The Next Big Severe Weather Risk

Good morning bloggers,

Surviving The Storm is on 41 Action News at 6:30 PM tonight:  We will discuss the dates when severe weather will set up, the spring forecast, new radar technology & much more! You can watch it streaming on KSHB.com

It has been one wild month of April.  The jet stream is showing signs of weakening just a bit and retreating north, and this will lead to some warming as winter loosens its grip on North America.  Here is an April calendar showing this wild month of April here in KC. Just look at the extremes, and I didn’t put down there that it was 31 degrees for the high temperature earlier this week, on Sunday. This smashed the record lowest high temperature by ten degrees.  The other lows on this calendar show the other records, and it has snowed three straight Sundays, which is just incredible.

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Todays Video Blog – We look into the end of next week where one of our targeted dates for severe thunderstorms is now beginning to show up on the models:

Kansas City is now way below average on rainfall. The pressure will be on the end of next weeks set ups to produce heavy rain, as you can see KC is now over 2″ below average for the year.

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Thank you for sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Click on the blog over on Weather2020 and we can have a great conversation today. I have meetings until later this afternoon, so I will check in when I get the time if you have any questions.  Have a great Thursday!

Gary

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JoeK
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JoeK

Taking a trip to Michigan ( lansing area) anybody have any history of where to go and what to see?

Rockdoc
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Rockdoc

Joe K. Not too far away and to the south of Lansing is the town of Hell, Michigan. If I remember correctly they have a few little shops with neat items referencing their town name. There is also Michigan State University, or the Capital of Michigan building in Lansing. That’s about all I know. I lived in Ann Arbor and didn’t make it up to Lansing but maybe 2 times to visit friends in college.

Anonymous
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Anonymous

How confident are you about more rain?

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

I’d like to know how cold it will be in May as well. No need to summarize the boat until all of the freezes are over.

Emaw
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Emaw

How cold is it going to get in May? Are we talking records again? If so I might not even bother with tomatoes. The spring that wasn’t could lead to the summer that wasn’t. Don’t worry about hitting 100 may not even get to 90!

Blue Flash
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Blue Flash

And yet another record low this morning!

Richard
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Richard

Gary on vacation ?

Kurt
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Kurt

If the 12Z GFS is nearly correct, and the runs have been consistent with numerous systems but meager QPF from any system, the total through May 5th for my are is 1 – 2 inches, yet anything helps but when we entering the wetter time of year and only may manage 1 or 2 inches I just don’t see how our moderate drought condition improve and if we crank up the temps in May I see it getting worse. I would love to have had the 4.7 inches of rain that Kansas City has had versus the only 2 inches.… Read more »

Roger
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Roger
Richard
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Richard

Roger
Thanks for that.
Sad and terrifying photos.
Cedar trees burn so fast. The porous wood, and the oils create a hot, fast burning fire.
Rain ! They need rain !

Roger
Guest
Roger

This heavy rain continues to target central Oklahoma; not NW OK, TX and OK panhandles, and C and W Kansas, where we need it most. Sure, a drink is a drink, but 0.25″ to 0.50″ barely dents the wildfire/drought outlook. There will be a slight green-up, but especially in areas where the land is already burned. We’ll need the rain prospects the last few days of April to pan out too before I get too excited.

Troy Newman
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Troy Newman

A friend of mine from near Clear Lake, IA says they have had 43″ of snow since March 22 and 68″ for the year which is tied for a record.

Stl78(winon,mn)
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Stl78(winon,mn)

That’s crazy…I’m in se MN and have received around 50 in

Richard
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Richard

Clear Lake IA

Brings back memories of a 1959 tragedy in a snow covered field
Buddy Holly-Ritchie Valens-Big Bopper

Richard
Guest
Richard

Drought creeping

This as of today

http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu

We need to get rain in here !

REAL HUMEDUDE
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REAL HUMEDUDE

Drought areas are going to Get a nice rain this weekend, ours will start up one of these days. Need heat and humidity to return, that’s our missing link right now

NoBeachHere
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NoBeachHere

Great Vid

First day of summer will have the coldest high temp 😂😂😱😱

Just be patient people, this cold is hurting me as well. Business is coming around but it’s really slow. Once this sets in for summer, life jackets may be in big demand 😁

Lary Gezak
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Lary Gezak

Great forecast Gary. The red targeted zones were nearly spot on for April 13-17.

As for the next severe weather risks – it’s about to get exciting around here once we get warmer.

NoSnowflake
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NoSnowflake

Gary –

Why wasn’t that 35-day forecast (that you said was made March 7) made public?

You can understand why people could be skeptical when you only highlight these forecasts after-the-fact, and claim they were made (but in secret?) before the event.

Richard
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Richard

I think it was mde public and on here

Metroid
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Metroid

Per the video, the 35 Day Forecast was made for paying customers. This is a challenge unique to Gary in this area – he is both a public weatherman and a private venture capitalist. The long range forecasts don’t make money if they are put on the blog but the blog doesn’t draw people in if there is no long range forecasts. The blog is becoming the marketing wing of the Weather2020 corporation – which is fine but when it is also connected to the 41 website it creates a lot of the frustration and confusion that seems to have… Read more »

Richard
Guest
Richard

Metroid
I totally agree
Gary has a lot of irons in the fire. Met for kshb, wx2020 money maker, selling books, making appearances to sell the book, etc etc
It feels like he has become an infomercial when, on sports radio 810, he never fails to mention the book Its a sunny life.
Gary has become very successful. And kudos to him.

f00dl3
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f00dl3

You know what’s funny? All the climate change people push that the price of food and groceries will go through the roof due to global warming – isn’t it just as likely to go through the roof due to record cold like we had this month?

Is it safer to say that grocery prices are starting to become like the oil market due to political global warming stuff – that they may rise and flux due to storms and weather abnormalities that are natural because some politician caught wind of it and speculated future prices on it?

KCW0LF
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KCW0LF

Can we please leave politics out of this blog?

Mr. Pete
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Mr. Pete

How was that political?

Michael Casteel
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Michael Casteel

Awesome video Gary, thanks for sharing!
Michael

VERNON T. TAGGERT
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VERNON T. TAGGERT

Great Clip Gary, can’t wait to see what the fellow bloggers have to say.

Snow Miser
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Snow Miser

I hope you’re right about May and June! Not to mention about next weekend, my yard needs the rain!