It Came Close To 100 Degrees Yesterday

Good morning bloggers,

Today may be the day that KCI Airport finally ends an almost five-year streak of below 100 degrees.  We will look into the pattern which has been a difficult topic to explain and describe as we have suggested in this blog many times in this pattern.  Discussing KC weather is a challenge in some summers as the weather can be the same from day to day in boring patterns. This pattern is just so difficult to describe, and it has been a theme from last October all the way through the fall, winter, spring, and now summer.  It is this years LRC that is leaving us in this challenging place to do this, and I will be welcoming the new pattern with open arms when it arrives in less than three months.  For now, it is more of the same, but at least some chance of rain is showing up.

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Yesterday was almost the day. The temperature at KCI Airport jumped to 99 degrees. The streak continues as we make another run at 100 degrees today, and maybe Friday.  Here is the 7-day forecast as I showed it on 41 Action News last night:

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Rainfall forecast through Sunday morning from the NAM model:

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If you look closely at the KC region, we have anywhere from less than 0.10″ to as much as 3″ of rain on some of the models by Sunday morning.  A series of disturbances, some connection to the monsoon out west, and a couple of cold fronts are combining to bring us some of these rain chances.  We will look into the chances a bit more in-depth in tomorrow mornings blogs, and on 41 Action News and KSHB.com today and tonight.

Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.  Go over to the Weather2020 blog and join in the conversation.  Have a great day.

Gary

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Matt
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Matt

I’ve hit 100 degrees multiple times this year so that whole KCI streak everyone talks about I don’t get. I mean I do, it’s the official weather source for KC. 4 inches of snow in Olathe and 0 at KCI 40 miles away means Kansas City has zero snow for a winter, and that’s what goes on the record books KCI could be 97 and multiple cities could hit 102 all summer long in the area but 97 is the official temp and that’s what it is.

Richard
Guest
Richard

63 out of the last 71 days have been above normal temps.
When will we get some lasting relief

Richard
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Richard

Maybe since we skipped Spring, everything is one month early. .So this is our August ?
Maybe fall will come early

Gary
Do you see any more of these extended heat waves ? If so, how many.

Emaw
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Emaw

I thought KCI was in St. Joe . . . 😉

Nick
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Nick

congrats on the 100F at KCI. not quite there here in St. Joe but still hot enough( we had ours in May :P) but now the grass looks like its about done, but we will likely get just enough rain this weekeend/next week to keep it alive in its misery, lol. looking forward to the cool break next week( probably a system like we had in late June where we were in the upper 60’s most of the day with drizzle) that will be nice before the heat comes back.

terry
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terry

Well it’s the 1st time in 5 years that a hit a 100゚ at KCI airport. Everyone get ready for a wild and crazy Winter time get ready for some big snows.

Richard
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Richard

terry Its too soon to get excited about big snows.
But we all can hope 😄

Michael Garner
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Michael Garner

Now that we finally did it, I won’t say what “it” is as many are tired of hearing “it”, but now that “it’” is done maybe now we can get a snowfall greater than 2.5 inches in a 24 hour period. Last time that happened was February 2014. Also will be interesting to see as KSHB has the lowest high temperature for next Wednesday, at 78. Another station has 81, another one has 87, NWS is predicting “near 87” (is 78 “near” 87?, just kidding). By the time next Wednesday gets here we are only a short 6 weeks till… Read more »

Farmgirl
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Farmgirl

Surprised the furry criiter forecast from this morning verified. Had a few brief showers in Linn county. Outflow boundary feels pretty good even if it’s short lived.

NoBeachHere
Guest
NoBeachHere

So now it’s official, drop it. I’d may be inclined to get a count but I’m pretty sure many of us could care less about finally hitting the century mark. What I find interesting, hitting 100 made more news than the spotty TSorms moving through.

Emaw
Guest
Emaw

It’s all good, Gary just showed his 7-day, rain this weekend and 80’s then 78/60 next Wednesday!
I’ll believe the rain when I see it and the 78/60 has about as much of a chance as the Royals not losing 100!

Mason - Basehor
Guest
Mason - Basehor

Woohoo—all this fascination with the streak can finally simmer down; KMCI just topped 100.

Gary’s going to need to find something else to talk about now.

WeathermanKumke
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WeathermanKumke

At 3:35pm. KCI tappped 100 degrees. The streak is over

Mike Holm
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Mike Holm

Down to 89° in Parksville after a small shower—very small. I’m sure Gary is getting ready to update. It’s developing all over the place down south.

MattinLeavenworth
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MattinLeavenworth

2nd rain cell just came through and rained buckets. Down to 77 degrees.

MattinLeavenworth
Guest
MattinLeavenworth

Down to 82 degrees and the rain on the roads is causing so much steam it almost looks like fog

Mattinleavenworth
Guest
Mattinleavenworth

We got a nice little storm up here in leavenworth

Araignee
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Araignee

Here in the northern part of Excelsior Springs, our trees are losing leaves. The trees on the bank of our pond have dropped leaves as they usually do in September, and the pond is full of them. Those trees are just about half bare. Its not every tree on the property of course, and plenty are still green enough, but its something I have not ever witnessed in the ten years of living in this house, even with the 2012 drought. Its strange to watch the leaves falling into the pond or to watch them swirl on the road as… Read more »

Richard
Guest
Richard

Yes, trees are dropping leaves in Olathe too. The NWS put this out on Wednesday : “Drought conditions are worsening across northern Missouri and northeastern Kansas. But how do we put this year in perspective. 2012 was the latest very bad drought year in the region. Through July 10th 2012, KCI had developed a precipitation deficit of 7.45″. In 2018 the deficit is 6.26″ through July 10th. That’s a difference of just 1.19″. 2018 has been in deficit for a longer period of time, whereas 2012 developed very rapidly. Regardless, the region needs rainfall. This week’s hot conditions, with little… Read more »

snowflakeparkville
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snowflakeparkville

Brief surprise rain shower west of Parkville a few minutes ago.

Adam
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Adam

Showing 110 on my weather underground app by the Financial District downtown.

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

lol…110

KS Jones
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KS Jones

It is currently 103° at the Lawrence airport.
http://w1.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KLWC.html
102° at the Manhattan airport and 96° here (25 miles north of Manhattan),

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

Yeah, I was about to report that but your beat me to it. Has it hit 100 at MCI…please god say yes.

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

Pop-up storm moving into KCI. That should kill our chances for 100 today…

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

Hey Tdogg….wanna hook up and have a few beers? I can show you what all is involved to keep my ranch going, and you can show me how stupid you are. Sound like fun?

Tdogg
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Tdogg

“Your” “ranch”?? Sure buddy. What part of Shawnee is your house/yard farm located.

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

Still not 100 at MCI. Doesn’t look like it’ll make it there, either.
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/mo/kansas-city-international/KMCI/date/2018-7-12?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash

Is their weather station in the shade, or something? One weather station nearby has 112!

KS Jones
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KS Jones

Air temperature is always measured in the shade. Nonetheless, I’ve often wondered if they need to recalibrate their equipment at KCI.

Tdogg
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Tdogg

Flawlessly Perfect D2 Wet Drought!

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

Towering cumulus showing up outside my window, but their vertical development seems to be very slow. Feeling the cap?

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Gary! Flawlessly Perfect!!

TDogg
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TDogg

flaw·less·ly

adverb
in a manner free from imperfections or defects; perfectly.

Jason
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Jason

Yep. I’m done with this weather. So done

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

Thank god, so tired of hearing it hasn’t hit 100 at MCI, even though it’s hit 100 multiple times all around it. It’s such an irrelevant stat, unless mabye you live at MCI.

TDogg
Guest
TDogg

Yes it is Heat.

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

The LRC fails to predict moisture evaporation and it’s impacts on our atmosphere.

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

The LRC is great if your making a forecast based on just the 500 millibar level. The problem is, the atmosphere is 3D. Things that happen at the surface cause something known as mixing and that mixing is what can cause the anticyclone to build, thunderstorms to be abundant, low level jets, or cold air to force it’s way in rapidly.

By the way – our wet drought just got upgraded to D2 / Severe Wet Drought.

mmhmm
Guest
mmhmm

So, the LRC is not really a repeat of previous “cycles”, but rather a vague guide for forecasting. There is no real repeating pattern, the pattern is random. I think the LRC is full of holes, and needs a re-write looking at more detail instead of such a broad attempt at cycles that really aren’t repeating themselves. The weather is random, and will likely continue to become even more due to various changes at the surface, as well as aloft. In short, the current pattern sucks, and any long range forecast is a joke.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

This IS the new LRC pattern. We never had this anti cyclone in earlier cycles, this is something new. My biggest fear is that next year will be much worse than this. This pattern hasn’t been great, but at least it does provide chances at getting just enough to squeak by. The worst drought patterns offer you nothing in terms of rain chances and usually consecutive 100F days, could be Alot worse than this although this pattern does suck

CC
Guest
CC

If this is the new LRC pattern then how come it hasn’t stayed wet, especially when we had a wet October. Since your theory of it setting up in June, we should have constant moisture all over

Richard
Guest
Richard

cc
Thats the point Hume is trying to make. We had moisture in Oct, but not getting it now.
Instead, we have anti-cyclone heat creating machine, so therefore this must be the new 2018-19 LRC.

NoBeachHere
Guest
NoBeachHere

Looking back, that quasi ridge didn’t set up till November, hence the dysfunctional weather. I mean it was there, just not in a position that’s leaving us high and dry. It waffles a bit but I believe that’s where these high pressure domes developed from. The quasi created the conditions and from there these ridges were born. I have spent a lot of time researching The who and where’s and how this summer version came to be. Not much info but I did find is the SW CONUS was above average in temps in winter, already dry that allowed certain… Read more »

CC
Guest
CC

Makes no since, last year everyone will say they had a wet pattern except for Kurt. Last summer was pretty wet until August then in slowed down so if dude is right then we should be done with this pattern

Anonymous
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Anonymous

Doesn’t Heady say it begins to form this time of year?

Three7s
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Three7s

You’ll welcome a new pattern in October until it places a big fat ridge right on top of us, just like this year, which we’ll then be stuck with all year.

Richard
Guest
Richard

True
Last year Gary and all of us were so ready for the new pattern.
Be careful what we wish for.
At least last years LRC was not this hot from May 1st, we had an actual Spring and we had just enough rain at just the right times to keep things green.

NoBeachHere
Guest
NoBeachHere

I hope for the sake of the stupid run of no 100 degree days ends today. Really tired of reading about the streak. I know it’s being negative but there is nothing historic or for memories sake about the streak ending or going. There is something to talk about as far as rain which is great and needed. So for the love of us bloggers, Mother Nature do us a favor and off yourself with 100 degrees at KCI today, please!!!

Blue Flash
Guest
Blue Flash

I’m going to charter a jet to sit there and blow exhaust toward the weather instruments until it gets to 100. Fraid its not going to happen today though with the dew points rising all morning. It’s the corn plants transpiring their last bits of moisture…..

Brian
Guest
Brian

I’m happy to see Sunday and Monday’s temperatures come down from the previous 7-day forecast. I’m ready for some relief to the heat – any rain would just be an added bonus.

CC
Guest
CC

Start taking your own readings, Kearney is different than downtown temps as well.

Adam
Guest
Adam

Yeah I posted this on Tuesday’s blog. ‘
Adam July 11, 2018 at 2:49 pm – Reply
I don’t know about the rest of the area but every day that it’s been advertised it’s going to make a run at 100 it has hit and exceeded 100 downtown. This summer has been miserable so far. I’m already ready for fall.’

Jason
Guest
Jason

COME ON RAIN!!!!!

KCHog
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KCHog

What about downtown? Are you Platte City’s #1 weather team? I just don’t get it.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser