Not sure why…but I think temps will actually be in the 100’s in the weeks to come, more than they want to admit. Thinking they don’t want to panic people so they forecast high nineties instead, so it looks more acceptable.
Kshb rarely throws the 100’s out there in a long ranger. They wait until it gets closer.
EOI was excellent this evening. Cool in the shade and bugs and humidity were not a factor.
” This is pretty phenomenal…reliable records go back to 1889…the only May 1st – July 7th timespan that was hotter was during the dustbowl days of 1934. Whenever you compare where we are now to the dustbowl days…you know we’re talking heat !”
So, with all the baking out of moisture and NO storms near us, why are the humidity and dew points going up ?
Is it because we still have a semblance of “green” grass and green foliage ?
The southerly flow. We are baking out thoroughly now, grass is going to go POOF this week. I expect a fully brown metro and most places actually by next weekend and I do fully expect 100s to start to replace the upper 90s we’ve been seeing.
So the southerly flow gives us the high dew points ?
Yes. Moisture advection.
Once again MT filling in for JL.
My hat’s off to him for that.
Sorry, but it’s like the 3rd weekend in the past month he has done this.
Don’t like his forecast though. He says 100 next weekend.
Gerard did not go there. Will see what Gary shows tomorrow night.
But, it’s not officially a drought until the trees and grass are brown or dead.
Ain’t that the right?
I can’t wait until October.
Doesn’t Heady down in Joplin says the new cycle starts showing up in July/ August?
It doesn’t. We have discussed this for years, and every year we show Doug that it sets up in late September through October. There may be the very earliest stages of the new pattern in August right after the jet stream reaches its weakest point, and then begins slowly strengthening in late August, but the old pattern dominates until early October. We have shared this with Doug for many years. He tries to pick out the cycle length early, but has yet to succeed. We would love to figure things out earlier, but as is discussed in the published paper,… Read more »
Many people believe forecasting the weather more than a week out is impossible, that it’s simply chaos. Not true. While the weather constantly changes, there are very specific patterns that can be used to forecast for months at a time.