Ok Gary, it seems pretty clear to me that to expect any significant change in our current weather pattern is pointless. Regardless of the variables at play (cold fronts, would-be hurricanes and tropical storms, etc.) it isn’t going to matter. We’re going to be very hot, with sporadic storms here and there. If you look at the drought map, it aligns with what you would typically expect in a La Niña year. So I’m questioning how much influence the LRC really even has? If it’s the biggest piece of the puzzle, then why doesn’t it win out over the other… Read more »
He won’t answer you. Need to ask this again in Monday when he writes the blog.
but one thing you said, if OK weather can “turn on a dime”, then why would ir not be possible here too ?
The roofer has died. 🙁
I was looking out my back window during the storm and saw this one lightning bolt to my south. I wonder if that was the one that hit him.
I was at my girlfriend’s house when this happened. Two houses down. Crazy to see that once all of the fire trucks & other emergency vehicles left, just about every news station showed up. I’m pretty sure the house got damaged too from the strike
Hurricane Beryl has weakened overnight:
We’re going to get torched. Great.
As some reassuring news, 2015, 2016, and 2017 were all more than six inches above average precipitation, so it’s not like California, which started its drought a few years ago while already dried out.
This is the wettest drought ever. I’ve been mowing my grass like crazy. C’mon guys, be positive….big players on the field lmao!! Good to see Hume doesn’t even farm the ground he “owns”….change your name to Shawneedude
90% of people don’t plant their own crops TDOGG. Takes about 500-800K investment to get a planter and a combine. Our 280 tilled acres ain’t worth it. I’m there multiple times a week caring for our cows though. Why am I even talking to a troll….
People need to remember everyone gets a different amount of rain at there house/land so just because it is wet or dry where you are doesn’t mean that is the case everywhere.
I think it’s a tell tale sign we are in drought when the cold front was supposed to knock us into the 80s today into Sunday, now looks like we will only go back to the lower 90s.
It’s currently 94 degrees here in Prairie Village. Light breeze with a few puffy cotton ball clouds. Perfect day for being at the pool. 🏊🏊
Next week the heat returns. Just hope the humidity stays low.
Here at my house in SW Topeka it doesn’t rain much, but we have day after day of 70+ degree dew points. The humidity has been awful. I guess I picked a bad year to paint my house.
This chart shows the normal high temperature in Topeka doesn’t reach 90° until July 11th. It never goes above 90°, and then drops below 90° on August 10th.
Looking out my window, no evidence of a drought. Everything is very green. Looks nothing like it did in 2012 at this time.
Pete, all due respect buddy the view from your window is small caption of the region. It’s dry out there and my yard in Shawnee is totally brown and dormant, you won’t be long behind me.
This doesn’t even compare to 2012 though.
I have one with several links that is being held up.
Can you get the moderator to approve, unflag it please ? Thanks
global warming, climate change, carbon clock emissions,
The barrel graph animation is especially intriguing
Methodology for the carbon clock:
Barrel graph mesmerizing animation
Is it no surprise this headline has not been on the news??
“Big Drop In CSU’s Atlantic Hurricane Outlook; Quiet Atlantic, Active Pacific”
….Chiller-than-usual waters in the eastern North Atlantic have prodded the forecast group based at Colorado State University to reduce the amount of tropical cyclone activity they project for 2018 from the values predicted only one month ago…..
That’s part of the discussion on the AMO, some say a neg. AMO, some say pos. AMO. North Atlantic doesn’t have or expects tropical development but in Southern part, yes. Cape Verd season is right around the corner, problem this year may very well be the same as 2016(?). The dust and sand being blown out over the Atlantic created an unfavorable area for tropical development. Add in the upper shear this year, we may only get Caribbean, Gulf and East Coast development. What’s unexpected is the amount of sst variations in the mid and southern latitude development areas. What… Read more »
Not really sure why this is a strange drought. Our strongest storms tend to move from in from the southwest. Looking at the drought map, draw a line from the Texas panhandle northeast and its easy to see that the drought has just expanded northeast as no storms are forming in Texas/New Mexico and moving northeast. In recent years, most of Nebraska, northern and western Kansas have been the ones experiencing drought conditions. It just appears to me that the drought/dry pattern has shifted southeast this year. Good for them as they really needed a break. This is only strange… Read more »
Morning Flash Flood Warning for Salina. Me, 8 miles west of Salina: .06. It’s been this way since last fall!
Steve…..is there anything more maddening than watching a big rain storm just a few miles away that refuses to move over your farm? I’ve been sitting there in my desperately dry bean field, watching cells to my west, east, south, and north while I’m in a doughnut hole that never filled in. Reminds me of Paul Harvey’s ode to the American farmer, takes a mentally tough person to take these gut punches on such a routine basis. Good luck out there
don’t ya just hate it when ya can see it and smell it but ya cant touch it
A bigger story is the Cat2 hurricane that is forecast to be just off the Outer Banks by Wednesday.
Remember the “bomb cyclone”. And, if you understand the LRC. Wow! Right on schedule.
After looking at the GFS– one word –“Upwelling”. Definitely not been factored in to that model or any model when a storm is expected to spin in the same place for days on end.
How many people are you?
If you look historically at the drought monitor, this is not that unusual. Many times droughts that start out severe over the southwest expand north with time until in October the exceptional drought areas are much further north. This happened a lot in the 90s that one year Minnesota/South Dakota/North Dakota had a really bad drought – we started getting wet come summer months, but they really dried out. This year it looks like that axis just shifted up to us instead of much further north. Same concept, really. Just we are the ones that will be in exceptional drought… Read more »
This pretty much sums it up. Rainfall the next 7 days.
Forget 7 days, we may well go 14+ with no rain and middle to upper 90s to boot. GFS doesn’t show a front or system impacting us until around the 20th. That is if it doesn’t POOF on the next run, I’m not holding my breath on anything for time being. We are firmly entrenched in drought until further notice
Many people believe forecasting the weather more than a week out is impossible, that it’s simply chaos. Not true. While the weather constantly changes, there are very specific patterns that can be used to forecast for months at a time.