A Cold Stretch and Rain Chances

/A Cold Stretch and Rain Chances

A Cold Stretch and Rain Chances

Happy Veteran’s day bloggers,

We are in for a cold weekend with a very good chance of drizzle and light rain. Has it seemed cold for awhile? If your answer is yes, you are right. We have seen below average temperatures for 16 straight days, including today. Sunday and Monday will take the streak to 18. We do have warmer days in the forecast, Tuesday-Thursday will see highs around 60° as the humidity increases along with our chances of rain.


Let’s go through the weekend forecast as we track a system coming out of the Rockies.

SATURDAY MORNING: At the surface there is a low in southwest Kansas with a warm front extending into north central then southeast Kansas. Temperatures were near 50° this morning in southern Kansas and over 50° in Oklahoma. This warmer and moist air is heading northeast into our cool air and this is going to cause low clouds, fog, drizzle and light rain as a storm system heads east out of the Rockies.


SATURDAY (NOON): Drizzle and light rain will be increasing just to the west of the state line.


SATURDAY EVENING: Drizzle and light rain will be widespread across the area with perhaps a few moderate showers. Temperatures will be in the low 40s, so there will be no icing, just wet to damp roads. Now, if there are wet leaves on the ground, that can make it slick, so keep an eye out for that.


SATURDAY NIGHT: The drizzle will end after midnight, between 3 AM and 6 AM with temperatures around 40°.


SUNDAY MORNING: The rain and drizzle will be over, with low clouds and some fog around. The roads will be damp to wet with temperatures around 40°.


SUNDAY AFTERNOON: The clearing line will move through and we should see some sun at least 1-2 hours before sunset. Highs will be 40°-45° if the clouds stay all day, but highs will reach near 50° if the sun comes out faster.


MONDAY MORNING: This is interesting as the sky will likely be clear Sunday evening along with a light wind as a surface high pressure settles over head. This is the set up for fog and low clouds due to the moisture still hanging around. If the fog forms and gets thick enough and lows drop to 27°-32° we could see some black ice. The chance is 20%, but something to monitor.


TUESDAY-THURSDAY: There will be two more systems to track as warmer and more humid air moves north. Highs will reach the 50s to low 60s these days with dew points similar. So, as these systems move by, more drizzle and rain showers will be possible later Tuesday into Wednesday and Thursday. This does look like a thunderstorm set up, but mostly for locations well east, as the systems are moving quickly and it will not totally get their act together until they reach the Mississippi river. Now, that being said, we could see .10″ to .80″ of rain total the next 7 days, including today. The heaviest rain will occur east of the Mississippi river as it has been mostly doing the last three weeks.


Happy Veteran’s day and thank you for your service.

Have a great weekend.

Jeff Penner

2017-11-14T23:28:57+00:00November 11th, 2017|General|9 Comments


  1. Ben November 11, 2017 at 10:49 am - Reply

    What happened to dry weather the next 10 days?

  2. Kurt November 11, 2017 at 11:50 am - Reply

    I wouldn’t call this wet, a tenth an inch to maybe 1/2 when we’ve been mostly dry since mid October. Almost an 8 inch deficit year to date, will be a dry year up here in St Joseph.

    • JoeK November 12, 2017 at 8:25 am - Reply


      According to NWS, St, Joe received 4.12 inches in October, with a surplus of 1.3. Based off that, it seemed as though you were finally going to see some more action up your way. Keeping the LRC in mind, not sure that equates to a dry year. With October being as active as it was, that should give you hope that when the cycle repeats, your area will benefit. After all the misses this year, I sure do hope you hit pay dirt from the new LRC!

  3. Layne November 11, 2017 at 11:58 am - Reply

    Do you think the hot spot for snow this winter will be East of us?

  4. stl78 November 11, 2017 at 11:59 am - Reply

    Took my son to hockey practice and there were a ton of accidents here in se mn. They issued a last minute wwa for frz rain but it was probably too late. Temps has been 31 to 32 with light drizzle/rain/sleet. I dont mind snow but hate this ice!

  5. Nate November 11, 2017 at 12:33 pm - Reply

    KC is so horribly boring, it’s just awful.

  6. terry November 11, 2017 at 1:05 pm - Reply


  7. Skylar November 11, 2017 at 8:17 pm - Reply

    You all need to let go of the short term thinking on here. Even with the LRC, 3 weeks of the whole does not determine what exactly will happen for the next 12 months, but everyone always acts like it does.

  8. L.B November 11, 2017 at 10:57 pm - Reply

    I think I liked it better when we didn’t really know and took each day as it happened, kinda like we do now, just with some two or three day what evers

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