Good morning bloggers,

We had a very hard freeze in Kansas City this morning. It dropped to below 25 degrees and stayed there for six hours this morning.  This will cause the leaves to fall faster and also spark more trees to change color.  We had peak color this week, and there are still many gorgeous trees out there.  I got this picture of Sunny The  Weather Dog earlier today as the sun was rising:

DSCN4627

The weather pattern continues to set up for the season. We are now just over two weeks away from our official winter forecast. It will come out on Monday, November 27th. We will likely have a preliminary outlook in the next week.  We are still seeing more parts of this first LRC Cycle, so as I said yesterday, don’t panic as we are in the panic period. The models are all over the place. There has been one very consistent aspect to this pattern that continues from model run to model run. The fact that it has been dry out west, and it continues to be forecast to be dry out over the southwest.

16-day Precipitation Forecast:

1

I just need a few more days to analyze this developing pattern. I will be spending a few hours this weekend going over all of the pieces of the winter forecast puzzle.  Have a great Friday Night In The Big Town and thank you for sharing in this Action Weather Blog experience featuring Weather2020 and the LRC.

Gary