Good morning bloggers,
The roads are white around Kansas City. Why? Well, up north they may be snow covered, but down south they are salt covered again. When will it precipitate again? There is a chance of snow Sunday, but Mother Nature is not being nice at all. And, there is a chance of snow Monday with another rather major Arctic blast. Yesterday a whopping total of 0.4″ fell in Kansas City. During the past four winters (14.1″, 5.9″, 4.9″, and 2.6″) there has been a total of 27.5″ and there have been around 30 snowfalls. Think about that average, less than one inch per snowfall. Here are some numbers:
It is down into the single digits today. The trend on the models overnight for Sunday and Monday’s snow chances was interesting. The trend shifted the Alberta Clipper type systems west a bit, but these are small scale systems with very little moisture to work with.
On Sunday, there is a fast moving wave aloft, that you can see on tonights upper level forecast chart:
That wave, that I am pointing at with that arrow, comes through and over the ridge near the west coast. And, then it drops southeast to just west of Kansas City Sunday morning. If it is strong enough and takes that track across eastern Kansas, then the snowflake contest could end Sunday morning with a 1-2 inch band possible:
This is a rather small and fast moving system. The trend overnight shifted the snow west to right over Kansas City. But, we have been through this too many times. It is now less than 48 hours away, and yet it is not even close to being a certainty.
On Monday, another strong Arctic Blast will be spreading and expanding out over the upper Midwest and plains states. A band of snow has been pretty heavy on some models. It will be moving fast, but it could also produce an inch or so. This provides two chances to end the snowflake contest.
This map above shows the GFS snowfall forecast for these next two events combined. The Canadian model doubles these totals. And, the Euro does too:
As you can see, the European Model shows a nice Two to Four inches of snow, which would obviously end the snowflake contest. Again, this is all by Monday morning. This European model is almost an exact copy of what the Canadian model did. So, we continue on this rather rough winter ride in KC. Are we being teased again? I like the trend.
Thank you for sharing in this weather experience, the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Go over to Weather2020.com to join in the conversation. I will check in later. It’s FRIDAY!