Will It Turn Wet Or Not?

Share on facebook
Share on twitter
Share on pinterest

Good morning bloggers,

Screen Shot 2018-06-07 at 7.40.53 AM

The only alerts that are numerous this morning are the smog alerts, the ozone alerts in gray.  It is a fairly quiet morning across the United States when it comes to watches, warnings, and advisories.  There are complexes of thunderstorms, however:

Screen Shot 2018-06-07 at 7.18.23 AM

There is a disturbance coming our way, and yet we are not sure if it will rain or not.  Looking at the models is almost no help in the KC metro area.  But, there is a lot of rain forecast by some of the models during the next ten days. Here is todays video:

Have a  great day!

Gary

Share this post with your friends

Share on facebook
Share on google
Share on twitter
Share on linkedin

38
Leave a Reply

avatar
17 Comment threads
21 Thread replies
0 Followers
 
Most reacted comment
Hottest comment thread
20 Comment authors
f00dl3Mr. PeteNateNickEmaw Recent comment authors
  Subscribe  
newest oldest most voted
Notify of
f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

Next week is drying up too….
comment image

For 15 days at this time of year, barely over an inch.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Sprinklers back on.

Nate
Guest
Nate

Just noticed NWS dropped their percentage chances way down for the next 4 days, then again they don’t even make the cut as far as accuracy. 5th grade science class could do a better job

Nick
Guest
Nick

This past week has been a long one, had a family medical emergency so the past week has felt like a month, Did have two(three) storm events in St. Joe since last Saturday Morning, one coming home from the hospital in high winds and then hitting the heavy rain, then last night we had a high wind event when storms collapsed on us, we lost 3 5 foot or so long branches, and there was a split tree that crashed into another tree and was blocking the sidewalk on my walk to work today, watching the clouds of dust whip… Read more »

Emaw
Guest
Emaw

Radar is bone dry from here to Colorado.

Anonymous
Guest
Anonymous

VERY cool news coming from NASA today about Mars. The rover drilled down in the ancient lake bed and found organics. The rover also confirmed seasonal fluctuations of methane in the atmosphere – the spikes are coming during the summer months.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

They better Keep the “Organics” safely away from Earth. Who knows what kind of bug might in that sediment, ancient Virus or god knows what. Keep the Martians on Mars, but I agree very cool and basically proves aliens are real even though who even really doubts that there’s life elsewhere when space is nearly infinite?

Richard
Guest
Richard

Sounds like the conspiracy theorist Clyde Lewis on Ground Zero.
He thinks the ISS might be endangering earth with their experiments.
He’s paranoid as hell.

Heat Miser
Guest
Heat Miser

which doesn’t mean life …not really that exciting…just a potential building block..have heard that before. When can show life existed, get back to me

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

HRRR is now showing small storms in the area around 5-6 pm
comment image

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

HRRR has been drinking hard liquor lately though, it had the storms making it into KC last night – Miss Earlier it had my area getting big storms redeveloping off an outflow – miss atmosphere is a jumbled mess right now, the HRRR nor any model has a clue what is evolving today, tomorrow, or the next day. All very small scale features, not big storm system or true front to be had. Simply have to watch radar and see what’s coming down the pike, or if there is an obvious outflow boundary in you area – then you can… Read more »

jsquibble
Guest
jsquibble

not sure if the HRRR is going to be correct as it doesnt show the big complex of storms heading towards dallas currently

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Its gone bonkers, its output is trash right now. It was great just a few days ago, when things are more settled its more accurate. When its trying to pinpoint outflows good luck, its a terrible at doing that. What I cant understand is how when it updates on the hour it still doesn’t see the large MCS systems that have been alive for many hours, its really, really, BAD right now.

Mason - Basehor
Guest
Mason - Basehor

My money is on Richard getting blocked soon, much like Snowflake did, for asking the tough questions.

Richard
Guest
Richard

Gary
So I guess you won’t be giving a summer forecast ? You have not mentioned it.

But I would like to know if you think we will have any extensive heat waves,
Like how many 100 + days, and how long. Rather length of heat waves.
I think a heat wave is 3 straight days of 95 plus, right ?

Guess thats too much to ask ?

Craig
Guest
Craig

You can be such a pain in the ass, Richard, that I’m not sure I would reply to you, either.

Michael Garner
Guest
Michael Garner

I guess I must be too as I asked several times to the point that I gave up asking. Appreciate your positive input towards this conversation

Tdogg
Guest
Tdogg

Instead of Richard, can I call you Dick?

TDogg
Guest
TDogg

Sure. Dumbass.

Mason - Basehor
Guest
Mason - Basehor

I, for one, can’t wait for the huge cool-down the next two weeks that W2020 is forecasting for the KC metro: – June 10 Many Weather Changes 72°F / 53°F The week will start very warm and humid with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms as weak disturbances drift across the Plains. Then a stronger system and cold front will track west to east across the region, bringing a good chance of rain and thunderstorms for two to three days. Some thunderstorms may be severe with very heavy rain. Eastern sections of Kansas and Nebraska and all of Iowa… Read more »

Richard
Guest
Richard

I hope thats right

Michael Garner
Guest
Michael Garner

I asked about this yesterday, I don’t believe it happen, but I’m not the expert

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

Keep on dreamin. We need rain first!

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Mason – that W2020 forecast is so obviously bad it hurts my eyes to read it. Its clear there is little threat of a cold front, let alone a powerful cold front that will render temps below to MUCH below average. I don’t see a single high next week under 88F, that’s still almost 5F above average. Most days will be in the 90s unless there is a debris cloud field to content with like we have today that’s messing with temps. Sure, we might get a storm complex or two in the NW flow he describes, but a strong… Read more »

Roger
Guest
Roger

Only 0.10 – 0.25 inches have been recorded across the majority of central and southcentral Kansas. The big winners were from Medicine Lodge, KS, southeast to Enid, Stillwater, and OKC.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

I’d think there has to be a significant outflow boundary left by these storms in KS.
As formal title of the blog, that’s why we come here, to find out! I’m not seeing a clear indication to the answer, are we basically nowcasting until the next LRC? How can the models be this unreliable? It’s 2018, seems like weather was more accurate 20 years ago than it is today. Maybe that’s right maybe not, super frustrating we have no reliable forecasting tools.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

If nothing else, all these clouds are keeping things cool.

Michel Casteel
Guest
Michel Casteel

I recorded .23” inches of rain up here in Maryville Missouri have a great day bloggers Michael

C.C
Guest
C.C

Gary off track a little bit here,
Going to ask for a hurricane forecast, if you think there will be one around the first week of July

jsquibble
Guest
jsquibble

we need to rename the kc area Wakanda as anything that tries to come in just falls apart and dies lol

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

No chance this rain on radar makes it. The most intense area of thunderstorms is going southeast, well away from the area. The area to the north is going to die long before it makes it.