Heatwave #2

/Heatwave #2

Heatwave #2

2018-06-30T17:55:24+00:00 June 29th, 2018|General|21 Comments

21 Comments

  1. Mason - Basehor June 29, 2018 at 12:24 pm - Reply

    Gary —

    Does this mean it won’t cool off next week after all? I was going by the forecast on your app that the LRC said it’d cool off.

    This is posted for the KC region:


    July 1
    Thunderstorm Chances
    81°F / 62°F
    This week will see several chances of thunderstorms as a series of disturbances tracks from the west and northwest out of the Rockies. This doesn’t mean the 4th of July will be a washout, but keep an eye to the sky this week. Temperatures will run mostly below average. Go to Weather2020.com to join the LRC Forecast Experience Blog and learn more about this breakthrough technology.

    July 8
    Cold Fronts
    82°F / 63°F
    There will be more than one cold front tracking from northwest to southeast across the region this week, which is unusual for this time of year. These fronts will be accompanied by disturbances, so three to four days will have a good chance of showers and thunderstorms, some severe. Temperatures will run below average. Go to Weather2020.com to join the LRC Forecast Experience Blog and learn more about this breakthrough technology.

    • Gary June 29, 2018 at 12:33 pm - Reply

      All of the cold fronts are there in these two weeks you posted here. But, will the fronts reach this far south. In May they stalled north of KC, so I am concerned. But, we love to let the forecasts stay without changing them, as the LRC has shown to beat the models most of the time.

      Gary

  2. Stl78(winon,mn) June 29, 2018 at 1:15 pm - Reply

    Testing

  3. REAL HUMEDUDE June 29, 2018 at 1:37 pm - Reply

    With all due respect, there is no chance we are in the lower/middle 80s next week as that 12 week forecast claims. Like zero chance, that Anticylcone wasn’t part of that forecast when it was created long ago. I give you credit for trying, but when writing is on the wall it is wrong, why stick to your guns? I know you claim it ends up being right many times, but in this case, let’s be honest. Every model is showing major heat building in next week, that’s highly likely to verify. I just say own up to the missed forecast rather than creating the illusion you were right in some abstract way. It’s ok to be wrong Gary, like you say in the KSHB commercial, “we aren’t right all the time, we are just right more often than the other guys”. So it was way off, make the adjustment and deliver the best product you can and move on. Right?

  4. Richard June 29, 2018 at 2:22 pm - Reply

    Gary,
    Just like last week, the blog writeup is not showing up on here, on 2020.
    It is only over on the kshb blog. This happened last week.
    And the Related Posts above are moving on here again, making the page jump up and down! Making it very difficult to TYPE and READ comments on mobile tablets and phones !

    So if anyone wants to see the writeup that goes with this date and this title, go over to kshb blog. The page is steadyvover there too.

  5. Nick June 29, 2018 at 2:36 pm - Reply

    Yesterday the heat index hit 117F here in St. Joe and at one point last evening our dew point hit 82F, very, very nasty. still miserably hot today, but at least there is a better breeze, looks like we are in the belly of the summer beast 😛

  6. Larry June 29, 2018 at 2:37 pm - Reply

    2nd day in a row, 4th time this year-Lawrence has officially hit 100! Yesterday’s high was 102 with the heat index of 115. The south breeze is helping a bit.

  7. Richard June 29, 2018 at 2:56 pm - Reply

    So here’s the blog for today since it is stuck over on kshb

    Heat Wave #2
    BY GARYLEZAK, ON JUNE 29TH, 2018
    Good afternoon bloggers,

    It was 99° yesterday officially at KCI Airport. So, the streak continues. There is a decent chance of a few thunderstorms by Sunday morning, but the chance is seemingly getting less and less as this system approaches. The last inch of rain in KC happened around 46 to 47 days before Sunday, so, it would fit for us to get hit, but that doesn’t mean for sure we will. We will monitor the chance over the weekend.

    The 500 mb Flow Valid Wednesday, July 4th:

    1

    What does this map mean? This forecast map shows the 500 mb flow valid on July 4th. 500 mb is around 18,000 feet above us and meteorologists use this level to find and track storm systems and disturbances. What happens aloft, and not just at 18,000 feet, but through a deeper layer will help influence significantly what happens at the surface. An average thunderstorm has a top of around 30,000 to 45,000 feet at this time of the year, with the stronger severe thunderstorms possibly reaching 70,000 feet or higher, the top of the troposphere. So, 18,000 feet is really a middle layer. This map shows two major anticyclones; one over the eastern states, and another over the Pacific Ocean. The anticyclone can be a heat wave creating machine, and this one right now is pretty strong. We will be at the mercy of this system with the main jet stream and flow being diverted over the top and in between these features. The red line is the 594 line, or the heigh of the 500 mb level, or 5,940 meters above sea level. This has forced the jet stream to retreat all the way up to Hudson Bay. The pattern is still cycling regularly, so we will be able to predict when cold fronts are most likely to move through, and one of them is approaching Saturday night, but it is being influenced by this pattern. These high heights will be a factor in the next few weeks as we move deeper into summer. The chance of 100 degrees a few times this summer is nearly 100%. Let’s see how it sets up.

    I will be back to work at KSHB-TV on Monday. Sunny is not liking the heat, but I did get her out for a 7 AM walk before the heat built in. Here is a picture, and have a great weekend. Click on the blog at Weather2020 to share in this weather experience.

    3

    Gary

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  8. Anonymous June 29, 2018 at 3:04 pm - Reply

    I am going to post my June stats since it’s not going to rain until July. I recorded 7 rain events with a total of 3.65″ for June. The biggest was June 20th with 1.05″ and the least on June 21st with .05″. On June 2nd we had a storm that blew 70 MPH winds and I had a few branches down at work. Have a cool weekend bloggers!
    Michael

  9. Snow Miser June 29, 2018 at 3:24 pm - Reply

    Is there any way, if we all blow really hard, to get that thing to move to the south as it approaches?

    I’m looking forward to October.

  10. Adam June 29, 2018 at 3:29 pm - Reply

    I’m looking forward to December. I want to build an ice hotel in my backyard tonight.

  11. Snow Miser June 29, 2018 at 4:22 pm - Reply

    Here’s a video appropriate to our current situation:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AR2iHsiwS8g

    • Heat Miser June 29, 2018 at 4:53 pm - Reply

      LoL!

  12. Mr. Pete June 29, 2018 at 6:32 pm - Reply

    I can’t read the blog today. There is only a photo.

    • Richard June 29, 2018 at 7:10 pm - Reply

      Pete
      Its just like what happened last week.
      The full blog is over at kshb

      http://weatherblog.kshb.com

    • Richard June 29, 2018 at 7:12 pm - Reply

      Pete
      Scroll up to 2:56 pm on here
      I pasted the blog writeup from kshb

  13. Richard June 29, 2018 at 8:30 pm - Reply

    Japanese beetles ars decimating a neighbors ash tree and several plants ! They got traps to hang (bag type) hoping to stop them.
    Should I be worrued about my maple tree and arborvitae bushes ?? Neighbor is across the street, not next door.
    I had bag worms that destroyed one arborvitae several years ago.
    So far none in sight this year.

    • Blue Flash June 29, 2018 at 9:35 pm - Reply

      I had them on my apple trees two weeks ago. They totally wiped out the leaves on the upper branches, and I had to apply malathion and captan to convince them to move on. I have heard the traps just attract more of them. Usually they do no do enough damage to kill a mature tree.

    • KS Jones June 29, 2018 at 10:41 pm - Reply

      http://www.mortonarb.org/trees-plants/tree-and-plant-advice/help-pests/japanese-beetles
      Both the adult and larval stages of the Japanese beetle can be quite destructive. . . Trees and shrubs rarely attacked by Japanese beetles include red and silver maples, boxwood, euonymus, juniper, arborvitae, magnolia, ash, hydrangea, spruce, and yew. . . Commercial Japanese beetle traps and pheromone lures are available, however, research has shown that the use of traps will not protect plants from damage, and may in fact attract more beetles into the area.

  14. Carl June 29, 2018 at 8:32 pm - Reply

    There appears to be a high probability of an El Niño this winter, so kiss any wishes of a cold snowy winter good bye. The weather of past is just that….

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