May Rainfall Totals: First 20 Days

Good morning bloggers,

We are now moving into the last third of May, which is climatologically the wettest ten day stretch on average in Kansas City.  On Sunday morning, thunderstorms developed around the northern edge of a disturbance, and if you got underneath one then your lawn got a nice drink of water.  I had 1.00″ exactly yesterday at my place in south Overland Park. but the month is still under 2″ at my house.

May Rainfall Totals:

  • KCI Airport:  4.51″ (12 days with at least a trace out of the first 20 days of the month)
  • Topeka, KS:  3.07″
  • Emporia, KS:  3.07″
  • Pleasant Hill, MO:  2.52″
  • Johnson County Executive Airport, KS:  1.94″
  • Downtown Kansas City Airport: 1.91″
  • Manhattan, KS:  1.70″
  • St. Joseph, MO:  1.69″
  • Gardner, New Century Airport, KS:  1.55″
  • Dodge City, KS:  1.03″
  • Amarillo, TX:  0.08″

The same pattern has been rather consistent with very few exceptions.  KCI Airport had two very wet thunderstorms that went right over the radar site to get the official total to 4.51″.  Amarillo, TX, quite obviously, did not have even one thunderstorm target their radar site. That 0.o8″ total just adds to their drought plagued total since mid-October of 0.93″.  Think about that total; less than one inch of rain with zero inches of snow in the last seven months. The drought extends northeast into the KC region.

Screen Shot 2018-05-21 at 7.48.57 AM

The drought has eroded to the north and south of our area, with St. Joseph down the middle of this extension from the Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles.

There was one huge thunderstorm in northern Missouri Saturday night around 11:45 PM:

Version 2

Glen in Trenton sent this picture in, and wow.  Look very closely. You can see the smaller hail stones that got wrapped into the large hail stone. No one has ever experienced hail forming, but the violent collisions, the freezing of all of that into the very large hail stone must be just incredible.

Kansas City Weather Timeline:

  • Today: Morning low clouds will break up by early afternoon. Temperatures will warm up into the mid to upper 70s. Just a light west breeze.
  • Tuesday: Mostly sunny and warmer. South winds 5-15 mph. High:  85°

Have a great day!

Gary

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Richard
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Richard

Wow
Quite a dig at the NWS.
Gary, what say you about this, if you get the time to read it.

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2018/05/reforming-national-weather-service-part.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

When I lived in the Seattle area I used to read Cliff Mass’ blog all the time, still read it sometimes now. He’s definitely got strong opinions about many things, but overall I think he’s mostly spot on with his observations. If I were president I’d love to have him run the National Weather Service. 😉

Anonymous
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Anonymous

I would appreciate an updated 12 week forecast. This week is still saying near average temps but actual forecast is calling for highs in the upper 80s and even some 90s.

I understand that forecasting that far out is difficult but if it is going to continue to miss by so much then…why bother?

Emaw
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Emaw

Too hot, too cold, too wet, too dry. For crying out loud we live in the midwest, we’re land locked! No mountains, no oceans, no great lakes, this is what you get here. People have survived here for a long time just chill and let ‘er eat! 😉

NoBeachHere
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NoBeachHere

Gary,
Since there is not much weather wise, could you do a blog on the quasi permanent trough. A definition, past and current placement. Also, is it possible that has been there, around us, do you figure this in to the LRC cycles? Or is it something else that’s a puzzle? Any frequency to its movements?

Nick
Guest
Nick

Well here in St. Joe I would say we are in a drought, now is it as bad as 2012? no, but 2012 was a high end extreme, thats like saying if the Missouri river is at 22 ft here( flood stage is 17 feet) then its not a flood just a fat river because its not at 32 ft like during 1993. there are different levels of drought, and yes there the ‘boundary’ of what is and isn’t a drought is fuzzy depending on whom you talk to. the reason there is “belly aching” is because this is a… Read more »

MMike
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MMike

Tdogg,

In the history of the whole world, nobody has ever looked back and said, wow, that drought last year was so green.

Nobody puts green vegetation and drought in the same category.

It’s drier then normal, that is all. Now, when yards die off and trees start stressing, then you can toot the drought horn all you want .

Tdogg
Guest
Tdogg

Terry=MMike because Green grass=no drought….makes sense

Michael Garner
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Michael Garner

When does the summer forecast come out?

Michael Garner
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Michael Garner

So much for hoping those strong April cold fronts would still come back thru, not as strong obviously as it is end of May, but it would appear those extremely below average temperature days in April mean above average days at the end of May. O well, as a winter and fall fan only 4 months from the potential fall cold fronts.

Richard
Guest
Richard

I asked the same a couple of weeks ago. Seasonal differences.
But it makes no sense, LRC-wise, that we were way below average temps in April then flip-flop to above average in May.
April 8 cold and snow ! 47 days later, May 25 is predicted to be above average, much like the whole month.

Roger
Guest
Roger

According to the Wichita NWS, May is running 7-10+ degrees above normal. CPC has us well above average in temps and below normal in precip through at least June 10.

Steve
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Steve

Live 60 mi. SWW of St Joe. Have received 1.61″ of ran this month with a 1″ rain 5/2. Need moisture!

Roger
Guest
Roger

Central Kansas agrees with you! After receiving locally 1.50 inches on May 2nd, we have seen only 0.50-0.75 inches in the last 18 days. Only spotty rains are forecasted in the next 10 days. Which would end May at only 40-50% of normal.

Kurt
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Kurt

That’s about what the official reporting station in St. Joseph has registered somewhere around 2 inches for the Month of May, which is about 1/2 of normal for the month. I do think they broke 4 inches total year to date this weekend. Some areas of town though has pretty good rains last week (but it was very spotty and localized downpours depending on the area) 1/2 mile away of even a few blocks away made a world of difference. It’s easy to assume everything is fine on the surface when everything is green and blooming, but some of us… Read more »

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

I got close to 3″ at the farm over Saturday and Sunday, several rounds of strong thunderstorms and got the creek up bank full. We are sitting pretty for now, got the subsoil moisture recharged which had really gotten dry over past few weeks. Hard to say the area is in a drought with St. Joe being the exception, I will agree its been a drier pattern but hard to say this is drought conditions. My yard in Shawnee ,KS is soggy and has been growing nonstop all season even though on drier side. Look how much rain has fallen… Read more »

MMike
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MMike

Three7’s, The drought continues… I didn’t know droughts were full of alive trees, growing grass and beautiful green. There was great rains over the weekend,(slow steady rains in many areas) our entire portfolio of properties are very moist this morning. Droughts don;t have moist soils and thriving bushes, shrubs, trees, grass. I know it’s drier then normal, but drought? Droughts have dead stuff everywhere, non growing grass, no humidity. Ya see, yes, below average on moisture but it has been manageable due to the type of weather we are getting. That is, some well timed rains, humidity which helps keep… Read more »

Three7s
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Three7s

The reason I said what I said is because if we are struggling for rain during the time of the year when we are supposed to get slammed, what will happen when summer actually hits?

If summer acts like summer usually does, this will be a drought. If we went by actual rainfall totals, some areas would be close already.

Three7s
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Three7s

Also, I probably should’ve originally said that we COULD be in a drought come summer if things don’t change. Not everyone is in a drought right now, but I just really worry about summer right now.

MMike
Guest
MMike

Three7’s,

But, summer didn’t act like summer last year. Remember, we were below average on temps and way above on moisture. Ya just never know sometimes…

I get what you are saying though.
We’re just getting by now, that can change quickly in either direction.

Troy Newman
Member
Troy Newman

I think the better description is one of concern about a drought and it does matter where you are located. At this point the people who are suffering are those growing wheat and hay as as well as pasture. We have ponds that have dried up for the first time in 15-20 years and some people are fencing off whats left so their cattle don’t get stuck in the mud. The row crops are ok for now but our sub soil moisture is non existent as we have only had 5″ since October which is 1/3 of what we normally… Read more »

KS Jones
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KS Jones

I’m surprised Manhattan has gotten only 1.7″ of rain so far this month. This area (25 miles directly north of Manhattan) has gotten 3.32″, but most of that came in the first 3 days of May, and the most rain we’ve had since May 3rd was 0.31″ on May 19th.

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

Well, to avoid a major drought, we have three things to hope for in the summer. A southwesterly flow could bring in monsoon rains, assuming “the ridge” doesn’t kill it. A northwesterly flow means MCS activity, which we should have at least a little of. Our last option would be the remnants of a hurricane, which actually ended the 2012 drought.

If one of those three things doesn’t happen consistently during the summer, this drought will get ugly if it isn’t already.

f00dl3
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f00dl3

Snow Miser,

That article looked kind of valid until I saw the very scientific term Mega Rains describing 2″ rainfalls.

2″ rainfalls are not that uncommon. We just have better reporting on it now than 30 years ago.

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

Interesting point!

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

That said, why would they be reporting them better in the Midwest in the last 30 years, but reporting them worse in the South (and a few other areas) over the same time period?

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

Mega-rain defined ; “Mega-rain” events that have occurred since statehood. These are events in which six inches of rain covers more than 1000 square miles and the core of the event topped eight inches. Rainfalls of this magnitude and geographic extent have the potential to become catastrophic. I’m not reading that as describing a 2″ rainfall. What they are describing is in fact, a huge rainfall for any geographic area to deal with. Sort of how we dealt with those mega rains last year that flooded out Coaches a couple times and devastated southern JOCO. They do seem to be… Read more »

Three7s
Guest
Three7s

Well, yesterday was supposed to be a wide-spread all day rain, and that wasn’t even close to the case. The drought continues.

Richard
Guest
Richard

It rained-drizzled-misted most if the day in my area of Olathe

Heat Miser
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Heat Miser

It rained off and on most of the the day in Lawrence

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

Got a forecast for this weekend??

George
Guest
George

Got just over 1/2″ total at my house for Saturday and Sunday. 87th & Antioch in OP

Ben
Guest
Ben

Gary,
Looking at the long range forecast our rain chances are running out for May. We have a few small chances this week though. Is your confidence high we can get a few showers this week?

MMike
Guest
MMike

WOW! It’s been a crazy 60 days. Starting all the way back to the first day of spring, we went on to have 90 percent of the days below average for the first month of spring….the growing season was very slow to start and some warm season grasses were still dormant all the way up to May 1st. So, winter was 5 months long this past season. Then boom!!…Summer hit. We skipped spring. We have been well above average for the entire month of May. We went from zero leaves on the trees, dormant grass, to a raging summer growth… Read more »

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser