south and west,
Seems to be decent clouds
Developing. I hope they get some body a nice drink if they can form into something.

f00dl3
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f00dl3

Extreme drought now expanding.

Richard
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Richard

What about Geoengineering and chemtrails affecting the weather. Thoughts ?
Is it propaganda, conspiracy theories ?

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Chemtrails….were do I begin. Bogus nonsense, so many different ways its concocted BS. While cloud seeding is possible, they have had very little luck getting it to work on any large scale. I think they were able to generate a small shower. A jet contrail is just condensed jet vapor, it’s easily explained but so many won’t accept that the most logical answer is the actual truth more often than not.

LYITC41
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LYITC41

As I said on here quite awhile back there is a BS conspiracy theory out there for everyone, if you’re bored with your life just pick one and run with it. It has always amazed me how people like Alex Jones and the joke he runs do so well, there must be a lot of really bored people out there. Then there’s this Qanon thing, hard to believe how many desperately stupid people there are but they’re entitled to believe anything they want as long as they’re not hurting anyone else.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

The thing is, this “Q” thing has a potential to hurt people, Alot of people. It’s a malicious conspiracy designed to further the divide amongst us. I thought only idiots would believe it, but I was mistaken. I know a few fairly intelligent people that are bought in. Many don’t fully understand the depth of the Q conspiracy either, it’s taking conservative circles by storm. And the moderate conservatives are too scared to tell the Q followers they are batshit crazy, but they fall into line when push comes to shove. Only matter of time before DT tweets about Q… Read more »

LYITC41
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LYITC41

Hope you get one or more!

Nate
Guest
Nate

I’m sort of a right wing reactionary and never heard of the Q Conspiracy, I had to google it. That’s limited to that Reddit crowd, the same ones going bonkers about the Pedophile conspiracy….not connected to conservationism at all unless you connect Antifa with the Democratic Party

Richard
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Richard

I do not fall into those theories at all. Bogus BS imo. I was just asking what others think. I briefly heard a bit of a radio show last night. Quickly turned him off. It was Ground Zero the guy is Clyde Lewis. Total conspiracy theorist !! Talking about geoengineering on the east coast, AND he firmly believes the wildfires in CA are purposely caused by it. “The fires are burning too hot to be natural….” said metal on cars are melting and the fires world wide, etc, all from geoengineering, government, military lasers !! Thats when I bolted !… Read more »

LYITC41
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LYITC41

Regarding yesterdays discussion about wind farms, the man is entitled to his opinion and anyone that wants to believe that theory is entitled to that as well. Nothing I say is going to dispossess him of his belief in that theory and that’s fine too, There is such a thing as bad science and all the posted articles, papers etc. do not make this a viable theory. The wind farms are here to stay and even if they did affect the (very local) wx the effect would be negligible and not enough to cause their discontinuation. No apologies forthcoming from… Read more »

Nate
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Nate

I like Jeff’s writeups

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Thanks Jeff, great blog. I love your cynical approach to this pattern, it really is that easy to know it won’t be a widespread heavy rain when you know the LRC. I have that same sense when I see these chances show up, I just try to temper my expectations