Severe Thunderstorm Watch

/Severe Thunderstorm Watch

Severe Thunderstorm Watch

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Good afternoon bloggers,

An outflow boundary is stalling near KC and severe thunderstorms are forming just east of the boundary, and a disturbance is moving our way from the west:

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This is the disturbance we are tracking. Large hail and damaging winds are the main risks. Let us know what you experience.

Gary

2018-07-20T11:46:00+00:00July 19th, 2018|General|45 Comments

45 Comments

  1. f00dl3 July 19, 2018 at 2:43 pm - Reply

    And to think they just put parts of the metro in D3 / Extreme Drought.

    • Jordan July 19, 2018 at 3:35 pm - Reply

      All we’ve gotten in my part of Wyandotte this past week is less than .1″.

  2. hoopsA1 July 19, 2018 at 2:49 pm - Reply

    i just hope that disturbance out west explodes with all this heat and instability between topeka and the metro

  3. Anonymous July 19, 2018 at 3:09 pm - Reply

    I think that extreme drought will grow and expand up north with this pattern. Not enough organization to make a widespread impact and most areas up north are running 50% of normal YTD

  4. Kurt July 19, 2018 at 3:10 pm - Reply

    I see the extreme drought up north expanding, with areas at 40 to 50% of normal YTD and the huge deficits over the last 18 months

  5. TDogg July 19, 2018 at 3:14 pm - Reply

    There is now a pronounced outflow from that complex by Topeka.

  6. Tim July 19, 2018 at 3:16 pm - Reply

    I had ping pong size hail in SE Lee’s Summit (Todd George & 50 Hwy.) The hail lasted six minutes. Time to call the insurance company.

  7. Mike July 19, 2018 at 3:19 pm - Reply

    Awesome…another 1″-3″ rain storm for OP KS….my grass will love the rain later

    • Kurt July 19, 2018 at 3:27 pm - Reply

      Again so sad that those that really don’t need it for their yards are benefiting when farmers will most likely need federal assistance. I hope the next LRC can even out the rainfall distribution and start getting us back our subsoil moisture up north.

      • JoeK July 19, 2018 at 8:52 pm - Reply

        Kurt,

        Generally speaking, most farmers insure their crops every year. We have had bumper crops here in Mo for the past 3-5 years so one off year isn’t catastrophic for the majority. Depending on the type of crop insurance purchased, most farmers will be just fine.

  8. Anonymous July 19, 2018 at 3:30 pm - Reply

    Of course it turns south at the last minute.

  9. REAL HUMEDUDE July 19, 2018 at 3:33 pm - Reply

    Starting to make a hard hook to the SE , it’s following that tight theta gradient I suppose?
    Might curve south before hits metro, it saw MJs corn and hit the brakes, turning away. Unbelievable but I think North side of metro won t get a thing. I’m still wondering how all this can find a way to miss north west Vernon Co, it may still find a way to miss me yet too

    • Jordan July 19, 2018 at 3:42 pm - Reply

      Unless something builds along that outflow to the north before it gets here, I’m screwed again. All this is going to do is stabilize the atmosphere and maybe cool us down for a few hours.

      • TDogg July 19, 2018 at 3:59 pm - Reply

        Have you tried washing your car Jordan?

        • Jordan July 19, 2018 at 5:36 pm - Reply

          Haha no, but we did leave a tiller out one night and the carburetor got filled up with water, so we might have to sacrifice it again.

  10. Anonymous July 19, 2018 at 3:37 pm - Reply

    Why was Leavenworth put under a severe thunderstorm warning when the storm is going to completely miss us?

  11. Bsmike July 19, 2018 at 3:37 pm - Reply

    Looking like another miss for most of KC Metro. Sad.

  12. Heat Miser July 19, 2018 at 3:46 pm - Reply

    Pretty wild winds blowing into Lawrence ahead of this severe T-storm (Severe t-storm warning for Douglas County.) It’s blowing all kinds of dried up leaves and crap up into the air.

  13. MikeL July 19, 2018 at 3:47 pm - Reply

    Here in SW Topeka, pretty impressive storm moved through. I’m guessing winds maybe to near 60 mph at my house with brief pea size hail. About .70 inches of rain fell in sheets. Small twigs and leaves down but I don’t see any real damage.

  14. Richard July 19, 2018 at 3:50 pm - Reply

    73 mph winds reported Topeka

    Severe Thunderstorm Warning including Overland Park KS, Kansas City KS, Olathe KS until 4:30 PM CDT

  15. hoopsA1 July 19, 2018 at 3:58 pm - Reply

    its taking a hard dive to the south….sigh

    • REAL HUMEDUDE July 19, 2018 at 4:02 pm - Reply

      So many folks to south and SW of metro are hurting for rain something terrible , they need it too!
      KC has had plenty lately

    • Richard July 19, 2018 at 9:55 pm - Reply

      That hard turn to the south saved the metro counties from high wind damage.
      There was not much rain with it anyway.

  16. Larry July 19, 2018 at 4:03 pm - Reply

    The dome that is shielding NW Lawrence from any chance of rain is working overtime today. I reported to the NWS Topeka an estimated wind gust of 62 mph at my location. The main storm cell is tracking SSE of my location. I took several images of the radar and my GPS location showing the cell changing direction to a more SSE direction and completely missing most of Lawrence with any rain. I expect a trace to 0.05″ at my location.

  17. WeathermanKumke July 19, 2018 at 4:04 pm - Reply

    Big swing and a miss for JoCo and Wyandotte

  18. Bill in Lawrence July 19, 2018 at 4:19 pm - Reply

    Happy Thursday everyone…

    I am still out of town but looking at the radar I am pretty sure this just clipped/missed my area between Lone Star and Clinton Dam…I am guessing it maybe rained for 5 min if that. I have sent a text to somebody to see for sure, but I am guessing that we are still looking at a grand total of .05 over the past 5 weeks…..we are living the drought/dry dream for sure!!! We have also had at least 7 days of temps above 100 so it is really cooking!! The most frustrating thing about all of this is that it is not for lack of opportunities…we have had storms in the area….

    Oh well…such is the life of living in Eastern Kansas…we are going to have droughts and dry periods…doesn’t make them fun or good for anyone but it is a part of life here. I would guess if I stay living here I have at least 10-12 of them left to go.

    Have a great afternoon everyone

    Bill in Washington Creek Valley in Lawrence….a very dry Washington Creek LOL

  19. Hockeynut69 July 19, 2018 at 4:27 pm - Reply

    The NWS needs to do a better job when identifying cities involved with storms. They have Liberty listed as one of the cities in a Severe Thunderstorm Warning, yet Clay County has no warnings. Below is what they posted:

    THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

    * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
    NORTHEASTERN WYANDOTTE COUNTY IN NORTHEASTERN KANSAS…
    MIAMI COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS…
    LINN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS…
    EASTERN JOHNSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL KANSAS…
    CASS COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI…
    BATES COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI…
    SOUTHWESTERN LAFAYETTE COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI…
    JACKSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI…
    WESTERN JOHNSON COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI…

    * UNTIL 515 PM CDT.

    * AT 414 PM CDT, SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
    EXTENDING FROM NEAR BONNER SPRINGS TO SPRING HILL TO NEAR LONE ELM,
    MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

    HAZARD…70 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL.

    SOURCE…RADAR INDICATED.

    IMPACT…HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT CONSIDERABLE
    TREE DAMAGE. WIND DAMAGE IS ALSO LIKELY TO MOBILE HOMES,
    ROOFS, AND OUTBUILDINGS.

    * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE…
    KANSAS CITY, OVERLAND PARK, OLATHE, INDEPENDENCE, LEE’S SUMMIT,
    SHAWNEE, BLUE SPRINGS, LENEXA, LEAWOOD, RAYTOWN, LIBERTY,
    GRANDVIEW, BELTON, PRAIRIE VILLAGE, RAYMORE, GRAIN VALLEY, MERRIAM,
    HARRISONVILLE, MISSION AND PLEASANT HILL.

    THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS…
    INTERSTATE 70 IN MISSOURI BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 40.
    INTERSTATE 70 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 418 AND 423.
    INTERSTATE 35 IN MISSOURI BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 4.
    INTERSTATE 35 IN KANSAS BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 224 AND 235.
    INTERSTATE 635 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 10.
    INTERSTATE 470 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 0 AND 16.
    INTERSTATE 435 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 57 AND 82.

    • NoBeachHere July 19, 2018 at 4:48 pm - Reply

      They didn’t list Independence, Sugar Creek, Birmingham, Missouri City…

      Unless it builds into just Liberty area, they whiffed

  20. Supercell July 19, 2018 at 4:36 pm - Reply

    We caught just enough of the line to give south OP another solid drink. Still dumping at the moment but will check gauge when storm passes. 165th and quivira reporting

  21. Getmbuck July 19, 2018 at 4:41 pm - Reply

    Phil Collins’ “Missed Again” is the theme song for this LRC. My house in NE Olathe saw 13 degree temp drop, lots of boom-boom noise and nada for rain.

  22. REAL HUMEDUDE July 19, 2018 at 4:56 pm - Reply

    Those wondering why storms suddenly hooked and turned south, they were following tight theta gradient around the huge ridge out west. The Cells are simply following the ring of fire, and the turning point was just west of KC. Sucks for those needing it, I thought Lawrence would get it for sure bit it dropped fast. I’m praying for a good rain at the farm, not a drop yet

    • Jordan July 19, 2018 at 5:17 pm - Reply

      Any luck yet? They looked like the were making a beeline for ya.

      • REAL HUMEDUDE July 19, 2018 at 5:21 pm - Reply

        Bro, it’s already over!
        We got about 12 minutes of rain, started to accelerate rapidly right when it got here. Maybe 3 or 4 tenths. Unreal

        • Jordan July 19, 2018 at 5:46 pm - Reply

          Man, I’m sorry. I feel like I jinxed you. Looks like we have one more small chance tomorrow morning, and that’s it. It’ll be a couple of weeks before we can complain about how 60%+ chances for rain somehow find a way to miss us again lol.

  23. Larry July 19, 2018 at 5:45 pm - Reply

    Lawrence officially hit 101 today an hour before the gust front moved through. I checked my rain gauge and I received a trace of precipitation after the main cell tracked SSE of NW Lawrence. The trees are starting to shed leaves as though it was fall due to the severe lack of precipitation. Total rainfall to date is over 12″ below normal.

    • Heat Miser July 19, 2018 at 11:14 pm - Reply

      yeah, it was pretty wild….it also dropped the temperature to about 80…20 degree drop in minutes

  24. Mr. Pete July 19, 2018 at 5:56 pm - Reply

    I’m working just east of Des Moines. Got incredible photos and videos of multiple tornadoes today. First time I’ve ever seen anything like this. Incredible!!!

  25. REAL HUMEDUDE July 19, 2018 at 6:07 pm - Reply

    Wow, double barrel twisters in IA. So sorry for those people up there, we should be thankful for our quieter severe weather lately
    Officially .3″ at the farm from that entire line…..i can’t win
    Little bit more upstream, maybe I can get lucky but I doubt it

  26. Farmgirl July 19, 2018 at 6:53 pm - Reply

    Southern Miami County and La Cygne finally got some rain. We got a fast and furious inch. We lost power, but thankful for the moisture. Weeds can grow, well, like weeds. Maybe the stressed pasture grasses will grow a little too.

  27. Richard July 19, 2018 at 7:12 pm - Reply

    Strong wind damage in rural Miami county.
    Power was out in Osawatomie for awhile
    Pics on facebook Miami Co

  28. Richard July 19, 2018 at 9:04 pm - Reply

    Rude the Duck boat ride in Branson capsized..Table Rock lake
    There are fatalities and several injuries
    Divers are in the lake now

    • Richard July 19, 2018 at 9:33 pm - Reply

      * Ride* the Duck
      Apparently it flipped during the high winds, sank like a rock in deep part of the lake.
      Still searching

      • JoeK July 19, 2018 at 10:51 pm - Reply

        Richard, you should look into being a journalist

        • LYITC41 July 20, 2018 at 8:05 am - Reply

          Uh, okay.

      • Heat Miser July 19, 2018 at 11:18 pm - Reply

        wow…10 confirmed dead

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