A Wild Next Few Days

/A Wild Next Few Days

A Wild Next Few Days

Good morning,

What a pattern! We had the expected and forecasted “Snow Easter”.  6″ of snow up in northern Missouri fell on Easter Sunday.  Now, could it happen again later this week? There is a lot that needs to happen, but there is a trend in the direction of snow.  Let’s begin with this morning.

Today’s weather:  Another strong cold front is moving through.

7

Temperatures are near 70 degrees over northeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas this morning. The low pressure area is centered just south of Kansas City at 7:20 AM.  This is a surface cyclone and it is tracking east along that warm front, the red line.  Cold air will blast back in once this moves through. There is a band of rain associated with this system, and snowflakes are not out of the question early this afternoon, but it will not be anything significant near KC. The heavier snow will be way up to the north.

1

This next map above shows the forecast valid at 10 AM this morning, and the map below shows what happens with this system by tomorrow morning with most of Michigan in the snowstorm, while KC has near record lows.

3

A look into the end of the week set up:  What is forecast to happen next will be interesting.

2

The models have been showing some potential for snowfall, and significant amounts, near KC by Friday night. This chance is highly dependent on two main upper level features that I show above. There is really a ridge forming near the west coast. A wave sneaks through this ridge and heads out over the Rocky Mountains and into the plains states.  If this is any weaker, or the energy moving through the Great Lakes is any stronger, then the chance of snow will be less and be forced farther south. But, if there is a perfect combination, then it will be fascinating near KC by Friday.

Out ahead of this system will be a substantial warm up for one day on Thursday:

4

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We wil be monitoring this closely. The latest model trend overnight was in the snowier direction, but we need more consistency. There was that consistency developing by around three days before the “Snow Easter” we had on Sunday.  So, let’s see if a trend begins in the snowier direction, or the less snowy direction.

Have a great day! Go over to the Weather2020 blog and we can analyze the new data together and look to see if there is a trend in the snowy direction.

Gary

2018-04-05T05:35:04+00:00 April 3rd, 2018|General|109 Comments

109 Comments

  1. Snow Miser April 3, 2018 at 7:43 am - Reply

    So … when does spring arrive?

    • Gary April 3, 2018 at 8:04 am - Reply

      Spring arrives Thursday, and then winter begins Friday. LOL

      • NoBeachHere April 3, 2018 at 8:45 am - Reply

        Not funny

      • Remembercody April 3, 2018 at 1:59 pm - Reply

        That was actually pretty funny. Thank you, Gary lol

  2. LYITC41 April 3, 2018 at 7:54 am - Reply

    Don’t believe anything 96 hrs out, the GooFuS has more, the Canadian has less and I don’t believe either one. It may snow, but not to worried about how much now. Love the moisture over the weekend just hate how cold it’s been and will get tonight.

    • MikeL April 3, 2018 at 8:07 am - Reply

      lol…GooFuS

  3. Roger April 3, 2018 at 7:55 am - Reply

    Wind and cold is all I see. Lol. Of course I’m only talking about central Kansas.

  4. Tdogg April 3, 2018 at 8:46 am - Reply

    This is the one! Biggest snow in KC history! Go get milk and bread asap!

  5. Jason April 3, 2018 at 8:57 am - Reply

    I’ll rephrase snow miser’s comment. When does spring arrive and stay around?

  6. Tim April 3, 2018 at 9:09 am - Reply

    Well, think about it this way– if it was warmer it would be a serious severe weather setup probably this weekend. So while a major snow storm in April is just wrong and a major tease with the grass turning green and the flowers starting to perk up– I’ll take the snow storm instead of the severe weather– already having to replace my roof after the major hail storm a week ago in Lone Jack.

  7. Jim April 3, 2018 at 9:17 am - Reply

    What does the LRC suggest is going to happen Friday? Easy to claim victory after the fact. Stick by your system.

    • Gary April 3, 2018 at 10:20 am - Reply

      Jim,

      We are always sticking to the system. The LRC is quite obviously heavily weighted into our forecasts. This system on Friday and Sunday fit the pattern well. But, it is still a very delicate forecast for what will happen at a specific location. I will try to showcase the previous cycles and how it can help in this one as this system approaches. If you just go back to the last cycle, 47 days before later this week, it may shock you, but perhaps it will not, but we had the “sweaty roads” then it snowed that next morning. The sweaty roads were caused by a big warm up and moisture surge from the Gulf (happening again Thursday and Thursday night), followed by a cold blast and snow showers. Then, it was followed up by another system a couple of days later. The same thing is happening again. The delicate part of the forecast is how small this system really is, as we aren’t in New York City where they have huge storm systems this year. We get these smaller, harder to predict systems. So, in conclusion, we are using the cycling pattern to help us, but we still have to see how strong this “weak” system is. A weak system can still produce a lot of snow if everything comes together and you are in the “right” spot.

      Gary

  8. Heat Miser April 3, 2018 at 9:38 am - Reply

    How much snow “potential” do you see with this one Gary? Milk and bread already on shopping list! lol

  9. Stl78(winon,mn) April 3, 2018 at 9:41 am - Reply

    It could b worse kc. Snowing pretty hard here in pepin wi. Callin for up to a ft. If u still want this white stuff, come on up, u can help me plow!!

    • Richard April 3, 2018 at 9:46 am - Reply

      I see that on radar ! Wow
      Its a lot this time of year even by MN standards, eh ?

  10. DanT April 3, 2018 at 9:46 am - Reply

    A few thoughts this morning- How long will the blocking high be in place before is cycles away and then is the NAO in the negative range? I would think it would have to be-

    • Gary April 3, 2018 at 10:24 am - Reply

      Dan,

      The NAO is forecast to move into positive territory, and the AO is forecast to stay in negative territory. The blocking may briefly break down in the next ten days, but could it redevelop later in the month? I am just not sure at the moment.

      Gary

      • LYITC41 April 3, 2018 at 11:26 am - Reply

        How come you can’t tell for sure w/ your theory? Not trying to be difficult, just curious.

        • DanT April 3, 2018 at 3:25 pm - Reply

          The blocking is something that just started showing up. In the Fall and Winter it would get close to setting up but never really did. The LRC continues cycle on schedule- however the blocking pattern seems to be intensifying the storm systems. You can go back and see this with the Lake Tahoe snow event, the insane snowfall totals in the Northeast and now the return to winter in the Midwest. I would also be curious to see if the severe weather out break in the Ohio Valley to Mid- South could be influenced by the blocking pattern as well.

      • DanT April 3, 2018 at 11:31 am - Reply

        Thank You

  11. Richard April 3, 2018 at 9:51 am - Reply

    Gary
    Thanks for giving us a forecast on here

  12. REAL HUMEDUDE April 3, 2018 at 10:12 am - Reply

    What is the EURO saying for Friday night? Latest NAM slams metro with a period of very heavy snow around Midnight Friday night

    • Stl78(winon,mn) April 3, 2018 at 10:17 am - Reply

      The 00z had a couple in if i recall lookin at it earlier. Ill look later today at 12z

    • Gary April 3, 2018 at 10:25 am - Reply

      Think about what you just said, “Very Heavy Snow”. It is truly what the NAM shows. That wave was just strong enough. If the wave is stronger, it may force all of the snow to be across northern Missouri, and if it is weaker, it may push all of the snow out of our area. It is so delicate. The Euro comes out at around 1 PM. The GFS is coming out in the next 30 minutes.

      Gary

        • Gary April 3, 2018 at 11:04 am - Reply

          Yes, 6-10 inches on south side of the metro. The wave was just barely strong enough. This is so delicate bloggers, hang on. We have been through this before.

          Gary

        • LYITC41 April 3, 2018 at 11:28 am - Reply

          Or bad, depending on your POV.

        • Kurt April 3, 2018 at 11:28 am - Reply

          What about the system for Sunday that’s showing snow for Northwest Missouri? Could both these systems track over the same area and provide a really big amount of snow? I’d prefer it to be here to help our subsoil moisture. The 3 inches we had Sunday even though it was so very cold at least melted into the ground (still snow left on grassy areas). We really need that moisture up here in any form (except hail). Not sure what will happen with trees and shrubs after an 11 degree morning low.

  13. Lary Gezak April 3, 2018 at 10:43 am - Reply

    Gary, should we watch around April 12-13 for a severe weather outbreak? Looks like a decent warm up around then.

    • Gary April 3, 2018 at 11:03 am - Reply

      Our severe weather predictor has targeted April 13-17, most likely east of here, then the 24-30th for a better chance.

      Gary

      • NoSnowflake April 3, 2018 at 12:07 pm - Reply

        What does your “severe weather predictor” say for May and early June around here?

        I’ve mentioned before, but I think if you wanted to prove your theory is worth its weight in gold, you’d pick 2-3 days in May now — in early april — to post as your forecast for the most likely days to contain severe weather in this region. You’d earn some converts if it panned out. #WalktheWalk

  14. Fred April 3, 2018 at 12:16 pm - Reply

    Every person should know that the “snow” on Friday won’t happen. Don’t be fooled by the models.

    • LYITC41 April 3, 2018 at 12:30 pm - Reply

      It may snow, just not “bigly” as a certain moron might say.

      • Bob April 3, 2018 at 1:15 pm - Reply

        Unfortunate comment. Try to keep your opinions about politics and the President out of the blog. You can go to CNN, Yahoo, or any other website and express your opinions. Not here.

        • LYITC41 April 3, 2018 at 2:53 pm - Reply

          Take your medication Bob, you’ll be alright. Last time I looked no one had died and made you queen of the blog.

          • Bob April 3, 2018 at 3:01 pm - Reply

            Again, another unfortunate comment. Internet tough guy. On a weather blog.

            • f00dl3 April 3, 2018 at 3:17 pm - Reply

              I also heard him say “We will build a great Snow Wall. And the Meteorologists will pay for it!”

              Now he has to decide what to do about the snowflake convoy.

              • REAL HUMEDUDE April 3, 2018 at 3:24 pm

                The guy tweets about Amazon and they lose 30 billion that same day, he intentionally did that to hurt Amazon because he doesn’t like Bezos. Too bad millions of Americans 401K is tied to Amazon, he doesn’t care what damage he inflicts upon our economy as long as he isn’t broke. He is a chaos President, he is doing this intentionally. Russia scored a direct hit with him, he has sowed great unrest in our nation and he seeks to divide us further

              • Fred April 3, 2018 at 3:27 pm

                That’s funny. 😀

              • MMike April 3, 2018 at 3:55 pm

                Hume,

                Geezs, a guy comes in and tells it how it is and all you on the left get so bent out of shape. We have been taken advantage of for so long…he’s here to change that. Of course it will cause chaos, change is chaos. He’s tired of us getting screwed over. He’s tired of taking care of countries that don’t want to help themselves. I know, we’re a proud and strong country, we should help out at times. But, some of these countries don;t do anything to help their own…so, we can only help so much and for years the prior administrations keep helping countries that want to kill us. He’s calling them all out and you guys think it’s un- presidential!!!

                He’s certainly rough around the edges and says some really stupid stuff, but, he just says everything everyone else wants to say but doesn’t so they can be politically correct. Come on, the media outlets do no good for this country at all, all they do is bash him daily. But when he bashes back…he’s the bad guy. Really?? Don Lemon doesn’t do any other news but bash trump news. He’s president for crying out loud, we need to support him. I didn’t vote for him or Hillary, both bad choices. I didn’t vote for Obama either, but I supported him because he was our president of this great nation. You guys need to get over your hate, you’re part of the problem. You guys scream about dividing this country day in and day out, what are you doing by constantly hating our president…..the same thing!!!

                Okay, anyways, let’s all just move on. If he’s not the answer then he will be voted out here in a few years.

                Sean Hannity will be on in a few hours….LOL

              • Scott April 3, 2018 at 4:05 pm

                Nice word smithing.

              • Rockdoc April 3, 2018 at 4:44 pm

                Zing, zing and more zing! Love Hume’s response too. My 401K has taken a massive hit since February. So it looks like I may be working until I drop dead the way things are going…..how many more trade agreements can he blow up and how many more companies will be attacked. Actually, I’m glad i don’t own FB or the other social media stocks given that they are going in the toilet with how they collect, use and sell our information. Especially FB collecting all of our phone call records, and even text messages!

              • Kurt April 3, 2018 at 7:28 pm

                Applause to MMike great comment

              • MMike April 3, 2018 at 7:58 pm

                Hey Kurt,

                Thanks
                I know you need some moisture, did you think it was gonna come in the form of snow in April? Crazy.

              • JoeK April 3, 2018 at 8:33 pm

                Hume,

                I have realized you must be younger and also, completely immersed into media/social media as you commonly have these political outbursts. I have one question regarding your Amazon comment, do you know how many retail businesses Amazon has been responsible for shutting down? The billions of tax dollars cities and states are currently losing and the tens of thousands of job loss do to online sales? I normally stay out of these conversations, but I grow more tired of this insane epidemic of media filled and fed ANTI-everything, protest, protest protest, wine and moan, find a safe place and repeat what we read or hear without fact checking, well…. garbage, that is going on. You can blame Trump and there are those that blame Obama, the fact is WE are to blame as we allow ourselves to be played by politicians and media. My advice to you as well as others would be, RELAX. The economy is strong, people are more productive and profitable, there is NO denying this. Complain if you will, but fact check BOTH sides of every story before you buy into it. You owe that to your kids or if you don’t have kids, your nieces, nephews, all the younger generation that will inherit this country. I have lived long enough to know that I have never known things to be this screwed up and it didn’t start with Trump and it won’t end with him either. It starts and ends with WE the people

    • terry April 3, 2018 at 12:45 pm - Reply

      Lol

    • MMike April 3, 2018 at 1:06 pm - Reply

      Fred,

      Most folks said last week that the snow the models were showing for Easter would not happen…..It snowed!! Biggest snow of the season for many areas in northern MO to NE MO.

      We’ll see how it trends but the trend right now is rather impressive for late season cold and a few shots at accumulating snow. The GFS has us below freezing late Friday all the way until Monday…that would be something for April.

      I love snow and if it’s going to be cold and crappy, might as well snow. However, I’m ready for spring now. It’s been muddy/wet/cloudy around here for 3 weeks and we have only had a few days above average on temps. Looks like another muddy drought on our hands this year. Very active pattern…Very cold pattern.

      • Kurt April 3, 2018 at 7:25 pm - Reply

        It probably is muddy down there, up here it’s mud just about the top 1 inch and bone dry anything lower than that. It’s all persoectIve and yes I’d love warm and rain, but will gladly take snow like this that can melt into the dry dry dry soil up here. I hope it warms up after this bout of cold and several dry sunny days in the 60s, 70s and up to 80 will make it look like there wasn’t any rain/snow at all up here.

        Would love to be faced with the dilemma of a wet drought and send rains out to Kansas and the panhandles of Texas and Oklahoma

        • MMike April 3, 2018 at 8:01 pm - Reply

          Kurt,

          Lots of action coming up, hopefully you will get things going up your way as far as some deep moisture goes.
          Good Luck!

          • Kurt April 3, 2018 at 8:56 pm - Reply

            It’s crazy it took the biggest snow this winter, to get more in one April day than all of March. This windchill is nuts and can’t imagine what all the trees shrubs and flowers are going through

  15. Kristi April 3, 2018 at 1:15 pm - Reply

    Gary,
    Sorry – I am not concerned about snow totals – but I am concerned about weekend temps. Supposed to have baseball/softball tournaments in the metro this weekend and curious if temps will get out of the 30’s either Sat or Sun – what about overnight lows Friday night and Saturday night?

    Thanks!

  16. Rod April 3, 2018 at 1:38 pm - Reply

    I just read the KC National Weather Service forecast discussion page and they don’t think it’s going to amount to anything other than a few flurries or light snow showers and that there’s not much moisture to work with. However if you read the forecast discussion page for the St. Louis and Springfield offices They have a little bit of a different opinion. I’m kind of surprised there’s been a lot of model consistency, my only guess is they’re being cautiously optimistic and not sticking their heads out there just yet. When the Nam Canadian and GFS are all showing snow makes you think there’s a trend developing. I guess by tomorrow if we still have model consistency maybe they’ll change their opinion & start mentioning snow chances.

    • Gary April 3, 2018 at 5:44 pm - Reply

      As usual, they will see it differently soon, if these trends continue.

      Gary

  17. Richard April 3, 2018 at 1:40 pm - Reply

    Gary
    The Royals game is being played now 1-0 Royals. They did not cancel like you thought “they might.”

    And heres a nugget about the NYC snow yesterday. Yesterday’s storm was the biggest April snowstorm to hit New York City in nearly four decades. Yankees home opener was cancelled.

    • Gary April 3, 2018 at 5:43 pm - Reply

      Yes, it was a miserable day for baseball, but they played, and thank goodness, the Royals won.

      Gary

  18. Rockdoc April 3, 2018 at 2:03 pm - Reply

    Good Afternoon Gary and Friends. Just a quick message regarding the potential snow this Friday. Yes, the Euro also shows snow, but just not as much here in the metro area. There is snow to the north and south, while the GFS has us in some good snow with most of it down by HumeDude’s Farm through central Missouri! Also, looking ahead……more snow coming in mid Sunday morning and then through the afternoon (both Euro/GFS).

    As for me, I’m supposed to be heading out to Palm Springs, CA on Sunday. I hope my flight leaves before the snow arrives (if it even does snow). Before I can go west I will need to dig through my closets and boxes for summer clothes since it looks like temps will be in the upper 80s to mid 90s. Good thing I will be sitting in air-conditioning for meetings, although dry heat is much easier to deal with than high humidity. Maybe I can convince the drier/higher temps to come back east with me the following weekend….just in time for those big storms…..LOL. Don’t forget to feed our furry and feathered friends. Their natural food is still not out yet…..

    • Ryan April 3, 2018 at 2:10 pm - Reply

      Do you have a link to the euro?

      • Rockdoc April 3, 2018 at 4:48 pm - Reply

        https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/usa/snow-depth-in/20180409-0000z.html Try this link, it’s for Sunday. I’ve zoomed out to show the entire US. Euro showing less snow in KC metro, but over towards central Missouri and St Louis is where it shows the action. Same for GFS, but slightly more snow in and around KC metro.

        • Richard April 3, 2018 at 6:12 pm - Reply

          Rockdoc
          Is that one day, or 10 day total ??

  19. Remembercody April 3, 2018 at 2:14 pm - Reply

    Before I left KC for Hawaii two weeks ago, I told my roommates to mark my words, that it will snow while I am gone, and BOOM, Easter sundee snow! I arrive back in KC Thursday AM, and I guarantee you all, once I get back, Friday’s snow chance will go POOF! I don’t know why the snow in KC hates me, but it almost never snows when I am there. Mark my words! Trust in the LRC. It is a good indicator of what should (or shouldn’t) happen.

    Aloha 😄

    • Gary April 3, 2018 at 5:42 pm - Reply

      At least you are in Hawaii! I am going in August. Aloha! If it goes poof, we will know why.

  20. Snow Miser April 3, 2018 at 3:59 pm - Reply
  21. Heat Miser April 3, 2018 at 4:59 pm - Reply

    If the models are still showing these numbers this time tomorrow…I’ll start to take it more seriously

    • terry April 3, 2018 at 6:14 pm - Reply

      Heat at least it’s not 10 days out. Its 3 days out have faith in it.

  22. Lary Gezak April 3, 2018 at 6:05 pm - Reply

    Good God the NAM for this Friday…

    • Anonymous April 3, 2018 at 6:18 pm - Reply

      can you post a link?

  23. Anonymous April 3, 2018 at 6:24 pm - Reply

    That would be great

  24. Anonymous April 3, 2018 at 6:33 pm - Reply

    Just to be clear, the nice Word Smithing comment was for REAL HUMEDUDE. I do not support cadet bone spurs.

  25. Stl78(winon,mn) April 3, 2018 at 6:47 pm - Reply

    Just used the snow blower on about 6 in of heavy wet snow. Most likely another 1 to 3 before its all over. Talkin snow for thur and sun. Where was this in dec. I dont want it in april!!

  26. Mr. Pete April 3, 2018 at 6:50 pm - Reply

    I’m not believing anything until the same is being said this time tomorrow.

  27. Mr. Pete April 3, 2018 at 6:51 pm - Reply

    I drove to Saint Louis this morning. Temps jumped almost 40 degrees when I hit Columbia.

  28. terry April 3, 2018 at 6:55 pm - Reply

    Gary or someone If we get the snow doesn’t count towards the Winter snowfall amounts?

    • Anonymous by choice April 3, 2018 at 7:35 pm - Reply

      No, it’s not Meteorological Winter and it’s not actual Winter any longer.

    • Mr. Pete April 3, 2018 at 7:38 pm - Reply

      Nope.

    • Richard April 3, 2018 at 7:56 pm - Reply

      I think even Gary would agree the answer is no.
      But if we end up getting the 21 inch predicted, who knows ? He might say it verified.
      It was for the winter 2017-2018.

      Colorado and mountain States get a lot of big snows after the Spring Equinox.
      So, in any of those areas, if those area mets make winter snowfall predictions, do they have a cutoff date ?

      • JoeK April 3, 2018 at 8:39 pm - Reply

        Why? The winter ends when the season dictates it does. How does a date on the calendar make any difference? If we get 21 inches, the amount verified regardless of when. I am at a loss as to the constant attempts to literally find ways for Gary or the LRC to be wrong. Now, Gary already admitted he expected a few of these storms to repeat more functional in Cycles 2 and 3 and they didn’t.

        • Richard April 3, 2018 at 8:58 pm - Reply

          joeK
          Calm down.
          I wasn’t in any way saying Gary would be wrong.
          He would say it verified…..and he would be RIGHT ON !

          I think these grey cold days are getting to you.

          • JoeK April 3, 2018 at 9:08 pm - Reply

            Richard,

            That was meant for anonymous by choice. I am calm Richard and what I stated, I stand behind as it is the truth and you are on here enough to know that there are many that look for every possible way Gary and/or the LRC are wrong. No, the cold days are not getting to me, the ignorance on this blog is getting to me. 😀

        • Mr. Pete April 3, 2018 at 11:41 pm - Reply

          So if it snows in early summer too that would count?

  29. Anonymous by choice April 3, 2018 at 7:35 pm - Reply

    I would think something as big as the LRC could have predicted a super cold start to April, an April snowfall or two and severe weather at least 60 days in advance. But, I guess not. But somehow the LRC predicted it? Throws BS flag.

    • Mr. Pete April 3, 2018 at 7:43 pm - Reply

      I’m not sure that anyone or any model predicted this crazy cold April.

    • Gary April 3, 2018 at 8:34 pm - Reply

      The LRC did showcase the cold first half of April. It is directly related to the cold in other parts of this pattern. Now, predicting that it would snow? Not so sure about that. We were expecting this pattern to produce snow storms, however. For KC, it still has been 6.9″ of snow in 9 snows. The 9 snows I expected, and they happened. But, the less than one inch per snow, no way did I expect that. That fact is a tough one to swallow. That average changes a lot if there is one big one.

      Gary

    • JoeK April 3, 2018 at 8:42 pm - Reply

      The LRC did predict it, go back and read through my posts and you, yourself, could have used the LRC to predict the same. You can post your “BS” until the end of time, it will not take away from the fact that the LRC has been amazingly accurate this year

  30. Stl78(winon,mn) April 3, 2018 at 7:53 pm - Reply

    My 6 in might have been low. Ill put a pic of my table as my gravatar on in a few

    • Richard April 3, 2018 at 7:57 pm - Reply

      Looks like more than 6. Did you measure that ?

  31. Richard April 3, 2018 at 8:00 pm - Reply

    Gary
    Colorado and mountain States often get a lot of snow after the Spring Equinox.
    So, in any of those areas, if those area mets make winter snowfall predictions, do they have a cutoff date ?
    Would you have March 20 as a cutoff date if you were predicting for any of those ?

  32. Stl78(winon,mn) April 3, 2018 at 8:04 pm - Reply

    Richard i was guessing based on what i plowed out front but i think its quite a bit more. The back of the house is more protected from the wind too. Now melt and give me warmth and sunshine!!

  33. Pam April 3, 2018 at 8:13 pm - Reply

    Given the unseasonal weather we’ve had in April, how much will that affect our severe weather season through the rest of spring into summer?

  34. Emaw April 3, 2018 at 8:19 pm - Reply

    Stl, many bloggers would call that 10″ haha. Richard, any snow we get in April has to count towards this past winter, calendar be damned. 2018 – “The spring that wasn’t “!

    • Richard April 3, 2018 at 8:25 pm - Reply

      After making that statement I reconsidered. Yeah, it would have to count.
      Calendar be damned is right !
      Anonymous by choice and Mr. Pete are wrong.

    • JoeK April 3, 2018 at 8:43 pm - Reply

      Emaw,

      BRAVO!!!!!!!!!

      • Richard April 3, 2018 at 8:59 pm - Reply

        Calm down. Chill

  35. Stl78(winon,mn) April 3, 2018 at 8:26 pm - Reply

    Lol emaw, it wast that deep in the front. I let my dog out and noticed it was much deeper in the back. I plowed and blew out switches all day. Fortunately, some guys r staying later that what i did so hopefully no overnight calls

  36. Richard April 3, 2018 at 8:26 pm - Reply

    Gary
    Looks like central CA will get hit with a late season atmospheric river Fri-Sat !

    https://twitter.com/Weather_West/status/981315962279411712?s=20

  37. Rod April 3, 2018 at 9:09 pm - Reply

    Even the weather channel is really on board with higher snow totals. They have 1-3” on Friday afternoon & another 3-5” Friday night for a 4-8” storm total just south of me in Jefferson City, MO. Loving the trends. I would of been happy if I would of picked up 2-4” of snow on Easter instead had 0.6” of pure graupe/snow pellets so I’ve yet to get any snow all winter over 2” in Ashland so hoping Friday & Sunday give me a double dose of snow. Sunday is already showing 1-3” of snow for my local area on top of what I get on Friday. Wondering if we will see any banding/enhanced snowfall set up in areas with the Friday snow event?

    • Gary April 3, 2018 at 10:08 pm - Reply

      Remember, it has been over 4 years since our last day with 3″ of snow. The NAM was incredible. The trend is good. This trend will continue if it is real.

      Gary

  38. Craig April 3, 2018 at 9:47 pm - Reply

    0Z NAM makes it clear that Friday night in the big town will be a snowy one.

    • Anonymous April 3, 2018 at 9:58 pm - Reply

      I’m, dreaming, of a white, April. Just like the ones I used to know. Where the birds stop singing, and flowers are clinging, to life, as they are weighted down with heavy snow.

      • Mr. Pete April 3, 2018 at 11:43 pm - Reply

        Awesome 😎

  39. Ryan April 3, 2018 at 9:50 pm - Reply

    Just saw that. I know the storm is still off the coast and a lot could go wrong. But the nam has been pretty consistent the last few runs. http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc&rh=2018040400&fh=81&r=conus&dpdt=

  40. Heat Miser April 3, 2018 at 9:58 pm - Reply

    I’m, dreaming, of a white, April. Just like the ones I used to know. Where the birds stop singing, and flowers are clinging, to life, as they are weighted down with heavy snow.

  41. Rod April 3, 2018 at 10:15 pm - Reply

    New NAM, 6” of snow across central MO & Boone County. ❄️😀

    http://wxcaster4.com/nam/CONUS1_NAM212_SFC_ACCUM-SNOWFALL-KUCHERA_84HR.gif

  42. Jack April 3, 2018 at 11:26 pm - Reply

    I think we need to keep in mind this year that the models have always tended to trend more north and less in amounts as the storm gets closer. Right now I think near and south of kc at the most will be five inches, if that. The GFS is not as high in totals as the NAM. It is going to snow, at least it better snow, but let’s all remember what the pattern of this year has been like.

    I am also a snow lover, so bring the snow!!

    Jack

  43. [email protected] April 3, 2018 at 11:39 pm - Reply

    Gary

    What has been the latest time a winter storm warning are watch ahs been issued for this are in the year ?

    • Gary April 3, 2018 at 11:51 pm - Reply

      I will post that map tomorrow.

      GAry

  44. WeathermanKumke April 3, 2018 at 11:54 pm - Reply

    I’m ALL IN on the Thundersnow for Friday. Sound the Alarm!!!! 🚨🚨🚨🚨🚨

  45. WeathermanKumke April 3, 2018 at 11:56 pm - Reply

    Also, remember, we had snow in May back in 2013. It can happen and it will happen Friday.

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