Good morning bloggers,
We have morning thunderstorms. They are elevated, but with a few heavy downpours. The GFS and the HRRR did the best with this mornings thunderstorm activity, so these will be the models of choice in the next few days. Here is a picture of Sunny the Weather Dog as the thunderstorms were forming. The bases were pretty high up, around 10,000 feet. These high based thunderstorms were forming on the edge of the capping layer at around that level.
After these morning thunderstorms move by, the potential for redevelopment is rather slim. The GFS model does have a few forming this evening. Again, this model is the only model that picked out this mornings activity the past few days, so we will see about the potential this evening near the front, but the HRRR has this:
The SPC has minimal risks nationwide despite the interesting surface set up. The reason is the fact that the main storm is way out over the western states and it has thrown a ridge over the plains.
Have a great day. Go over to the Weather2020 blog to join in the conversation.