Good Tuesday bloggers,
We are tracking two main weather events the next five days as we motor towards Spring. First, we have a huge warm up for Wednesday and Thursday, into the 60s. Second, we have a storm system Friday and Saturday. Will this storm system finally bring us widespread decent rainfall?
WEDNESDAY: The day will start with lows in the 20s. Then, by afternoon with dry air, a brisk southwest wind and 100% sunshine we will warm forty degrees to the 60s!
THURSDAY: This is when the weather becomes more complex. A cold front will head south towards I-70 with highs in the 60s in KC to the 80s in southwest Kansas. Highs will be in the 40s and 50s across Nebraska and Iowa. High clouds will be increasing as Gulf of Mexico moisture flows north ahead of an approaching storm system from the Rockies.
FRIDAY MORNING: Ok, here we go. The cold front that came south on Thursday will stall from central Kansas to southern Missouri, becoming a warm front. This should be the set up for an active warm front which means widespread rain and a few thunderstorms across eastern Kansas and western Missouri with temperatures in the 30s and 40s. Snow is possible in Nebraska with temperatures in the 20s.
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT: A surface low will be located in Kansas with a warm front extending east and southeast from the low creating a huge temperature contrast. Highs will be in the 70s south of the front with 30s/40s to the north. 20s will be found in Nebraska along with the potential for a snowstorm. Is there a chance of severe weather near the low and warm front? The dew points will not be high enough, but it is something to watch.
Now, this does look like exciting weather. The 12Z GFS even had snow in KC on Saturday. Remember, it is Tuesday and this storm is for Friday and Saturday. We know what has happened this season when we get closer to these systems, they trend towards duddery. So, let’s see how this looks the next day or two, but my goodness we are due for widespread precipitation and not every storm can be a nothing around here.
Have a great rest of the week.