One band of snow around 7 AM

Good Sunday morning bloggers,

I know it is not much, but it was snowing at 1 AM. There was a light dusting in some areas, but look at the last second on the second radar image:

Screen Shot 2018-02-11 at 12.57.13 AM

Screen Shot 2018-02-11 at 6.42.32 AM

After a week of tracking a chance of snow, we end up with this last image.  The freezing drizzle last night has happened many times before, but it was still shocking.  If all of that were snowflakes instead of liquid water it would have lessened the frustration. But, instead we had super cooled water droplets in an environment where the entire atmosphere was well below freezing.  Super cooled water droplets can stay in liquid form all the way down to nearly 40 degrees below zero, if the air is clean. We must have had really clean air last night.

Well, if you are up at 7 AM, you may see this last band of snow. Let us know.  Thank you for sharing in the Action Weather Blog Featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.

Now, let’s take a look at the week ahead as we get a break from the small winter systems and a sweet treat on Valentine’s day.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: The sun will come out in full force this afternoon, allowing highs to climb to around 30°.

2

MONDAY MORNING: It will be a frigid start with lows 5°-10°, but at least the wind will be 10 mph or less. Wind chill values will still be around -5°. The chance of re-freezing and black ice patches is there, but most of the ice and snow will evaporate this afternoon with sunshine.

3

MONDAY AFTERNOON: The wind will be coming from the east-northeast, so highs will be about where they are on Sunday, around 30°. It will be mostly sunny with more clouds northwest.

4

TUESDAY: Highs will reach 45°-50° as the wind becomes southerly along with thicker high clouds. Lows will be in the 20s as the Arctic air makes a quick retreat.

5

VALENTINE’S DAY: We are in for a sweet treat as southwest winds take us to highs 55°-60°. Highs will reach the low 70s in southwest Kansas and 40° in Valentine, NE. Lows will be 35°-40° in our area.

6

VALENTINE’S DAY EVENING: It looks like there will be lots of clouds with dewpoints in the 40s. So, if you are heading out during the evening, temperatures will drop slowly to 45°-50°.

7

Have a great week.

Gary and Jeff

Share this post with your friends

55
Leave a Reply

avatar
36 Comment threads
19 Thread replies
0 Followers
 
Most reacted comment
Hottest comment thread
23 Comment authors
miself00dl3Heat MIserMr. PetePhillip in Grain Valley Recent comment authors
  Subscribe  
newest oldest most voted
Notify of
misel
Guest
misel

CIPS analogs (looking back at previous events and comparing then to the current state of the atmosphere) is showing a signal for freezing rain. These colors represent the probability of freezing rain lasting six or more hours.   The general idea is that the CIPS analogs are picking up a signal for freezing rain.

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

Gary are you ok? Just saw you in pain on the air…

Heat MIser
Guest
Heat MIser

really????

Phillip in Grain Valley
Guest
Phillip in Grain Valley

Didn’t get much aside from freezing mist all night last night… roads were treated and didn’t have any problems getting out and about today. Wouldn’t mind for winter to be over in all honesty. Tired of cold weather and nothing to show for it in terms of precip. 40’s and rain the rest of winter into spring would be fine by me.

Stl78
Guest
Stl78

Appeciate the concern richard!

Stl78
Guest
Stl78

Finally back in Minnesota. What a long wknd between driving through the snowstorm on thur night to driving through the frzin rain/sleet this morning. Caught a couple fish and spent quality time with my wife and sitting in front of the fire now catching up with the kids.

Richard in Olathe
Guest
Richard in Olathe

Good you made it safe and sound.
Thx for letting us know Stl !.

Bluetooth
Guest
Bluetooth

Glad that you made it safely.

Stl78
Guest
Stl78

Ty bt!

Nick
Guest
Nick

I believe that it was last year when the NWS went out on a limb because of the Euro model and gave out WSW/ISW for the minor ice event we ended up getting.

Richard in Olathe
Guest
Richard in Olathe

“776 days ago was 12/28/15…and on that day with a Winter Storm Warning issued…we had…wait for it…2.3″ of snow. We can’t win for losing around these parts.”

Richard in Olathe
Guest
Richard in Olathe

JL has a very informative blog today about why we got the frzzing drizzle.
And a national map that tells how many days it has been since the last winter storm warning.
Surprised me to see when the last time KC had one. (No, not 4 yrs ago)

Plaza John
Guest
Plaza John

I’m ready for spring….

Troy Newman
Member
Troy Newman

Interesting to see Chicago ties a record with 9 consecutive days with accumulating snow. I don’t think they had much before this event.

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

What’s interesting is March may be interesting as the last push of Arctic air may not penetrate enough to shunt our moisture south. That being said, I wouldn’t gamble based upon it.

Richard in Olathe
Guest
Richard in Olathe

Would be nice to have everyone put their area next to their name. I just tested and it works

Richard in Olathe
Guest
Richard in Olathe

Test

Richard
Guest
Richard

Miss seeing Rockdoc and MMike on here.

Richard
Guest
Richard

Gary
Referring to the 7 day colored graphic that the wx team shows on the air, which is not computer generated.
It used to be on the kshb weather page also. But no more. Why ?
The only one there is the computer generated one.

Nick
Guest
Nick

Here we go again…. GFS has another dusting storm for Thursday night 😛 😛

David
Guest
David

We got 1.2″ here in Kirksville.

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

Gary and Jeff: Happy Sunday to both of you!! I wound up with a bit of freezing drizzle and less than a skiff of snow so I am here with the clown suit on and eating my crow. I argued as late as Friday night that I had less than a 10% chance of getting just flakes to a dusting and felt very confident of at least an inch; that is a crow eating forecast!!! Oh well…I still had a great week of winter weather. 6 out of the last 8 days were below freezing; had 3 mornings in the… Read more »

Rod
Guest
Rod

Bill, Great write up & analysis. Looking back I had some precipitation in the Dec 29th – 30th of Dec even though it was light qpf of under 0.10”. With the cycle length in the 45-47 day area it fits to have another system come through this coming Thursday into Friday time frame. I also had a very significant event picking up 0.84” liquid equivalent on Jan 7 recorded the morning of January 8th, with 45-47 day cycle that would be due in about week after this Thursday/Friday event around Feb 23-25th timeframe. I had another event a week later… Read more »

Richard
Guest
Richard

Sometimes there is a world of difference between Lawrence KS and Columbia MO.
Seems like storms intensify more often after they head east from KC. (Columbia)

Rod
Guest
Rod

Richard, yes and no Gary was shocked the other day when I told him Columbia hasn’t even picked up 3 inches of snow. Yes some of the events that occurred when the cycling pattern length was being determined back in October and November produced more precipitation then Kansas City & Lawrence for example but so far when they have cycle back through they have not produced anymore in Columbia then they have it points further west. Now that could change with the next three or four systems that are due to cycle back through but as of today that has… Read more »

Bill in Lawrence
Guest
Bill in Lawrence

Rod: Happy Sunday!!! Thanks so very much for the kind words!!! I had a relative live in Ashland years ago and used to ride the Katy Trail quite a bit…that is a beautiful area down there!!!! Like you I am not ready to give up on winter just yet. Granted the chances of a 3 plus inch are low due to the LRC and also due it getting later in the year, I still will respectfully argue we have 3 or 4 waves upcoming with cold air lurking that give us a 30% chance of a “twist”; 30% may be… Read more »

Rod
Guest
Rod

Bill, I remember the blizzard that did hit here groundhog day 2011 I was living in Ashland and we have picked up over 20 inches of snow from that storm. Also if I remember right that was the winter that we picked up over 50 inches of snow at the airport in Columbia. We had snow piled so high that it was dangerous navigating out of my subdivision as there were many blindspots going around corners, People couldn’t see over the snow mounds when backing out of their driveways either. There were times when you would meet a car &… Read more »

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

When will St Joseph get 1 inch or more of liquid equivalent in a storm, heck when will we get more than 1/2 inch liquid equivalent. If not for the one wet system in January we’d really be hurting.

I think there needs to be a contest to guess the first actual widespread rainstorm this spring. For we try to guess on a 3 plus inch snowstorm that could be years away at this rate.

I am ready for wet rainy weather

sedsinkc
Guest
sedsinkc

I measured 0.1 inches of snow in KC North, ha ha. At least it snowed enough to whiten the ground this time, unlike the one that totally missed us last week.

David
Guest
David

Put a fork in it. Snow for this season is done, but it never really started. Funny how last Sunday’s surprise snow event may be the biggest event this winter season for KC.

Rod
Guest
Rod

Still watching system coming out of the SW late this week, could be that twist we’re looking for. IMO still a few more opportunities in the current cycle to get an nice snow if things can just come together & I feel we get a nice March surprise snowstorm. We just have to get one just one please then I’m ready for severe weather season.

Richard
Guest
Richard

According to wx2020’s 12 week forecast we will be off to the races with 40’s, 50’s, 60’s !
Hip hip hooray !
So no more chances of any snow storms.
Maybe 😄

Bluetooth
Guest
Bluetooth

Richard, my sentiments exactly….

Snow Miser
Guest
Snow Miser

This is getting pathetic. I’m ready for spring.

Michel Casteel
Guest
Michel Casteel

Maryville picked up just under an inch overnight which makes for a 2 inch total for both storms with a liquid equivalent of .08 inches just got done cleaning up the snow down at work wishing it was 4 inches LOL have a blessed Sunday bloggers Michael

Heat MIser
Guest
Heat MIser

uggh…that freezing drizzle was nasty last night

Bluetooth
Guest
Bluetooth

Heat, we lucked out here in terms of the ice–Nws said 1-3 inches and they were fairly close on that.

Lary Gezak
Guest
Lary Gezak

Give me maybe one big snowstorm (not likely at this point) and then I will be ready to move on.

Winter is Mr. Gezak’s favorite season. Never have I been so ready for warmer weather and storms. That’s how disappointing this winter has been. “There’s always next year”…

Craig
Guest
Craig

Just want to congratulate Gary and Jeff for sticking to an LRC-based forecast this time when ALL of the models suggested 2-4” as late as Friday morning.
The LRC consistently suggested that this “storm” would be a dud…just like all the rest…and by sticking with it, you got it (mostly) correct.
Nice job!

Mr. Pete
Guest
Mr. Pete

NWS called for a dusting to no accumulation for my area.

Richard
Guest
Richard

+1

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

Oops 10 events, wish it was 20 lol!

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

I’ve had 20 events at an average of .65 per event lol

f00dl3
Guest
f00dl3

So now we are at about 0.675″ per snow event?

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

Dividing line

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

The divining line for snow is about 10-15 miles to my north, just like the rainfall pattern was south last summer

Troy Newman
Member
Troy Newman

In RP county I had 3.5 inches last night which brings my total for the week to 8.5 inches and season total to 14. Nearly all the snow we have gotten has been about a 20:1 ratio this year so its like scooping chicken feathers. Its been really cold this week too with only one day above freezing day and that was only 36F and every morning but one in the single digits and 2 below zero. Seems strange to hear Hume mention flowers down there as here the ground, lakes, and river are all frozen solid. Quite a climate… Read more »

Kurt
Guest
Kurt

Will there be available moisture come spring and get us some decent rains? Will the fronts alone be enough to trigger rain? I hope this positive people are right about seasonal differences, but been through this last year so I’m skeptical that this turns around.

There is more chemical and crap in the streets than what we had in snow last night. This winter is pathetic, not even 7 inches at my location the entire winter back to the first snow October 31st. My snowfall forecast of 6 to 11 might verify

Bluetooth
Guest
Bluetooth

Kurt, that’s the $10,000 question. We’ve had more snow here but it’s still been weak moisture wise.

Lary Gezak
Guest
Lary Gezak

100%. We do not have to worry about a drought during the Spring-Summer months around here. We will get plenty of rain.

Bluetooth
Guest
Bluetooth

I certainly hope that you are right.

Bsmike
Guest
Bsmike

I guess this is our dusting , that band is trying to grow just to tease us.

Bsmike
Guest
Bsmike

Mother Nature is cruel.

REAL HUMEDUDE
Guest
REAL HUMEDUDE

I’m embarrassed for having followed this “storm”. Lol
What can we do guys? It’s still a struggle in these parts, I’m looking forward to a warm up this week and the gradual return to Spring. I’ve got early flowers starting to pop so it can’t be too far off. Once the gulf opens up these dry systems will produce again, no worries

Bluetooth
Guest
Bluetooth

34 days until St Patrick’s day. That’s usually when I try to plant potatoes and onion sets.