Good morning bloggers,
The pattern looks like it should be wet, but instead it continues to be rather dry. The chance of thunderstorms will increase a little bit after the weekend is over. Between now and then the chances are slight. Take a look at the KC sky this morning:
These bands of higher and middle clouds, high level altostratus, around 14,000 feet above us this morning, indicate that it will be another dry day. St. Joseph, MO has had 3.62″ of rain this year which is 38% of the average of 9.41″ by todays date. The surface set up is rather incredible, when you realize the chance of thunderstorms is around 20% at best:
This European Model above shows the dry fronts. Oh, there are areas of precipitation mostly over the higher terrain out west and across the northern plains and upper midwest. The region near the fronts, closer to KC, has very warm air aloft building in around 10,000 feet up and this will likely prevent thunderstorms from forming near the fronts. By Sunday night and Monday the chances of thunderstorms may go up a bit.
Rainfall Forecast from the Euro Model: Next Ten Days
Let’s see how this pattern evolves. Have a great day and thank you for sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.