Trending to a Tricky Storm System

/Trending to a Tricky Storm System

Trending to a Tricky Storm System

Good Sunday bloggers,

Our next storm system arrives later tonight and exits Monday afternoon and it is becoming a tough forecast as to who will see rain and who will not. What else is new around here? If you forecast for New England, all locations will see heavy rain and snow. And, if you miss the snow, well another massive storm will be around the corner. If you live in Amarillo, TX there is no chance of rain or snow until further notice. So, let’s go through this crazy forecast.

TODAY: We have been stuck in a band of low clouds that were left over from the storm system on Friday. In order for us to see the sun today they will have to break up as it will be hard for them to move away. Now, areas that see sun will see highs 50°-55° and locations that stay cloudy highs will be 45°-50°. Clouds from the next storm will be racing north as well.

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SUNDAY NIGHT (MIDNIGHT): The next storm system will be near with rain and thunderstorms from around Topeka to Fort Scott and points southwest.

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MONDAY MORNING: The rain will be most likely move north up into the I-70 corridor, but may stop it’s northward progress near St. Joseph. The wind will be from the northeast at 15-25 mph with temperatures around 40°, so in rain areas it will be a cold and wet start to the week.

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MONDAY NOON: The storm will be tracking east quickly, so where the north edge sets up in the morning is where the north edge will stay with this system. We talked yesterday, how the storm will likely remain compact, but it could track farther north and that is what is trying to happen.

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MONDAY EVENING: The storm system will be long gone in the Tennessee Valley leaving our area cloudy, windy and cool with highs in the 40s to low 50s. A second, smaller system is located to the west.

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TUESDAY: The second system will move by with a few rain showers, there could even be a few snow showers, but this does not look like much of a system. Spring begins at 11:15 AM and it is looking like the coldest day of the week with highs in the 40s.

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RAINFALL FORECAST: Kansas is in a drought emergency, so this is some good news as it looks like .50″ to 2″ of rain will fall from Hays to Wichita and points to the east. This should help out some of the Hard Red Winter Wheat crop. Now, let’s take a closer look at our area.

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RAINFALL FORECAST (CLOSER IN): This is still not set in stone even with all the computer models showing this general solution. Rainfall amounts could range from zero in northern Missouri to .25″-.75″ along I-70 and .50″ to 2″ to the southwest of KC. You can see a shift of 50 miles north or south will make a huge difference on how much rain falls on your yard or farm.

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Have a great week.

Jeff Penner

2018-03-19T07:41:11+00:00 March 18th, 2018|General|18 Comments

18 Comments

  1. Richard March 18, 2018 at 9:31 am - Reply

    Thanks Jeff
    Theres the fast moving related blogs again up above.
    Why does this keep happening. Makes it hard to type with page jumping up and down !
    Bob can you fix it

  2. Bobbie March 18, 2018 at 9:49 am - Reply

    BOB- A down arrow would be much appreciated as well

  3. Stl78(winon,mn) March 18, 2018 at 10:59 am - Reply

    Hey Bob, some 60s and sunshine would b nice up here in mn…..lol!

    • Richard March 18, 2018 at 11:30 am - Reply

      Lol
      You funny Stl

  4. Remembercody March 18, 2018 at 11:21 am - Reply

    If you click on the arrow either left or right, it will stop the progression of the page moving up and down. If you click the box to leave a comment, it will continue the up and down movement while you are typing (annoying, yes) until you’re done typing then just repeat what I said above to continue reading the next 20 or so comments that will commence as the day progresses.

    • Richard March 18, 2018 at 11:27 am - Reply

      Thanks it worked
      But yes very annoying to still have it jumping while typing !
      Does it only happen on mobile devices, or is it the browser.
      Wth is it

    • Richard March 18, 2018 at 11:29 am - Reply

      Then go all the way back up to stop it again if we want to read comments !
      BOB work your magic please

  5. Lary Gezak March 18, 2018 at 5:43 pm - Reply

    RIP this blog

  6. Elaine Watson March 18, 2018 at 6:06 pm - Reply

    I was still holding out for one more snow event of any size but have conceded that all chances are over until the next LRC sets up. Still a real rain would be somewhat exciting and much needed.

  7. Freezemiser March 18, 2018 at 6:26 pm - Reply

    If it’s not going to snow, let’s start severe weather season. Wind howling through the screen window, distance thunder, static on AM radio. Nice!

  8. Lrcfan1 March 18, 2018 at 7:43 pm - Reply

    Heard there is a fire emergency on the nw side of Amarillo, is this true?

  9. Lrcfan1 March 18, 2018 at 7:55 pm - Reply

    Saw some feeds on Facebook fire near Texas tech and a hospital in Amarillo. Those people need rain!

  10. Rockdoc March 18, 2018 at 8:07 pm - Reply

    If only the storm systems hold together. Here is a look at total QPF thru early Wednesday. Lordy, they’re finally getting some moisture (snow/rain) out west as shown by the NAM 3K.

    http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam4km&p=qpf_acc&rh=2018031818&fh=60&r=us_c&dpdt=

    The East Coast storm looks to target southern Pennsylvania on over thru New Jersey rather than New England on Tuesday through Thursday.

    http://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=sn10_acc&rh=2018031818&fh=96&r=us_ne&dpdt=

    As for our area, if the models verify, it should warm up nicely next weekend into the following week.

    Here’s hoping the farmers/ranchers get good moisture out west and across the state. No bad snow/bitter temps since its calving/lambing season.

    Have a great week everyone.

    • Kurt March 19, 2018 at 2:16 am - Reply

      Sad for St Joseph yet again

  11. Richard March 18, 2018 at 8:58 pm - Reply

    Rain tomorrow or not ?

    • Dobber March 19, 2018 at 1:21 am - Reply

      It’s raining right now richard.

      • Kurt March 19, 2018 at 2:15 am - Reply

        What rain?

  12. Kurt March 19, 2018 at 2:14 am - Reply

    How long can I wait for rain after putting down lawn fertilizer? Just curious if I end up missing this rain and it’s doing its best to die about 1/3 mike off to my south and west.

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