Good Sunday bloggers,
Today is starting totally opposite of the way Saturday began as we have a clear sky, almost no wind and temperatures in the 50s. This afternoon will be spectacular with highs in the low 80s. Now, most locations still need rain as we teeter on drought conditions. The thunderstorms from Saturday in the KC area were more wind than rain. The wind was a result of rapidly collapsing thunderstorms, so rainfall amounts across the city were around .10″ to .50″.
In order to keep the yard green this time of year you need 1″ to 2″ of rain per week. We average about 1.50″ of rain per week as well this time of year. You will see why we have a “Sprinkler Warning” in effect after we go through the weather for the upcoming week.
SUNDAY: We are in for some great weather with 100% sunshine, lower humidity, a northwest breeze 5-15 mph and highs in the low 80s.
MONDAY: A system will track out of the Rockies and move into the Plains. This would normally be an efficient rain and thunderstorm producer, but since we have lost the higher dew points, it will be a cloud, few showers producer. Highs will be in the upper 70s to low 80s.
MONDAY NIGHT: This system will encounter some moisture, so thunderstorms are possible in southern Kansas, but they will track southeast from that location.
TUESDAY: The system will exit and we will see a return to highs 85°-90° along with humidity. But, it will still be dry and this makes it three more days without rain.
WEDNESDAY-FRIDAY: The pattern will set up in to one where disturbances will track out of the Rockies every 12 to 24 hours. These disturbances will generate thunderstorms in the western Plains that will become more organized clusters as they track east and southeast. There are two things to remember. One, we have been mostly missed with this weather pattern. Two, the models will have a terrible time picking out the location and track of the thunderstorms. So, take the following maps with a grain of salt.
Wednesday night and Thursday morning it looks like the best thunderstorm chances will be along I-80, but we could easily see these drift south.
Thursday night into Friday the thunderstorms are closer and these may form and drift south by Friday morning.
Eureka! The data finally has the rain and thunderstorms in our area Friday morning.
The bottom line is that Wednesday night through Friday and possibly into next weekend we will have chances of thunderstorms every 12 to 24 hours. The exact locations are far from set in stone, so we will be updating this as we get closer and will have to take it one day at a time. The set up for each day will depend on how things evolve the previous day.
Since, there is no real good chance of rain until Thursday we are in a “Sprinkler Warning.”
Have a great week.