Good Sunday bloggers,

Today is going to be another mild day with highs 60°-65°, but the differences from Saturday will be more clouds and an increasing south wind. The Supermoon will be visible from time to time tonight as it will not become totally thick overcast until after midnight. However, even before midnight there will be times of total cloud cover. The moon rises at 5:28 PM and sets Monday at 8:12 AM.

Let’s go through the changes and see if we can find any precipitation.

SUNDAY AFTERNOON: The wind will be increasing with areas of lower clouds moving north underneath eastward moving cirrus clouds. So, we will see the sun from time to time, filtering through the high clouds. The wind will be increasing to 10-25 mph from the south and southeast.

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MONDAY MORNING: The day will start mostly cloudy, very windy and mild with temperatures 60°-65° along with a shower and/or mist. The first cold front of the week will be racing southeast across Nebraska as a snowstorm occurs in the Dakotas, heading to Minnesota.

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MONDAY NOON: The cold front will be on our doorstep with temperatures 65°-70°. The record is 69° set in 2001, we will come close. There will be a few showers along with gusty south-southwest winds. We need the rain, but Monday will bring only a trace to .05″.

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MONDAY EVENING: The front will already be near St. Louis and the little showers that were along the front in KC will become a nice line of rain and thunderstorms as the front heads east. It would be good to see a nice line of rain here in KC, but the front is moving too fast. Our temperatures will be in the 40s falling to the 30s as this front is more of Pacific origin. So, this front will take us from unseasonably warm to where it should be for this time of year.

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UPPER LEVEL FLOW FRIDAY: After the early week storm tracks across the northern Plains it will lift north into eastern Canada and evolve into a deep trough extending from the North Pole to Midwest. A tall ridge will form on the west coast of North America which in combination with the trough to the east turns the flow from Alaska and The Yukon right in to the Midwest. KC is on the western edge of the serious cold which means we will see in and out of the very cold.

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FRIDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY MORNING: Our coldest night this week looks to be Friday night into Saturday as lows will drop to 5°-15° in our area with below zero likely in Minnesota. You can see 32° in Valentine, NE which not only means we are on the edge of the cold, but it will warm up after this Arctic plunge. However, this Arctic plunge will likely be followed by more shots of cold the following week.

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SNOWFALL FORECAST NEXT 7 DAYS: Monday and Tuesday, as the colder change begins, there will be a snowstorm from the Dakotas to Minnesota with 1″ to 10″ of snow likely. Then, as the Arctic air heads south there will be a series of southward moving disturbances that will bring a dusting to 4″ of snow from the northern Plains to Iowa, Missouri and points east. The heavier snow will be east of the Mississippi river.

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Could KC see any snow? Well, on Friday, as the coldest air blasts south, flurries are possible. A dusting to 1″ is possible in eastern Missouri and there is a chance this could shift west.  We will know more as we get closer.

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Have a great week.

Jeff Penner