Are You Ready for Some Thunderstorms?

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Good Sunday bloggers,

Saturday afternoon and evening we did have a few thunderstorms in northern Missouri, but they were few and far between. These are not drought busters. We need several rounds of widespread rain and thunderstorms and this pattern is not capable of producing widespread rain.

We have a set up Monday night for thunderstorms, but again, not all locations will get hit.

SUNDAY: Today will be hot and humid, but a south wind of 10-25 mph will help a bit. The main thunderstorms will be located from Iowa to Indiana.

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MONDAY: Any thunderstorms tonight and Monday morning will again be well north along I-80. Monday will be another hot and humid day with a bit less wind than today. Now, something different will be occurring. A cold front will approach from the west during the afternoon and this will be the focus for Monday night thunderstorms.

2

MONDAY 5-7 PM: The cold front moves east and scattered thunderstorms are likely to form on the front from northwest Missouri to eastern Kansas. There is a slight risk of severe weather and some of the thunderstorms may contain damaging winds and large hail.

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MONDAY NIGHT (7 PM-MIDNIGHT): Are you ready for some thunderstorms? Well, some locations will get some nice rain, others will not. The thunderstorms will be lined up along the front by 9 PM. The flow aloft is quite weak, so any severe weather will be spotty, but again some thunderstorms will have the chance of producing damaging winds and large hail.

3

MONDAY NIGHT (AFTER MIDNIGHT): Well, here we go again. The thunderstorms will be moving southeast and east and falling apart. So, not all locations will get decent rain, but the coverage will hopefully be higher than some of the previous events.

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RAINFALL FORECAST THROUGH TUESDAY: The most rain will occur from Iowa to Ohio with amounts 2″ to 5″. This is great news for the main corn belt. But, we are also in the corn belt and rain is needed. The only chance of rain through Tuesday is Monday night and you can see our forecast is for none to 1″ with a few locations seeing up to 2″. Hopefully, your yard or farm gets the drink of water it needs.

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The “Sprinkler Warning” continues until we get some decent rain. Even if the rain Monday night is fairly widespread, it is the main chance for the week at this moment. There are thunderstorm chances Wednesday and Thursday, but the chances are not great as they also will try to weaken as they approach. These other chances could certainly produce more, but we know how things have been going.

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Have a great week.

Jeff Penner

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f00dl3
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f00dl3

HRRR shows nothing in Kansas City tonight.

Matt
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Matt

KC area near the Enhanced Risk today.

Emaw
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Emaw

We’re going to get a blog about “the ring of fire” soon.

Matt
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Matt

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/watch/ww0171.html So if get upgraded to a Enhanced Risk tomorrow this what happen here tomorrow.

Richard
Guest
Richard

I really liked having 4 seasons. But not liking this Kansas weather much anymore. Somewhere along the way, Mother Nature decided we only need 2 seasons here. Winter and summer. Thing is she took it too far by giving us frigid winters without snow ! So now I hibernate pretty much year round.

Jordan
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Jordan

They’ve already dropped the chance to 10% on Monday now? This is ridiculous.

Blue Flash
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Blue Flash

They are still showing 50% Monday night.

Jordan
Guest
Jordan

The 3-day forecast on the KSHB website is showing 10% Monday and Tuesday. They may have forgotten to update it, but it definitely says 10% both days.

Richard
Guest
Richard

Jordan
Gary explained that the one at the top when you first open their page is a computer generated graphic/forecast.
But scroll way down and you will see the one they show on air. 7 day put out by the wx team. It shows 30% for Mon and Wed,

https://www.kshb.com/weather

Jordan
Guest
Jordan

Ah, OK. Thanks for the info, Richard.

Jason
Guest
Jason

I’m not getting my hopes up. Grass is turning brown. I live in the country, so I don’t waste water as nobody sees my yard much anyways. Hoping for a nice drink with tempered expectations.

Bobbie
Guest
Bobbie

What does the LRC tell us about precip tomorrow?

MattinLeavenworth
Guest
MattinLeavenworth

If this trend continues into July we obviously are in trouble. The farm ponds up here in Leavenworth and Jefferson counties are noticeably lowering. The corn up here seems to be growing ok for now, but I’m not sure how these young bean sprouts are going to do if we don’t get some good rain soon. Might be a bad year for farmers. So when is this cycle supposed to end?

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

I was up at Lake Perry yesterday and boats were running aground in arms that are normally 10 feet deep

Stl78(winon,mn)
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Stl78(winon,mn)

Up here in se MN we have received just under 1.5 inches in 2 days and now it feels as though we are entering fall vs summer as we sit at 64 degrees. I don’t miss the mid and upper 90s but I would like it a tad warmer so we can take the boat out. Oh well right. Hope u guys receive so much needed rain!!! Cheers

KS Jones
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KS Jones

It is currently 101° in Manhattan and 99° in Marysville.

terry
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terry

Bring the Thunder feel the lightning !

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

As recently as a week ago everything was still looking green around here. Now it’s all starting to look dry.

Richard
Guest
Richard

Yep.
My hit and miss green grass last week is now noticeably more miss. Lot of brown.
Not going to water it. Let it go. But I do water around my tree. Out from the trunk.

Brittany
Guest
Brittany

Jeff, I noticed the high on Tuesday is still 92°, so I guess that means the cold front coming through tomorrow is pretty weak? When do you see a break from the heat?

Thad Arganbright
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Thad Arganbright

Do you see any real breaks in this hit dry pattern coming??

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

I’m going to water my lawn today to ensure that it rains tomorrow.