Slight Risk Of Severe Weather Tonight

/Slight Risk Of Severe Weather Tonight

Slight Risk Of Severe Weather Tonight

4 PM Update:

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A Tornado Watch was issued for northwestern Missouri later this afternoon. We will be monitoring this are closely. The main severe weather risk type is damaging winds later this evening.

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The risk is definitely there, but there are still many questions on how this will evolve. We will go over the details on 41 Action News. The timing is still about the same as issued in the previous blog below.

Previous Blog Entry:

 

Good morning bloggers,

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today: Sunny and hot with no chance of thunderstorms. There will be a few afternoon clouds with a southeast breeze around 10 mph.  High: 95°
  • This evening from 6 PM – 8 PM:  Dry near KC. Thunderstorms will be forming north and west of KC.  Temperatures near 92°
  • 8 PM to Midnight:  Thunderstorms track southeast with a few possibly becoming severe. Damaging winds and some hail are the main risk types near KC. The chance of a thunderstorm in your backyard is 40%.
  • Tuesday:  Mostly sunny. High:  88°
  • Wednesday: A 30% chance of early morning thunderstorms. High: 87°

It reached 95 degrees yesterday at KCI Airport.  As the heat grows stronger, concerns for drought increase.  Let me begin with the HRRR rainfall forecast ending at 1 AM tonight:

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If this model is exactly right, then thunderstorms would form and track south-southeast just west of the state line around and after sunset tonight.  There is a slight risk of severe thunderstorms, in fact, the SPC upgraded the risk to an Enhanced Slight Risk:

day1otlk_1300

From the SPC:

"...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS
   AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM SOUTHEASTERN NE TO SOUTH CENTRAL KS...

   ...SUMMARY...
   Severe thunderstorms capable of producing a few tornadoes, very
   large hail, and damaging gusts are expected late this afternoon into
   early tonight from southeastern Nebraska to northwestern Oklahoma. 
   More isolated severe storms will be possible farther north across
   Iowa and southern Minnesota, as well as along the corridor from
   northeastern Missouri to North Carolina.

   ...Southeastern NE to northwestern OK this afternoon into tonight...

   A surface cold front is moving southeastward across eastern SD/NE
   and northwestern KS early this morning, in association with a
   midlevel shortwave trough crossing the northern Plains.  The front
   will continue eastward into western MN/IA and southeastern NE to
   central KS by this evening, though motion of the front will slow in
   KS this afternoon.  Meanwhile, the warm sector is demarcated by a
   convectively-reinforced baroclinic zone from central IL to western
   IA and southwestern MN, with upper 60s to near 70 F dewpoints in the
   corridor between the boundaries from eastern KS into eastern NE. 
   This moisture, combined with strong surface heating and steep
   midlevel lapse rates, will support strong buoyancy (MLCAPE in excess
   of 3000 J/kg) this afternoon along and immediately ahead of the cold
   front, which will serve as the primary focus for severe thunderstorm
   development this afternoon/evening.

   As the surface front slows across KS by this afternoon, strong
   surface heating and deep mixing will result in large buoyancy and
   steep low-midlevel lapse rates.  These profiles will favor strong
   low-level stretching of vertical vorticity along the boundary by new
   updrafts, prior to the generation of widespread convective outflow. 
   Moreover, deep-layer vertical shear will be marginally favorable for
   supercells, and aligned such that supercell motion should largely
   parallel the boundary toward the south-southwest.  The net result
   will be the potential for supercells to move along the boundary and
   produce isolated very large hail and a few tornadoes with hybrid
   characteristics, mainly in the 21-01z time frame.  Thereafter,
   thunderstorm outflow should become more pervasive, and damaging
   winds will be the main threat this evening into early tonight.  The
   coverage of storms will likely become more isolated with
   southwestward extent across OK, though any persistent/back-building
   storms will have some large hail and damaging wind potential into
   late evening.

   ...Mid MS Valley and vicinity this afternoon/evening...
   Convection is ongoing in a couple of clusters from western IA to
   central IL, in association with low-level warm advection and MCVs. 
   This convection will help reinforce the stalled front along the same
   corridor, which should focus additional storm development this
   afternoon as the boundary layer to the south destabilizes.  One or
   more clusters may cross the area from northeastern MO across
   southern IL to KY this afternoon into early tonight, with an
   attendant threat for damaging winds and isolated large hail.  "

The risk was increased this morning due to the fact that there is no cloud cover at all, and the instability levels will be quite high.  The most likely development area is north and west of the KC viewing area as you can see on these next couple of maps.

HRRR 3 PM Surface Forecast:

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This forecast map, above, shows the 3 PM forecast.  Thunderstorms are modeled to begin forming around 3 PM north and west of Omaha, Nebraska.  Once they form, conditions are favorable for them to intensify and drop south-southeast.  The potential is there for large hail and damaging winds. A tornado or two is possible way up to the north and west of KC in the Enhanced Slight Risk Area.

6 PM Surface Forecast from the HRRR Model:
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By 6 PM, the thunderstorms are forecast to be organizing over southeastern Nebraska. Hopefully they form a bit farther east and not a bit farther west. If they form just one or two counties west of this area, then KC would be missed by this system entirely. If they form a bit farther east, then KC would be a target for heavy thunderstorms around 10 or 11 PM tonight.

10 PM Surface Forecast From The HRRR Model:

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This 10 PM surface map shows the thunderstorms tracking just west of KC.  After this system goes by, there is another chance on Tuesday night-Wednesday morning.  The GFS model tracks that chance southwest of KC as well, with no rain at all here. The NAM, and other models have a pretty good chance of a complex of thunderstorms early Wednesday morning near KC. Just like during the winter, the spring versions of these chances usually end up with the model that shows not much at all.  So, I have more concerns about missing Wednesdays chance as well. Let's begin with this first chance.  During the winter, we would present three chances showing up, and then it would be strike 1, 2, 3, and your out.  We take our first swing tonight.
Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog.  Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.

Gary
2018-06-12T07:35:04+00:00June 11th, 2018|General|120 Comments

120 Comments

  1. Matt June 11, 2018 at 8:25 am - Reply

    Johnson County area in KS could be near a bad storm at 10pm so maybe in next update gets it in Enhanced Risk area.

  2. Snow Miser June 11, 2018 at 8:25 am - Reply

    The storms that were supposed to be in SE Nebraska at 5-6 pm according to the HRRR appear to be firing up *right now* at 8:30 am.

    • Dustin TheWind June 11, 2018 at 9:02 am - Reply

      The radar right now does look conspicuously similar to the 3 pm model.

  3. Michael Garner June 11, 2018 at 8:53 am - Reply

    Gary, truely curious and not playing any sort of “gotcha” game, did the pattern show the northeast/east coast with so much rain this spring? Don’t know if the temps there are below normal or not but it sure seems like they are they cool “hot” spot to be for any heat relief.

  4. Snow Miser June 11, 2018 at 9:15 am - Reply

    Here’s a great example of schizophrenic models. HRRR has the rain going poof by the time it gets to KC:
    https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/hrrr/2018061113/hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_13.png

  5. LYITC41 June 11, 2018 at 9:32 am - Reply

    I despise this heat and humidity and what makes it worse is it’s not supposed to be this hot this early. Regarding Snow’s post about the models, you might as well throw a dart at a “model” dart board, don’t hold your breath about any good rain tonight. I hope I’m wrong.

  6. Richard June 11, 2018 at 9:33 am - Reply

    Gary
    What happened to the blog writeup ? Have to scroll left to far right to see what you wrote.
    And this font nearly need a magnifying glass to see here in the comment box as I type.

    • Snow Miser June 11, 2018 at 9:45 am - Reply

      I’m getting something like that, too. But it’s only the part after the SPC excerpt – I have to scroll way over to the right. I think he forgot to change some font or something for the rest of his write-up.

    • Gary June 11, 2018 at 10:33 am - Reply

      I copied and pasted the SPC outlook. I should have written my own write up, as it changed the font on me.

      Gary

  7. Richard June 11, 2018 at 9:33 am - Reply

    Well that was strange

    • LYITC41 June 11, 2018 at 9:40 am - Reply

      Might be your equipment, everything’s fine here.

  8. Rockdoc June 11, 2018 at 9:47 am - Reply

    Richard, I have the same problem on my cell phone. Text on right side is cut off. If I rotate phone it will show.

  9. Mason - Basehor June 11, 2018 at 10:18 am - Reply

    I saw a post this weekend about the LRC and the hurricane center going head to head in a forecast for this week and I’m curious about Gary’s thoughts. I went to check the blog and the forecasts to compare.

    Last week in the June 7 blog video Gary called for a tropical storm June 10-15 off the west coast of Florida – and in the w2020 app forecast for Florida he says “A tropical storm, Beryl, will likely form in the southwest Carribean early in the week. The track of the system would take it to the north Gulf Coast, so anyone in Florida needs to pay close attention to the forecast.”

    But the hurricane center and the weather channel say the tropics are staying calm this week with no systems on tap.

    [Boxer announcer voice] In this corner, we have Gary Lezak and his cycling theory, with bold predictions for hurricanes made weeks ahead of the models. He tells Florida to look out! In the other corner, we have the National hurricane center. They say, this week, don’t worry, be happy!”

    • Gary June 11, 2018 at 10:31 am - Reply

      We aren’t expecting any either in this next week. There is a weak indicator, and something to monitor closely. There will be a complex of thunderstorms to monitor, but nothing is showing up for development. The stronger indicators are weeks away. Florida is in the middle of this years LRC Forecast Hot Spot, and is the target multiple times this season. It is still very early. Our big target dates are in August and September, with some potential in late June and July. The huge difference from these other sources and Weather2020 is that we show how, why, where, and when a storm is most likely. The other sources have just one snapshot showing a seasonal forecast, and that is it.

      Gary

      • Brittany June 11, 2018 at 2:09 pm - Reply

        Gary, do you think something forming the first week in July is possible? Will be in Orlando/Disney World for the 4th of July and really don’t want to be in yet another hurricane. Lol.

        • Gary June 11, 2018 at 2:27 pm - Reply

          There is one possible in central Florida in those first few days of July.

          Gary

    • LYITC41 June 11, 2018 at 10:40 am - Reply

      There is an interesting looking system off the coast of Nicaragua, I wouldn’t completely discount it. My money would still be with NHC but he may be on to something. I thought the next long range prediction for a tropical system was mid July.

  10. Matt June 11, 2018 at 11:31 am - Reply
  11. Lary Gezak June 11, 2018 at 11:38 am - Reply

    Enhanced risk in KC. Wonder how this will play out tonight

    • Matt June 11, 2018 at 11:52 am - Reply

      …Lower/Mid-MO Valley to Ozark Plateau…
      A surface cyclone is centered over southeast SD with a cold front
      extending southwest into the southern High Plains. This boundary
      should gradually progress east with the surface low tracking
      southeast where the front occludes and intersects a warm front near
      the MO/IA border. Upper 60s to lower 70s boundary-layer dew points
      are prevalent within the warm sector south towards central/eastern
      OK. This moisture combined with nearly cloud-free insolation along
      with rather steep mid-level lapse rates, will support a large plume
      of very large buoyancy with MLCAPE of 3000-4000 J/kg.

      Initial storm development is anticipated near the surface cyclone
      over the Mid-MO Valley. The strong instability will compensate for
      marginally favorable wind profiles with slow storm motions. This
      should yield a cluster mode with embedded supercells from western IA
      to northeast KS. Very large hail and a few tornadoes will be
      possible within this corridor, mainly between 21-01Z. Thereafter,
      thunderstorm outflow should become more pervasive and upscale growth
      into one or more MCSs will be largely cold pool driven given only
      modest low-level warm advection tonight. As such, confidence is low
      in how convective evolution will play out. Persistent/backbuilding
      storms are possible to the southwest along the front towards
      south-central KS. Another scenario is for a southward-propagating
      MCS towards the Ozark Plateau, which could result in a more
      widespread severe wind threat. With storm-scale processes being the
      predominant driver of severe risk tonight, will broaden the
      probabilities to account for the uncertainty, and defer on greater
      coverage/intensity upgrades for later outlooks.

    • Gary June 11, 2018 at 12:16 pm - Reply

      There is no change in the weather conditions from how it looked yesterday. The SPC often enhances risks as the threat approaches. For us to get the thunderstorms, we must see them form upstream first, and then we will track them. The timing is likely 10 PM to 11 PM or so for KC, and earlier farther north and west. The last few HRRR model runs have had nothing near KC. This model has done somewhat well, compared to the other models, this season. As I said, nothing has changed, yet they increased the risk. I think they may have increased the risk due to more uncertainty, which doesn’t make sense to me.

      Gary

      • Craig June 11, 2018 at 12:36 pm - Reply

        Gary, if you read it closely, you’ll see that all they’ve done is extend the likelihood of severe, MCS-type winds into our area.

        • Gary June 11, 2018 at 1:23 pm - Reply

          And, this is a possibility around 11 PM or midnight time frame.

          Gary

      • Matt June 11, 2018 at 3:01 pm - Reply

        Already showing Rain in Eastcentral Iowa,Southcental KS and Middle KC area on SPC page.

  12. Matt June 11, 2018 at 11:54 am - Reply
  13. yraG June 11, 2018 at 1:12 pm - Reply

    POOF POOF POOF

  14. LYITC41 June 11, 2018 at 1:13 pm - Reply

    For the moment, on visible satellite, there’s not a single cloud in the states of KS, CO, UT, NV, NM, AZ and the vast majority of CA, OK, and TX. That is so damned depressing. I hate this time of year.

  15. Matt June 11, 2018 at 1:33 pm - Reply
  16. Tdogg June 11, 2018 at 2:14 pm - Reply

    If it were only 70 degrees cooler we’d have a doozy blizzard….bummer 😉

  17. FDRLincoln June 11, 2018 at 2:18 pm - Reply

    HRRR now showing that Topeka/Lawrence/KS do get storms.

    Models really struggle with this summer-like MCS pattern.

    If I had to guess, I’d say that we do get a nice line come through before midnight but that it is mostly lightning and wind with disappointing rainfall totals, like what happened with the last robust MCS system. Better than nothing, but not enough to break the dryness completely.

  18. Lisa Lu June 11, 2018 at 2:38 pm - Reply

    I’ve been following Gary and the LRC for around 10 years now. This year I can really see the pattern and even the same but different experience. My least favorite pattern of all time. I live near 123rd/Antioch in OP and can’t pay for a rain drop! Couldn’t pay for a snowflake either. I’ve had a total of 2 rains that actually produced water in the gutters and these storms were months back. All the rest couldnt even get the deck wet. Was just watching JP’s noon video – right in the dry slot again. I do not like this pattern Sam I Am – not in my yard or on my deck or in a car or anywhere. Ready for October and our new cycle.

  19. Craig June 11, 2018 at 3:03 pm - Reply
    • Matt June 11, 2018 at 3:08 pm - Reply

      Were in between the Clouds at the moment. Also latest updated has extended Enhanced Risk into Iowa/Nebraska and gives us stil Wind.

  20. Snow Miser June 11, 2018 at 3:22 pm - Reply

    Both the NAM *and* the HRRR are starting to look pooflacious.

  21. Matt June 11, 2018 at 3:48 pm - Reply

    http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0707.html and also 70% for Thunderstroms tonight.

    • Gary June 11, 2018 at 4:02 pm - Reply

      I just updated the blog with a few graphics. I am on the air now, the Tornado Watch that was just issued does include northwestern Missouri. Thunderstorms will form. It has been a struggle this season to get a true MCS, Mesoscale Convective System. If one does form by 9 or 10 PM, then KC has a much better chance of severe weather. I am just going to monitor it closely with the rest of you. Watch 41Action News, or you can see our streaming video at KSHB.com

      Gary

  22. marlina10 June 11, 2018 at 4:22 pm - Reply

    Why has it been so hot so early this year?

    • Gary June 11, 2018 at 4:30 pm - Reply

      The fronts have lost their punch this far south. It has been much cooler around one state northward, but not here. It is a concern. We will sizzle if it doesn’t rain a lot soon.

      Gary

      • Richard June 11, 2018 at 6:01 pm - Reply

        We’re already sizzling

  23. Craig June 11, 2018 at 4:23 pm - Reply

    Hey, Gary, just wondering if you’ve begun to consider the impact of Pacific Hurricane Bud. By early next week, the moisture from Bud should be flowing into the Southwest…possibly helping to relieve the drought if a disturbance or two could be timed to coincide with its arrival.
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep3+shtml/203444.shtml?cone#contents

    • Gary June 11, 2018 at 4:30 pm - Reply

      Moisture from Pacific Hurricanes only have a chance of impacting our area when it gets to September. The flow aloft is not strong enough to bring anything more than a few clouds this far. Our impacts come from tropical systems that can come into the Texas coast, and these are very rare for us.

      Gary

      • Matt June 11, 2018 at 4:40 pm - Reply

        Don’t forget ones in LA path that includes MO.

        • Richard June 11, 2018 at 6:02 pm - Reply

          LA meaning Louisiana ?

  24. Matt June 11, 2018 at 4:38 pm - Reply

    Storms are starting in Nebraska. Also some in KS and maybe Centralwest MO but that could ground cover.

  25. Michael Garner June 11, 2018 at 5:04 pm - Reply

    Gary do you think this will hold true for next? Or will it be updated like this week was, big change from what it was predicting for this week to what it now says.
    Next week reads;
    June 17
    Active Weather Pattern 79°F / 59°F
    A series of disturbances from the northwest and two main cold fronts could create thunderstorms. Each part of the region will have a good chance of thunderstorms for three to four days this week. Temperatures will run below to much below average. Go to Weather2020.com to join the LRC Forecast Experience Blog and learn more about this breakthrough technology.

    • Jackson in Gladstone June 11, 2018 at 5:45 pm - Reply

      PLEASE let this be true! I (and my lawn) could use it!

  26. Matt June 11, 2018 at 5:31 pm - Reply

    Tornado Warning just south of Omaha.

    • Richard June 11, 2018 at 6:06 pm - Reply

      Thunderstorm warning, not tornado warning

    • Richard June 11, 2018 at 6:08 pm - Reply

      Matt
      Tornado watch for Lincoln. Not sure where you see a tornado warning ?
      Link or app ?

      • REAL HUMEDUDE June 11, 2018 at 6:20 pm - Reply

        There is,in fact ,tornado warning
        South of Omaha.

        • REAL HUMEDUDE June 11, 2018 at 6:45 pm - Reply

          Confirmed Tornado on the ground south Omaha, near Murray ,NE

          • Matt June 11, 2018 at 7:09 pm - Reply

            Theirs one near MO boarder.

  27. REAL HUMEDUDE June 11, 2018 at 6:08 pm - Reply

    Really digging the latest HRRR run
    Its a trifecta, blasts St.Joe, KC,and my farm!
    Hoping everyone gets some rain because there isn’t a sole that couldn’t use it

  28. terry June 11, 2018 at 6:14 pm - Reply

    Severe thunderstorm watch out for the city metro Until 1:00 a.m. Tuesday

  29. Matt June 11, 2018 at 6:26 pm - Reply

    Severe Thunderstorm Watch to 3am.

  30. Bobbie June 11, 2018 at 7:04 pm - Reply

    Bring on RAIN!

  31. Snow Miser June 11, 2018 at 7:08 pm - Reply

    On the satellite that storm over Omaha is basically as big as a small hurricane by now.

  32. Larry June 11, 2018 at 8:26 pm - Reply

    Lawrence has hit 100 degrees both Sunday and today. I can’t wait to see what the rest of June, July and August look like.

  33. WeathermanKumke June 11, 2018 at 8:33 pm - Reply

    MCS right now looks relatively healthy. Should make it through the immediate metro and should start to rapidly fall apart soon after. D-Cape looks rather good with the mid air intrusion and the inverted V Skew is reletively classic for a typical damaging wind MCS. Probably some 75+ mph reports in the area before it’s done.

    • LYITC41 June 12, 2018 at 8:43 am - Reply

      Alrighty then! I’m sure everyone here knows what all that means. Makes you look smart though.

  34. Tdogg June 11, 2018 at 8:35 pm - Reply

    I’m getting scared

  35. Anonymous June 11, 2018 at 8:40 pm - Reply

    This does look much healthier on radar than the last several. I think we’ll get some good rain outta this finally.

  36. Trevor June 11, 2018 at 8:49 pm - Reply

    How far southwest are the storms supposed to make it. Ottawa area?

    • Farmer Steve June 11, 2018 at 9:11 pm - Reply

      I sure hope so Mr. Anderson.

  37. Fredd32 June 11, 2018 at 8:58 pm - Reply

    Finally looking like we will get some rain in Lee’s Summit. We have been lucky compared to some of you guys for sure but it has begun to get a little dry as the last few storms collapsed before they got this far Southeast. My fence was blown over 2 weeks ago and barely got a drop of rain to show for it.

  38. Bobbie June 11, 2018 at 9:05 pm - Reply

    No update? I know Gary has to be watching the radar…..

  39. Kstater June 11, 2018 at 9:15 pm - Reply

    These better start diving south faster. They may pass to the east of Lawrence if not.

    • WeathermanKumke June 11, 2018 at 9:27 pm - Reply

      The storms are moving SSE at 35mph

    • Heat Miser June 11, 2018 at 9:32 pm - Reply

      the line is growing and extending more south westward

  40. Anonymous June 11, 2018 at 9:25 pm - Reply

    Just saw an outflow pop up on radar. I am no expert but I would say that is probably bad news for our rain chance this evening

  41. DaveC June 11, 2018 at 9:26 pm - Reply

    I don’t know.. just not feeling it again. I feel we’ve been burned way too many times in the pass. Line will weaken and break apart by the KC area..

  42. Mr. Pete June 11, 2018 at 9:45 pm - Reply

    Really need this ☔️ rain!

  43. Nate June 11, 2018 at 9:45 pm - Reply

    Won’t do much of anything for our drought

    • Heat Miser June 11, 2018 at 10:04 pm - Reply

      we aren’t in much of a drought yet anyway…we ll take it

  44. Snow Miser June 11, 2018 at 10:04 pm - Reply

    Looks like Kurt is getting a good dousing right now.

  45. Jordan June 11, 2018 at 10:29 pm - Reply

    We are so dry in northern Wyandotte, and it looks like we’re getting the split. This pattern is so frustrating!

    • Jordan June 11, 2018 at 10:48 pm - Reply

      May have spoken too soon. I thought that outflow boundary was going to completely kill it.

  46. Mike June 11, 2018 at 10:56 pm - Reply

    Poof!!!
    Poof!!!

    • Three7s June 11, 2018 at 10:57 pm - Reply

      Yep, falling apart right on top of us. Classic LRC.

      • WeathermanKumke June 11, 2018 at 11:08 pm - Reply

        No it’s not. It’s still pretty healthy. Heck, even the space between the two warnings had filled in with reds and pinks near Leavenworth and Lansing over the last 10-15 minutes. RadarScope shows this very well on the precipitation depectation (trust this more than super res reflectivity)

  47. Heat Miser June 11, 2018 at 11:13 pm - Reply

    LAWRENCE is a bout to get severe weather

    • WeathermanKumke June 11, 2018 at 11:19 pm - Reply

      https://imgur.com/a/I33Od2P Yup seems like three7s and Mike can’t read radar

      • Jordan June 11, 2018 at 11:42 pm - Reply

        I’m in northern Wyandotte, and it looks like they’re correct from where I am. We haven’t (and probably won’t) get a drop.

      • Mike June 11, 2018 at 11:55 pm - Reply

        Poof
        Poof

        • TDogg June 12, 2018 at 1:22 am - Reply

          Your an idiot

      • Three7s June 12, 2018 at 6:05 am - Reply

        Wrong. The storm out west looked good, but the further east you went, the weaker it got. I’m not even sure I got .10 of an inch, just another lousy windstorm. I said it once, I’ll say it again. Poof.

  48. Mr. Pete June 11, 2018 at 11:22 pm - Reply

    It’s like it’s dying at the Johnson County KS line.

    • WeathermanKumke June 11, 2018 at 11:25 pm - Reply

      Except nothing on radar justifies that statement that it’s “dying” at the line. These storms will be slow to build behind the outflow so it should be another 30-45 before Overland Park gets hit.

      • Mr. Pete June 11, 2018 at 11:37 pm - Reply

        Maybe just maybe 1/4 inch of rain tops. Will all bake off tomorrow…

        • WeathermanKumke June 11, 2018 at 11:43 pm - Reply

          Kinda your fault for thinking the average location would receive 2-3 inches of rain from this.

          Pretty sure everyone had this as a 1/2-3/4 inch scenario for the city if we got the severe weather portion since PWATs around 1.8-1.9.

          • Mr. Pete June 11, 2018 at 11:50 pm - Reply

            Yeah just another glorified wind storm.

  49. Skylar June 11, 2018 at 11:58 pm - Reply

    Giving this storm a warning so far has not planned out at all. The rain is crazy but I don’t think the winds have even gusted over 20 mph.

    • WeathermanKumke June 12, 2018 at 12:29 am - Reply

      Some pea sized hail near 119th and K-7

    • j-ox June 12, 2018 at 9:05 am - Reply

      How much in your NW Lawrence gauge, Skylar?
      I had to break out the sprinklers over the weekend and did not even think to empty my gauge…

  50. Mr. Pete June 12, 2018 at 12:28 am - Reply

    Radar would suggest that PV is getting heavy rain but not getting a drop. Sprinklers back on tomorrow!!!

  51. Jonathan Stauch June 12, 2018 at 12:43 am - Reply

    shut up and enjoy the weather dry or wet 😂

  52. WeathermanKumke June 12, 2018 at 1:07 am - Reply

    Says .71 in my digital rain gauge as the rain ends off 119th and K-7. Spot on forecast

  53. TDogg June 12, 2018 at 1:21 am - Reply

    Just over an inch k7 & k10.

  54. Mr. Pete June 12, 2018 at 1:26 am - Reply

    Just a few drops here. Not even measurable. But even if it had rained some it would bake off quickly by next few days.

  55. Nate June 12, 2018 at 3:01 am - Reply

    Whatever. Living in Tucson isn’t bad I guess

    • LYITC41 June 12, 2018 at 6:27 am - Reply

      At least they expect it to be hot and dry there in early June. It’s actually a pretty nice town.

  56. f00dl3 June 12, 2018 at 6:35 am - Reply

    0.29″ in Lenexa. Indian Creek still at it’s banks. pfft.

  57. Melanie June 12, 2018 at 7:08 am - Reply

    Only 1/8″ in Eastern Shawnee. Very dissapointing.

  58. Jason June 12, 2018 at 7:37 am - Reply

    .70″ just South of Lawrence last night. I’ll take it.

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