It Finally Reached 100 Degrees At KCI Airport

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Good morning bloggers,

The last time it reached 100° was on September 8, 2013. The long streak ended on Thursday, and it may reach 100 again today.

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Downtown KC soared to 103° and Lawrence, KS got up to 104°.

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Now, we can put this long streak to rest and concentrate on the rain chances.  The drought monitor was updated yesterday by the Climate Prediction Center, and you can see that the drought is strengthening over our local area near KC:

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The red areas show Extreme Drought  What is just incredible is that Omaha, to the northwest of KC, and St. Louis, to the east of KC, are not considered in any drought conditions at all. St. Louis has had nearly 25 inches of rain this year compared to under 10 inches of rain near Lawrence, KS.

Rainfall Forecast From The European Model Ending Monday Evening:

Screen Shot 2018-07-13 at 7.00.25 AM

The set ups for thunderstorms are again atypical, and difficult to explain.  There are fronts, weak upper level disturbances, a stronger storm around mid-week, and thunderstorms will develop.  As you can see above, the rainfall forecast from the European Model, and other models are all over the place, shows around an inch of rain over the next four days, ending Monday.  Confidence is still a bit shaky, so let’s see how it sets up. There may be a few isolated thunderstorms again today.

Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

  • Today:  Mostly sunny this morning with some big cumulus clouds building this afternoon.  There is a 5% chance of a thunderstorm later this afternoon.  High: 100°
  • Saturday:  Partly cloudy with a 40% chance of a thunderstorm. High: 93°

Thank your or spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Click on the blog over on the Weather2020 site and read the comments from the bloggers. We have been having some great weather discussions as we share in this weather experience. Have a great day. It is FRIDAY!

Gary

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Rodney
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Rodney

3 inches in Eudora with crazy Lightning!

Jordan
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Jordan

Got just enough rain to make it messy when we hand water the acre we don’t have any type of irrigation in, but not enough to actually water any of the plants. Thanks, Mother Nature! You suck this year!

sedsinkc
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sedsinkc

Yay! Liquid from the sky! (just a little)

Getmbuck
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Getmbuck

Olathe 131sr and Blackbob have .94 rain and 75 degrees. Will see if the next cell coming up I 35 has anything left but will take what’s in the bank

sedsinkc
Guest
sedsinkc

Just did a quick mow of the weeds in case it rains. My gf got a load of dirt for her yard last year to fill some holes and the dirt was obviously full of Queen Anne’s Lace seeds. We have a bumper crop of those wherever that dirt was placed. All mowed down now. Watching a dark cloud just to my west, maybe my light shower for the Northland is imminent?

Anonymous
Guest
Anonymous

Just did a quick mow of the weeds in case it rains. My gf got a load of dirt for her yard last year to fill some holes and the dirt was obviously full of Queen Anne’s Lace seeds. We have a bumper crop of those wherever that dirt was placed. All mowed down now. Watching a dark cloud just to my west, maybe my light shower for the Northland is imminent?

Jordan
Guest
Jordan

Nothing in northern Wyandotte, and of course it’s starting to split and rotate back to the west less than a mile from me. I’m so sick of this crap.

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

Right at 1/2 inch from the first wave here in Independence. Beautiful soaking rain, didn’t waste a drop!

Anonymous
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Anonymous

As much as I the rain is needed it really needs to fall east of st Joseph in the extreme drought areas in crops and pasture for farmers and not over the urban core of Kansas City

You get street flooding and run off, so what if your yard goes dormant, when this makes or breaks farmers

Kai
Guest
Kai

Streets are already flooding in Independence and radar looks like it’s training right over us.

Kai
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Kai

Nvm.

Rockdoc
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Rockdoc

Pouring cats and dogs here in Prairie Village. Another cell looks to be headed this way, then maybe clearing up. Hope it does so I can go swimming.

Richard
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Richard

It was pouring an hour ago !! Now we get more ! And lightning/thunder.
Very dark outside

Adam
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Adam

Been pouring in Gardner for several minutes. Became very windy also. Lot’s of lightening.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

Where is Saturday’s blog?

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Getting great rains here in Prairie Village – steady for about 20 mins now! Yay!

sedsinkc
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sedsinkc

As I feared, radar trends show activity along 435 loop in Johnson County is shunting off to the east and not moving north toward the north side of KC. Yuck I hate being right most of the time, sometimes (like today)….

Jordan
Guest
Jordan

We’re right next to the river just south of Parkville in Wyandotte County, and looks like we’re going to get screwed again, too.

RickMcKC
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RickMcKC

The WYCO split gets the Northland again!

Jordan
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Jordan

Yeah, radar looks like those storms aren’t rotating back with the rest of the system for some reason.

Anonymous
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Anonymous

As I feared, radar trends show activity along 435 loop in Johnson County is shunting off to the east and not moving north toward the north side of KC. Yuck I hate being right most of the time, sometimes (like today)….

WeathermanKumke
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WeathermanKumke

Got 1.02 from the first storm in west Olathe. Watching these cells move into JoCo to deliver us with more rain 🙂

f00dl3
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f00dl3

Just poured near Old Town Lenexa, got a quick 30 min 0.95″

sedsinkc
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sedsinkc

Lucky you. I’d take 1/3 of that here N of the River. We’re extra crispy. Still think we’ll get little to nothing here today.

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

WeatherUndergrpund predicts rainstorms will be in that area until 5:45 PM
Here’s their link to Overland Park that shows a 59% chance they’ll get 0.77″ of rain. They say it’s raining there now.
https://maps.wunderground.com/q/zmw:66204.1.99999

Trainman
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Trainman

Complete and total down pour at woodland and k10

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

Storm blossoming just NE of Olathe.

sedsinkc
Guest
sedsinkc

I just have a “feeling” N KC will get missed or just a light shower today. South side is looking promising tho…

Hockeynut69
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Hockeynut69

Poof once again. One of the other stations actually increased their rain chances today to 70%. I am in Ames Iowa this weekend. Pretty good round of storms yesterday. They already had a lot of standing water in fields from a wet spring. Amazing how a few hours drive changes everything.

f00dl3
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f00dl3

BUT WAIT —-

HRRR shows heavy thunder around KC by 1-2 PM.

sedsinkc
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sedsinkc

Storms firing near/over Olathe right now.

Tdogg
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Tdogg

LRC

Lonely
Richard
Complains

Here’s hoping HumeDude’s Shawnee “farm” aka yard gets rain soon.

Richard
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Richard

dogg

KNOCK IT OFF you sorry piece of sh**
I’ve had enough of your pathetic trolling

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Getting dry slotted…..ugg

Jordan
Guest
Jordan

Another letdown. I know Gary kept the chances for rain low this entire time, but it’s still a punch in the gut to have to hear about a rain “chance” for 10 days through all of that heat, and once again, get missed.

Jordan
Guest
Jordan

I was gonna say, “How long before they take the chance out for Wednesday?”, but it looks like they’ve already dropped that chance by 10% to 40%. Here we go again.

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

There’s still a vort lobe to our SW, chance it could lite up again in next couple hours but I’m pretty much giving up myself. Even if we do get rain probably less than 1/2″ and that wont save the corn or keep pastures from going dormant. We need inches and inches, then a couple inches after that.

Richard
Guest
Richard

The oppresive heat will come back by weeks end.
How did we end up with this heat since May 1st ? What caused the cold fronts to stall. This one will be very short lived like the other one

Jordan
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Jordan

That vort lobe needs to start firing off some thunderstorms, or this complex is going to miss us to the west.

Nate
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Nate

We need something coming up from the Southwest, that’s the only way we’ll get anything good

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Check out the radar.

Jordan
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Jordan

Okay, so we know we’re not going to get any rain out of this system. What’s the over/under on where it splits to go around us before it gets here, and where it reforms to our east? My money is on Council Grove, and reforming near Jefferson City.

KS Jones
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KS Jones

WeatherUnderground predicts KC will get 0.51″ tomorrow afternoon.
The rain is nearly over here out west. The sky was bright red at sunset, so considering the old “red sky at night –sailor’s delight” would indicate it is indeed clearing. Got 0.69″ altogether, and because it came down over an extended period of time, it is far more beneficial that the three toad stranglers we got in June.

Jordan
Guest
Jordan

I’ll believe the rain forecast when I actually see it rain lol. I am glad the local meteorologists finally learned to temper their expectations with this pattern, though. I was getting fed up with the 60%-80% chances and then not getting a drop.

snowflakeparkville
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snowflakeparkville

Well, there it goes. It was fun while it lasted. Hopefully we break the 3-inch snow one soon!

Jordan
Guest
Jordan

The 7-day forecast on KSHB doesn’t have the 40% chance of rain tomorrow that Gary’s video forecast does, and it has it at 100 again. I’m assuming the rain chances are already going POOF?

Michael Garner
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Michael Garner

The 7 day graphic is off. Meaning what is says for “Saturday” is really today (Friday) so look at the Sunday and consider that Saturday. Hopefully that makes sense

Jordan
Guest
Jordan

Ahh, gotcha. Thanks for the info.

Jason
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Jason

All this rain out West, and we probably won’t get a drop

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

I was driving through the pasture earlier this afternoon (25 miles north of Manhattan), and from the bluff tops at 2:20 PM I began seeing lightning and rain falling off to the south. Then it began raining here at 3 PM. Got just shy of 0.3″ from that round which lasted about one hour, and it cooled down 20° to 75°. That might be why the the cells that are all around us dissipate before they reach us now, but the forecast indicates we should pick up an additional 0.8″ overnight.

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

Now it has cooled down to 70° and we’re getting another bout of rain.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

I can’t buy a drop at the farm right now. I need some of your luck! I hope that keeps up, I know you need it

Mason - Basehor
Guest
Mason - Basehor

Re: the LRC and the tropics…

The big LRC forecast is for a gulf hurricane around September 1.

That is about 47-48 days from this weekend!

Doesn’t that mean there should be a big gulf hurricane this weekend too????

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

I’ve noticed today that they’re adding a whole lot more frames to some runs of the HRRR than usual. Is this recent or did I just not notice it before?

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

It is a recent upgrade, it’s run has been expanded and might even include a few new selectable parameters

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Thanks. I noticed they had the HRRRX for a while on Tropical Tidbits, but that’s been gone now for a few weeks. I presume that was a test for some expanded runs on the regular HRRR. Didn’t notice if they added the expanded runs on the HRRR as soon as the HRRRX went away, or if it’s just in the last day or two.

KS Jones
Guest
KS Jones

NWS
The Flash Flood Watch has been extended to include all of southeast Nebraska. Thunderstorms will develop late this afternoon and overnight . . . with rainfall totals reaching of 1 to 3 inches, locally higher amounts possible.
https://radar.weather.gov/Conus/uppermissvly_loop.php

Mike Holm
Guest
Mike Holm

The drought map looks identical to the winter precipitation patterns—La Niña.

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

Agreed.

Real Humedude
Guest
Real Humedude

We need 4 corners storms to have big winter storms around here, we will have to see what the next pattern brings. If we cant get storms to dig into the SW we wont have much action around here. I had 2 different cells headed right towards the farm yesterday and they both died on my doorstep and reorganized just west of me and gave them a nice downpour over same locations that got downpours last week. I have been the unlucky spot every time lately…….really need some rain by Sunday as the corn is slipping away fast now in… Read more »

Richard
Guest
Richard

Hume
Agree !
I have said this for YEARS. Our biggest snows have akways come from the 4 corners.
I used to tell family when storms were pounding the 4 corners that we need to prepare. And sure enough.
Problem is something seems to have changed. Either they don’t get those storms much anymore, or when they do, they get diverted and go south of us. Something has changed.

Scott
Guest
Scott

I agree, something has changed. I am no expert at weather but we do not get storms from the four corners anymore.

Michael Garner
Guest
Michael Garner

Winter of 2009/2010 and 2010/2011 we had several storms that took that kind of path. It’s just good old Kansas weather. History shows make heat and droughts with major floods and cool weather

TDogg
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TDogg

It has to be the wind farms….

Richard
Guest
Richard

Gary Thanks ! I hope I can share this one without anyone saying I am betraying you or the LRC. Because I am not. This is Doug Heady, in Joplin, blog from today. (He is part of wx2020 team, correct ? So not really a competitor. I thought it might be of interest here to share this. He does say the new pattern is still 2 months away. But he already “knows” what this winter, next Spring and summer are going to be like !?? “Look at next week. The upper level high that is over us now pressed back… Read more »

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

My guess is he’s assuming the same thing as Gary said yesterday. He’s predicting an El Nino and, with that, a higher likelihood of a long-wave trough developing in the Rockies, which is exactly what we need!

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

We won’t know until the new pattern sets up, of course, but if that long-wave trough does show up out west this fall, that would be huge.

Lary Gezak
Guest
Lary Gezak

I like what I’m hearing…

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Thanks for the link Richard, I hope he’s right!

“I know to you guys this means nothing, but to me it is ground breaking. I can already tell you the Fall will have bigger temperatures swings with much more rain. The winter won’t be as cold as the last winter, however we will have much bigger storms systems and snow.”

Richard
Guest
Richard

Of course that is for the Joplin area. What Joplin xperiences often times we don’t. Especially when it comes to storms.
But I found it interesting that he said he has a model that he has developed …..

Wx2020 is in the process, or has a model already too, right ??

Looking back at some of his archived blogs now just to see what his thoughts are. Again, it is Joplin ! So not a competitor.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

That’s true, but I presume (hope?) Joplin is close enough that the differences won’t be that big. Especially concerning the snow.

Richard
Guest
Richard

I think Joplin is just in the right spot where storms dive down south from the Rockies….thus missing KC

Richard
Guest
Richard

I enjoy a detailed blog. He puts it out there. Live radar helps too.
Would be nice to have radar with this one.
And longer blog writeups.
I am hungry for some hope that this heat will not continue into September.

JoeK
Guest
JoeK

But…..his long range forecasts are wrong more than they are right. I have tracked his forecasts for some time now and the cycle length does not set up this early, he makes adjustments to the cycle length what seems like every year in October, right about the same time frame the LRC sets up. Just my two cents

Kathy
Guest
Kathy

Something that surprised me is the drought in parts of New England. So, how did that happen? Seems like they had a wet winter, right? Also, if memory serves me correctly, it seems like in the year following a drought, we get plenty of moisture to make up for it. So, here’s praying for and crossing fingers for a very wet winter and 2019. Gary’s post yesterday about El Nino was encouraging….hope it pans out.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Glad we finally broke that record.

Now, the next record I wanna break this winter is, number of consecutive days of measurable snowfall.

Lary Gezak
Guest
Lary Gezak

Or that 3″ snowstorm streak. That’d be nice.