The Next Storm May Be Dry In KC Too

/The Next Storm May Be Dry In KC Too

The Next Storm May Be Dry In KC Too

Good morning bloggers,

Another snowstorm is tracking across South Dakota, Minnesota, and Iowa today, clipping northeastern Nebraska. This is a rather strong, but smaller scale storm system that is tracking rather rapidly to the east.  Here is the radar image from 7:45 AM this morning:

Screen Shot 2018-04-18 at 7.28.57 AM

As this system spins into the Great Lakes states today, the next storm system has its “eyes” on the Rocky Mountains and plains.  Take a look at the European Model forecast for total precipitation between now and next Monday:

Screen Shot 2018-04-18 at 7.23.44 AM

A couple things to notice on this rainfall forecast are the white area over the KC metro, and the rainfall pattern to the south and west. The winter wheat crop needs a big drink of water and right now, and it appears many areas across Oklahoma and Kansas, into western Texas will get that drink. Amarillo, TX has had two days of rain since October 13th for a total of 0.25″.  This model somehow has the region near Amarillo getting some low amounts, but other models have a lot more rain. And, the Kansas City area on every model has amounts ranging from nothing, as you can see here, to under a tenth of an inch on the GFS. Only the GFS brings any rain at all to KC from this system.

These two storm systems show how frustrating it has been for KC once again. One storm is tracking one state to the north this morning and this next one is going to track around 1/2 to 1 state to the south. We will go more in-depth into the pattern in tomorrows blog.

A cold front moved through early this morning, so it is back into the chilling air. Have a great day and thank you for sharing in this weather experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.

Gary

2018-04-19T07:31:12+00:00 April 18th, 2018|General|35 Comments

35 Comments

  1. Snow Miser April 18, 2018 at 7:48 am - Reply

    Speaking of drinks, my yard needs a drink. I’ve been having to water things by hand, which I should not have to do in April! Arrrggg ..

    • Three7s April 18, 2018 at 8:08 am - Reply

      Just need it to get warmer.

  2. MMike April 18, 2018 at 8:04 am - Reply

    WOW!! The last 26 out of 31 days have been below average and in some cases as much as 26 degrees below mean temps. That is incredible. It has been a fascinating pattern across the country and records have been non stop as far as the cold goes and the amount of snow that has fallen. Just when you thought we should turn the corner around the first day of spring, we have had true winter the last 31 days. This has been extremely bad for local nurseries as they have had very little customers and all kinds of inventory. Just yesterday I was at a local Home Depot and they were just bringing everything back outside. They had crammed all the early season color and plants into their store, did they do it too early?? Maybe a light freeze/frost the next two nights.

    Another thing that has happened twice in the last 7 days…a severe thunderstorm warning in the cold air to our north and NW resulting in high winds, hail, and snow falling within the severe thunderstorm. Happened last week with that huge storm and it just happened again in Iowa this morning. That’s really hard to do. Once again, a rather interesting pattern the last 30 days.

    What does this all mean. Well, it means the growing season for the most part is a month behind and what you usually do for your yard and landscape in mid-March you can do now. Soil temps are still very cold for this time of year.

    Soil moisture, we’re doing okay right now, but certainly need to start getting the bigger rains. Like Hume has mentioned before, we need to get warmth in here to get the thunderstorms going. I lucked out Friday last week as two thunderstorms hit the northland and dropped .83 inches. So, i’m a little over an inch of moisture for April and have recorded 3.1 inches of snow. Lowest temp was 15 degrees a few Saturday’s ago. I’m below average on moisture for the year by 1.15 inches. Looks like some relief for areas to our SW coming later this week. They certainly need to score some better rains. Looks like a few good shots over the next 10 days.

    Let’s go Spring!…please take over. Gary, Looking forward to the spring special tomorrow.

    The Royals…oh my dear lord.

    • REAL HUMEDUDE April 18, 2018 at 9:09 am - Reply

      I’m conflicted, not sure if I hate the weather or the Royals more right now. Hard to say, each one has its own unique sense of despair and torture. We have some decent starting pitching, decent I say, but the bullpen is miserable, I mean terrible. Half our guys are hitting under .220, we just stink, a bad team I’m sorry to say. Cant have much fun watching this garbage, I quit. Can’t quit on the weather though, Still waiting for a decent weekend to go fishing, this is remarkable, I haven’t had a decent weekend this entire year. We need a break, some ice warm weather and some rain would make everyone a lot happier.

      RIP Barbara Bush, a classy woman from a time when we could respect one another’s political differences. Also a reminder what a FLOTUS should look like, strong willed, intelligent, sense of duty to community, well spoken and regarded highly by all. I hope we can someday return to that. With all the current scandals and depravity I think we are all realizing and remembering the value of good character in our leaders, lets not forget that lesson.

      • Three7s April 18, 2018 at 9:24 am - Reply

        Obvious typo, but the irony speaks volumes. And yeah, I knew the Royals would be terrible this year, not surprised one bit at how bad they’ve been.

      • MMike April 18, 2018 at 9:43 am - Reply

        Hume,

        Return to the days where our country’s administration allowed every other country to take advantage of us?? So, a guy comes along and calls everyone out and he is in the wrong?? Everyone needs to stop being so sensitive.

        Remember, change is difficult and chaotic..

      • Troy Newman April 18, 2018 at 11:22 am - Reply

        My irritation is that the GM can’t decide whether to try and win now or later. Because of it they may do neither. Last year you signal you are building for the future by trading the best closer in baseball for an outfielder. Then you trade away prospects halfway through the season to get 2 relievers because you don’t have any. Then this year we get Goins and Duda and trade for Almonte. None of these guys will change the fact that you are going to lose. Why not call up Mondesi, Dozier, and O’Hearn/Schwindel? We can lose with them too but at least get to see what the future should be and get them some experience. I am going to a Storm Chasers game and Sunday and really am more interested in watching it than going to KC to see the Royals.

        • Jason April 18, 2018 at 1:24 pm - Reply

          Totally agree on your Royals takes.

  3. Stl78(winon,mn) April 18, 2018 at 8:56 am - Reply

    Well, up here this hopefully will be our last go around wit the white stuff. Calling for 2 to 4 up here but I just don’t see it..maybe 1 to 3. Should finish the yr around 50 inches give or take. 50s look likely for this wknd thankfully. Son’s baseball is supposed to start in a WK and just don’t see that happening. Still have about 6 in on the ground and have not even gotten to mud season yet. Cheers to 50s! Hope kc receives so moisture, especially u Kurt!

    • Bluetooth April 18, 2018 at 8:09 pm - Reply

      STL, I hate to tell you this, but you are not done with the white stuff……

  4. VERNON T. TAGGERT April 18, 2018 at 9:16 am - Reply

    just make it snow Sunday

  5. Kurt April 18, 2018 at 9:23 am - Reply

    Officially for St. Joseph standing at .23 for April, normal is 1.78 (13 percent of normal lol), looks like April will be an extremely dry month up here. Year-to-date 2.04 actual and 5.52 normal (roughly 37 percent of normal). Hope that some of these systems can start taking a much better track to get us some decent rain and when it does warm up. Can’t believe how fast we fall behind this time or year in the precip department. At least I won’t have to mow as frequently, but will definitely be watering the perennials and shrubs maybe try to get on a schedule to keep things watered up here until mother nature quits being so fickle.

  6. Anonymous by choice April 18, 2018 at 9:27 am - Reply

    More #WETDROUGHT says Mower Mike. Frost still in the ground. Short growing season this year, by KS & MO standards. Actually, short growing season everywhere. You gamblers could play crop futures, especially corn, as IA, NE, MN, IL are way behind. May 15 will be the target to get corn in or they’ll need to switch to lower-producing hybrids. Could be a lot of soybeans planted this year.

  7. Stl78(winon,mn) April 18, 2018 at 9:36 am - Reply

    Minus the comment towards mmike, thx for bringing something beneficial to the blog abc! Not sure when we r goin to b able to get started up this way

  8. Skylar April 18, 2018 at 9:56 am - Reply

    According to the NWS this is the coldest April on record so far…as if that’s a surprise.

  9. DanT April 18, 2018 at 10:23 am - Reply

    Thought this was interesting- Maybe you all have seen it before- This is on the Tulsa NWS page and it show the fire spread rate for feet per minute. Looking to see how this is calculated? With the conditions in OK today the rate in some areas is 212′ per minute.
    https://www.weather.gov/tsa/

  10. Rockdoc April 18, 2018 at 12:02 pm - Reply

    A hard year for crops this year so far. Also, these late snow storms with blizzard conditions from Wyoming, Northeast Colorado, Nebraska, South Dakota, and Iowa into Minnesota can impact cattle and lambs since this is calving/lambing season. This is Revenge of the Winter which still keeps on giving. That being said, it looks like the weather may finally break next week – if the models verify. Here is hoping it “Springs Loose”.

  11. Kurt April 18, 2018 at 1:13 pm - Reply

    lol +1 Rockdoc, ready for setttled warm temps and find me some rain (smiley face) And the amount of bird food I have done through this month, they’re eating to bulk up for nesting and stalled in their migration and it’s been too cold for them.

    • REAL HUMEDUDE April 18, 2018 at 1:23 pm - Reply

      I saw a scissor tailed flycatcher on Monday at the farm, felt bad for him cuz it’s gotta be rough collecting flying Insects right now. One thing for sure, it can’t be long now till Spring really kicks in (Can it?)

  12. Kurt April 18, 2018 at 1:30 pm - Reply

    I have goldfinches by the hundreds, juncos, cardinals, all sorts of woodpeckers and they go through about 5 pounds of bird food a day (I feed them sunflower, sunflower hears, finch blend, nut&fruit mix, cardinal mix). They love it and so do my furry bushy tailed birds (a.k.a. squirrels)

  13. Jack April 18, 2018 at 1:50 pm - Reply

    Random, but did the ratings come out for last year? Did 41 regain the title?

  14. Adamzme April 18, 2018 at 1:52 pm - Reply

    I keep checking this blog daily hoping to see “big warming trend is settling in” but the cycle isn’t changing. C’MON SPRING!

  15. REAL HUMEDUDE April 18, 2018 at 2:25 pm - Reply

    Jack, they came out and Yes Gary and crew won the title again. “MOST ACCURATE IN KANSAS CITY, CHANNEL 41”

  16. Mr. Pete April 18, 2018 at 3:27 pm - Reply

    Sitting here in Des Moines watching it snow – pretty good clip at the moment.

    • Bluetooth April 18, 2018 at 8:11 pm - Reply

      Kind of weird, don’t you think? Past the middle of April and still cold and snowing. Why do you think that might be??

  17. Snow Miser April 18, 2018 at 3:51 pm - Reply

    And POOF goes the NAM this weekend.

  18. Kurt April 18, 2018 at 4:08 pm - Reply

    Rain avoidance central reporting a brief drizzle storm in St. Joseph this afternoon. Definitely not a settled weather pattern in terms of temps yet, but very determined to not produce meaningful rainfall.

  19. Roger April 18, 2018 at 5:28 pm - Reply

    This storm for this weekend is trending downward, unfortunately. Instead of widespread 1-2 inch amounts that were advertised for several days in central Kansas are trending more to 0.25-0.50. Western Kansas hopefully will do better. However, Oklahoma seems to be the winner, although the rain may split the driest areas once again! But we won’t complain!

    • Gary April 18, 2018 at 6:03 pm - Reply

      On the latest models you can see why. The upper low is now forecast to develop farther south from a wave around Friday night. This wave is going to limit the northward extent of the rain into KC. There still should be more rain over areas west and southwest of KC that have been seen since this pattern began in October.

      Gary

  20. Richard April 18, 2018 at 8:27 pm - Reply

    Watching NOVA
    Decoding the Weather Machine

    Someone on here said sea levels in the U.S. have not risen
    Tell that to folks living in Norfolk Virginia, and 5 other U.S. cities.
    The physical evidence is there.

    • JoeK April 18, 2018 at 9:08 pm - Reply

      Actually, there are as many locations that have not experienced sea level rise. Very interesting to hear the explanation on what causes some areas to rise and not others. So the physical evidence is there , but not there. There are so many contradicting opinions, studies and data sets that for every argument, there is a counter argument. Makes it difficult for the average ( non-scientific) person to make an educated assessment.

  21. Bluetooth April 18, 2018 at 8:53 pm - Reply

    I’m sure that sea level will rise, until the point at which the water begins to get locked into land ice (glaciers) because of cooling, of which the signs are abundant…..

    • JoeK April 18, 2018 at 9:09 pm - Reply

      Bluetooth,

      Cooling looking more plausible. Next few years will be interesting for sure.

  22. Bluetooth April 18, 2018 at 9:16 pm - Reply

    Thanks Joe! Very interesting indeed….

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