The Next Big Severe Weather Risk

/The Next Big Severe Weather Risk

The Next Big Severe Weather Risk

Good morning bloggers,

Surviving The Storm is on 41 Action News at 6:30 PM tonight:  We will discuss the dates when severe weather will set up, the spring forecast, new radar technology & much more! You can watch it streaming on

It has been one wild month of April.  The jet stream is showing signs of weakening just a bit and retreating north, and this will lead to some warming as winter loosens its grip on North America.  Here is an April calendar showing this wild month of April here in KC. Just look at the extremes, and I didn’t put down there that it was 31 degrees for the high temperature earlier this week, on Sunday. This smashed the record lowest high temperature by ten degrees.  The other lows on this calendar show the other records, and it has snowed three straight Sundays, which is just incredible.


Todays Video Blog – We look into the end of next week where one of our targeted dates for severe thunderstorms is now beginning to show up on the models:

Kansas City is now way below average on rainfall. The pressure will be on the end of next weeks set ups to produce heavy rain, as you can see KC is now over 2″ below average for the year.


Thank you for sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Click on the blog over on Weather2020 and we can have a great conversation today. I have meetings until later this afternoon, so I will check in when I get the time if you have any questions.  Have a great Thursday!


2018-04-20T07:19:32+00:00April 19th, 2018|General|32 Comments


  1. Snow Miser April 19, 2018 at 7:51 am - Reply

    I hope you’re right about May and June! Not to mention about next weekend, my yard needs the rain!

  2. VERNON T. TAGGERT April 19, 2018 at 7:51 am - Reply

    Great Clip Gary, can’t wait to see what the fellow bloggers have to say.

  3. Michael Casteel April 19, 2018 at 8:14 am - Reply

    Awesome video Gary, thanks for sharing!

  4. f00dl3 April 19, 2018 at 8:14 am - Reply

    You know what’s funny? All the climate change people push that the price of food and groceries will go through the roof due to global warming – isn’t it just as likely to go through the roof due to record cold like we had this month?

    Is it safer to say that grocery prices are starting to become like the oil market due to political global warming stuff – that they may rise and flux due to storms and weather abnormalities that are natural because some politician caught wind of it and speculated future prices on it?

    • KCW0LF April 19, 2018 at 8:21 am - Reply

      Can we please leave politics out of this blog?

      • Mr. Pete April 19, 2018 at 10:29 pm - Reply

        How was that political?

  5. NoSnowflake April 19, 2018 at 8:23 am - Reply

    Gary –

    Why wasn’t that 35-day forecast (that you said was made March 7) made public?

    You can understand why people could be skeptical when you only highlight these forecasts after-the-fact, and claim they were made (but in secret?) before the event.

    • Richard April 19, 2018 at 9:28 am - Reply

      I think it was mde public and on here

    • Gary April 19, 2018 at 9:44 am - Reply

      But, it was! It just was in our discussions, not as a product as I shared with you this morning. There is no reason to be skeptical. I just shared with you the forecast that went out on March 7. And, in the blog, the forecast was likely 140 days out, not just the 35-day outlook I showed in the video.


      • NoSnowflake April 19, 2018 at 10:39 am - Reply


        • JoeK April 19, 2018 at 8:57 pm - Reply


          Even though you have proved NOTHING will change your mind as you are not here to learn, only to try and lay waste to the LRC, Not only was next weekends set-up discussed in the blog multiple times, I can attest to the validity of Gary’s prediction as he and I had a private conversation about it as well as other dates to expect storms. Moreover, if you ever change your approach to want to actually verify the LRC, you need to look no further than your very own calendar, pen and hand to write with. The April 13th system will return between May 30th-June 2nd. Once it verifies, it would be really great to see you acknowledge it rather than your redundant line of questioning with the sole purpose of discrediting that which has already proven a thousand times over, it CANNOT be discredited.

          • JoeK April 19, 2018 at 9:32 pm - Reply

            Correction, Not next weekends set-up, I meant last weekends set-up although we did discuss the approaching storm system as well.

    • Metroid April 19, 2018 at 9:47 am - Reply

      Per the video, the 35 Day Forecast was made for paying customers. This is a challenge unique to Gary in this area – he is both a public weatherman and a private venture capitalist. The long range forecasts don’t make money if they are put on the blog but the blog doesn’t draw people in if there is no long range forecasts. The blog is becoming the marketing wing of the Weather2020 corporation – which is fine but when it is also connected to the 41 website it creates a lot of the frustration and confusion that seems to have cropped up over the past year. Glad your forecast for your paying customers is verifying. Wish it was provided to the viewers of your television station.

      • Richard April 20, 2018 at 9:52 am - Reply

        I totally agree
        Gary has a lot of irons in the fire. Met for kshb, wx2020 money maker, selling books, making appearances to sell the book, etc etc
        It feels like he has become an infomercial when, on sports radio 810, he never fails to mention the book Its a sunny life.
        Gary has become very successful. And kudos to him.

  6. Lary Gezak April 19, 2018 at 9:59 am - Reply

    Great forecast Gary. The red targeted zones were nearly spot on for April 13-17.

    As for the next severe weather risks – it’s about to get exciting around here once we get warmer.

  7. NoBeachHere April 19, 2018 at 11:08 am - Reply

    Great Vid

    First day of summer will have the coldest high temp 😂😂😱😱

    Just be patient people, this cold is hurting me as well. Business is coming around but it’s really slow. Once this sets in for summer, life jackets may be in big demand 😁

  8. Richard April 19, 2018 at 11:12 am - Reply

    Drought creeping

    This as of today

    We need to get rain in here !

    • REAL HUMEDUDE April 19, 2018 at 11:16 am - Reply

      Drought areas are going to Get a nice rain this weekend, ours will start up one of these days. Need heat and humidity to return, that’s our missing link right now

  9. Troy Newman April 19, 2018 at 2:32 pm - Reply

    A friend of mine from near Clear Lake, IA says they have had 43″ of snow since March 22 and 68″ for the year which is tied for a record.

    • Stl78(winon,mn) April 19, 2018 at 3:28 pm - Reply

      That’s crazy…I’m in se MN and have received around 50 in

    • Richard April 19, 2018 at 3:36 pm - Reply

      Clear Lake IA

      Brings back memories of a 1959 tragedy in a snow covered field
      Buddy Holly-Ritchie Valens-Big Bopper

  10. Roger April 19, 2018 at 2:32 pm - Reply

    This heavy rain continues to target central Oklahoma; not NW OK, TX and OK panhandles, and C and W Kansas, where we need it most. Sure, a drink is a drink, but 0.25″ to 0.50″ barely dents the wildfire/drought outlook. There will be a slight green-up, but especially in areas where the land is already burned. We’ll need the rain prospects the last few days of April to pan out too before I get too excited.

  11. Roger April 19, 2018 at 3:53 pm - Reply
    • Richard April 19, 2018 at 6:18 pm - Reply

      Thanks for that.
      Sad and terrifying photos.
      Cedar trees burn so fast. The porous wood, and the oils create a hot, fast burning fire.
      Rain ! They need rain !

  12. Kurt April 19, 2018 at 4:02 pm - Reply

    If the 12Z GFS is nearly correct, and the runs have been consistent with numerous systems but meager QPF from any system, the total through May 5th for my are is 1 – 2 inches, yet anything helps but when we entering the wetter time of year and only may manage 1 or 2 inches I just don’t see how our moderate drought condition improve and if we crank up the temps in May I see it getting worse. I would love to have had the 4.7 inches of rain that Kansas City has had versus the only 2 inches. I can’t imagine how other areas are struggling to our southwest but man it’s so very parched up here. At least the grass in greening up, but it looks good only because the temps are cool certainly not because we have adequate moisture.

  13. Richard April 19, 2018 at 6:28 pm - Reply

    Gary on vacation ?

  14. Blue Flash April 19, 2018 at 9:22 pm - Reply

    And yet another record low this morning!

  15. Emaw April 19, 2018 at 10:02 pm - Reply

    How cold is it going to get in May? Are we talking records again? If so I might not even bother with tomatoes. The spring that wasn’t could lead to the summer that wasn’t. Don’t worry about hitting 100 may not even get to 90!

  16. Mr. Pete April 19, 2018 at 10:32 pm - Reply

    I’d like to know how cold it will be in May as well. No need to summarize the boat until all of the freezes are over.

  17. Anonymous April 19, 2018 at 11:00 pm - Reply

    How confident are you about more rain?

  18. JoeK April 20, 2018 at 12:04 am - Reply

    Taking a trip to Michigan ( lansing area) anybody have any history of where to go and what to see?

    • Rockdoc April 20, 2018 at 9:08 am - Reply

      Joe K. Not too far away and to the south of Lansing is the town of Hell, Michigan. If I remember correctly they have a few little shops with neat items referencing their town name. There is also Michigan State University, or the Capital of Michigan building in Lansing. That’s about all I know. I lived in Ann Arbor and didn’t make it up to Lansing but maybe 2 times to visit friends in college.

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