Good morning bloggers,

Kansas City Weather Time-Line:

  • Today:  Increasing clouds after a sunny start. Northeast winds 10-17 mph. High:  73°
  • Tonight: Rain likely with a nearly 100% chance by midnight. There is a chance of a thunderstorm. Low:  50°
  • Tuesday:  Cloudy and much colder with light rain or drizzle lingering into the afternoon. North winds with temperatures dropping into the 40s with wind chills in the 30s.

We awaken on this Monday morning with a clear blue sky over Kansas City. The remnants of Nate are moving over the northeastern United States, and it is snowing over Colorado rather significantly this morning.  Here is the 7 AM Satellite Picture:

SAT_EUS_WVENH

A developing cyclone is in progress this morning and it will continue into Tuesday.  What is a cyclone?  Did you know that a hurricane is a cyclone?  In meteorology, a cyclone is defined to be any large scale system that rotates around a strong center of low pressure.  Cyclones are characterized by spiraling winds rotating inward towards this center of low pressure.  We are seeing something developing over western Colorado this morning that we did not see all of last fall when the cycling pattern developed in 2016-2017. This may very well be exhibit A for this years pattern and it certainly will be fun to watch today.

Here is the surface map from 7 AM this morning:

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The cyclone aloft may be over western Colorado, but the surface cyclone is farther east and it was centered near Dodge City, KS as I was writing this blog entry early this morning.  If you ever wonder how the cycling pattern can produce one result in October, a different result when the pattern cycles back through in December, and then a very different result again in May or June, this is a good example. At this time of the year, the surface cyclone is forming in response to that strong wave over Colorado.  The placement of the surface features will be different in the future cycle versions of this storm system and they are very predictable, but also certainly challenging.

Now, what will happen with this system? Take a look at the midnight forecast:

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There are many solutions for how the rain pattern will set up this evening. Let’s watch this evolve and I will have live updates on KSHB.com and on 41 Action News at 4, 5, 6, 6:30, and 10 PM tonight.  I am back to work after a nice vacation.  This will be a fun storm to track.  Let us know if you have any questions and you can join in the conversation on the Weather2020.com blog. Thank you for spending a few minutes of your day reading the Action Weather Blog featuring Weather2020 and the cycling pattern.  I am on Sports Radio 810 right now, so I will check in later to see if you have any comments or questions.

Gary