Another One of those Events

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Good Monday bloggers,

Well, here we go again and again and again and again. This next rain event for tonight and Tuesday is turning into a scattered event and the trend is toward less rain as we get closer to it. Sound familiar?

Here is our latest thinking.

A cold front is drifting south across the Plains and it is a decent front. But, it will become more ill-defined as it heads south which means our rain will be more disorganized. At least we will cool off  Tuesday into Wednesday.

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Here are the disturbances we are tracking as of 4 PM Monday. They will move east into our region later tonight and move out Tuesday morning. These hold our best rain chances for the next 7 days.

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TONIGHT AT MIDNIGHT: You can see the heaviest showers and T-Storms are located in southern Iowa. The I-70 corridor has just a few yellow spots, meaning not many heavy rain areas. South of I-70, there is barely any rain.

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TUESDAY: The showers and T-Storms will exit during the morning, leaving a few showers behind during the afternoon. Highs will reach the low to mid 80s as the sun begins to peek out.

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RAINFALL FORECAST: This is a JOKE! Rainfall amounts will be trace to 1″ with the least south of I-70. As it stands now, the heaviest rain looks to occur from southern Iowa to northern Indiana where they are not in drought conditions. It would be nice to shift this thing south by 100-200 miles. It could happen at the last minute, but unlikely. If it does, we will update the blog. We will know later this evening if this could happen.

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A few showers and T-Storms may pop up Wednesday as a second system moves by, but overall we are looking dry into early next week after Tuesday.

Tomorrow is election day, remember to vote.

Have a great night.

Jeff Penner

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j-oxREAL HUMEDUDEJasonKS JonesMr. Pete Recent comment authors
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j-ox
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j-ox

0.7″ in NW Lawrence. Most since June 20th’s 1.6″ rain.

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

We got about .5″ this morning. Missed a heavy cell yesterday afternoon to the east and another to our south. Take what I can get, helping to keep pastures alive which is a major issue now.

Jason
Guest
Jason

About 1″ just south of Lawrence. Most I’ve had in many months. Majority of the last events left me with a trace to .20″

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

Got 0.56″ (midway between Manhattan & Marysville). It came with a light north breeze from midnight to 3 AM, so the soil soaked it up well. We are now 3.96″ below year-to-date average.
WeatherUnderground predicts we’ll get 0.77″ from August 14th through 16th.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Got the standard 3/4 inch here in Prairie Village – just enough to keep things green and growing.

Nick
Guest
Nick

Wow last night was pretty insane in north St. Joe, first we had the storms with the wind( thankfully we didn’t lose power with that and just had one branch down(small), but the gust front was cool looking, then later at night, we got pounded by west-east training cells that, DUMPED on us and then at about 2am, there was a bright flash of lightning, with a boom and the lights were out for an hour. I havn’t seen a rainstorm like that in a loong time. 😀

Dwight
Guest

But have we turned the corner for wetter and cooler weather for fall? It seems in the past, that change comes in mid to late August.

brad
Guest
brad

i am thinking early winter

Dwight
Guest

So it didn’t seem scattered at all. The radar loop over night and this morning looked pretty impressive. Precipitation totals of 2 inches in some areas.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Weather station closest to me has .54 inches total yesterday and today.

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

just under 2 inches last night and this morning over several rounds, lost power with the initial push or wind from the gust front and first storm was out from about 8:30 to almost 2:00 am; not sure why I wake up less than a minute before the power came on. That happened the last time to. Looks like north St. Joseph got 3 – 5 inches of rain. Very much needed, now if we could get this on a weekly basis region wide to knock back the drought.

Bill
Guest
Bill

Finally a good soaking from north to south. STJ looks like they got slammed so Kurt hope you got at least an inch!

Drought far from over but this is a nice change. Except people forgot how to drive in the rain….

hoopsA1
Guest
hoopsA1

glad to see that we finally got our first widespread rains this year! this just goes to show that even models cant predict what will happen just a few hours before the event!

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

0.6″ here in Independence. Not complaining! Looks like there were widespread, substantial rains over North Central Missouri.

Skylar
Guest
Skylar

The latest GFS shows Arizona as the wettest state in the country over the next 2 weeks…

Alex Pickman
Guest
Alex Pickman

Only got a little over An inch of rain at my house in Stewartsville MO, but St Joe finally got some decent rain

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

Happy Tuesday everyone!!

Around half an inch just SW Lawrence between Clinton and Lone Star Lake. Biggest single rain event at my location since June 2nd. It has been amazing, beautiful, awesome, fantastic…..what other adjectives can I use….better check out School House Rock!!!

Have a wonderful day everyone…

Bill in Washington Creek Valley in Lawrence

LYITC41
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LYITC41

Good to see points north getting some rain they really need. Nice showers for the city too.

Brian
Guest
Brian

Watching the radar it looks like the KC Metro will end up with lighter totals. This is an OK scenario as long as the rural areas get the much needed rain. Those in the concrete jungle can make their own rain to keep the grass green.

MattinLeavenworth
Guest
MattinLeavenworth

Not really Jordan. It’s about to hit the entire metro

Jordan
Guest
Jordan

First time all summer the line didn’t divide and half of it dive south. It really looked like it was going to again.

Jordan
Guest
Jordan

I’ve been waiting for the split to form on radar, and it just did, like it always has this summer, out near Salina. Shaping up to be another whiff on a precip forecast.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

I’m getting a veritable drought-buster here SE of the stadiums.

I decided to water a bunch of stuff in my yard tonight, I figured that would make it rain. I was right!

Fred Nolan
Guest
Fred Nolan

ok i’m just going to say it. If i get banned so be it.
This fucking weather pattern sucks bigtime. How can we continue to get missed like this. Front after front headed right towards the metro and it just blows its wad right before it gets here.
Sorry but i am just sick of this. There has to be some kind of explanation as to why this keeps reoccurring. And the answer is not, we just arent in the right spot!

Nate
Guest
Nate

Military / CIA Weather Manipulation Testing

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

cuckoo cuckoo

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

I’m in the metro and did not get missed.

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

I’m not getting missed…raining right now in lawrence

Hockeynut69
Guest
Hockeynut69

Simply unbelievable. 0.0” once again. Literally had a storm to the west, north, south, and then east of my house. Have been holding off on sod at the new house due to drought. This pattern sucks. Hopefully by September when sod goes in, it will rain. I have to stop watching the radar. It is too depressing.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

It’s raining in Prairie Village. Wow it’s been a while!!!!

Nick
Guest
Nick

St. Joe got one again, lol, had a nice gust front, lots of downburst winds and even a period of heavy rain for our storm of the month. 😛 so at least we were the lucky ones this time.

Weatherby Tom
Guest
Weatherby Tom

Rain delay at Kauffman. Looks like a nice little cell, hope more of that continues overnight

Nate
Guest
Nate

Totally off topic, but are “rural” areas becoming more dangerous? I was thinking of moving from Lees Summit to somewhere a little more open and Lees Summit seems to be having a rapid change in demographics (for the worse), time to move on but was thinking of Southern Johnson County or Miami County. I’m a city boy, don’t know if I could handle a winter out there all alone, well I have my bird dogs.

WeathermanKumke
Guest
WeathermanKumke

Nothing is wrong with the demographics of Lee’s summit

Nate
Guest
Nate

That could very well be but I’m seeing otherwise and I’m by far not the only one who has noticed and no, I not only referring to blacks (although that’s blatantly noticeable), in fact most of my concern is white trash.

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

Check the stats for MIP (most in population) vs non-MIP
http://www.kansas.gov/kbi/stats/docs/pdf/2016%20Crime%20Index.pdf
KBI 2016 Crime Index

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

👎

Ben
Guest
Ben

And the rich get richer. Farmers in Iowa don’t know how easy they’ve got it. They wouldn’t make it two years down here.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

👎

JoeK
Guest
JoeK

Jeff,

Thank Goodness, that was a close call! You prevented a meltdown today by taking the time to write a blog. All joking aside, have you performed an analysis on the dust/sand storm coming out of the Sahara that is disrupting the weather in the Atlantic? It is amazing how much events such as this can impact the weather on a global scale. Looking more likely that it will change the cycle/pattern enough to throw everything off in the tropics.

Richard
Guest
Richard

KC
Where rain comes to die.

Severe storms in CO Springs / Manitou
Baseball size hail causes damage and injured 200 people at the zoo in the Springs.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

POOF!

Fred Nolan
Guest
Fred Nolan

Ugh. This pattern absolutely stinks right now. Hoping for the best but realizing we aren’t going to get much again.
It’s gonna be hot, it’s gonna be dry, and it’s gonna last you for the rest of your life.