Good morning bloggers,
This month is the 30-year anniversary of where I experienced the cycling pattern according to the LRC for the first time. I had thought about it in the early to mid 1980s, but in November of 1987-1988 I noticed and began documenting my hypothesis as I noticed s January snowstorm looked rather similar to the one that happened in December. And, this was in Oklahoma City of all places. These were two snowstorms in the same season producing nearly a foot of snow. There were many other storm systems that winter producing snow and ice in Oklahoma including one in November and one in March. It was a few years later when I made my first hypothesis in the early 1990s. This is when I hypothesized that the period of October 15th to November 5th, these three weeks, showcase the pattern well. Since then I have expanded this very important formation period to be from October 1st to November 30th. I do not believe you can dip back into last years pattern, in August and September, to find the cycle length. The pattern is always cycling and regularly, but the new pattern needs to evolve in October and November. But, there is something new we have found in the past year. There are these harmonics of the pattern, somewhat like mini-cycles, half cycles, one third cycles, or a one third harmonic of the pattern. I notice that October 7th and October 22nd lined up very well. We showed this to you a couple of weeks ago. This 15-day stretch may have been a 1/3 harmonic of the pattern, or perhaps we have a 45 day cycle, give or take few days. We can test this out later in the month. If I am correct, then beginning November 22nd or so, that October 7th, or day 1 of this years LRC, part of the pattern will return and it will get rather exciting near KC for around a 17 day stretch.
Kansas City Weather Time-Line:
- Today: A few snow flurries north of KC this morning. Partly cloudy with a light northeast breeze at 10 mph. High: 46°
- Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a low near 32°
- Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with a few light showers possible. The chance of measurable rain is 20%. High: 43°
- Wednesday: Mostly sunny and slightly warmer. Light winds. High: 46°
Thank you for sharing in this weather experience and reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the LRC. Go over to Weather2020.com and click on the blog there to join in the conversation.