Tracking Three Weather Features

/Tracking Three Weather Features

Tracking Three Weather Features

Good Sunday bloggers,

We are tracking three weather features, two storm systems and Nate. Nate is rapidly weakening, but the remnants will track over New York City on Monday, so there may very well be flight delays.  Storm system #1 is racing northeast through eastern Canada and this was the system that affected the Plains and Midwest last week.  Storm #2 is now in the Pacific Northwest, digging southeast into the southern Rockies by Monday.  This system will then track northeast into the Plains and Midwest Monday night and Tuesday, bringing a big change to our weather. Let’s go through Sunday, Monday and Tuesday and track these big weather changes as storm system #2 moves in.

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SUNDAY: The weather will be calm and comfortable today with highs 75° to 80°, a light wind and low humidity with abundant sunshine.  A weak cold front will slip in tonight ahead of quite a change.

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MONDAY MORNING: Look how quickly things change as the storm system is dropping south through the Rockies.  Snow is likely in Denver with temperatures in the 30s.  KC will still have decent weather, with lows in the 50s, a clear sky and light wind.

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MONDAY AFTERNOON: The system begins to head out in to the Plains.  A cold rain is falling from Nebraska to northwest Kansas with temperatures in the 40s.  It will be in the 80s to near 90° from northeast Oklahoma to southern Missouri. KC will see increasing clouds with temperatures in the 70s, 60s possible in northwest Missouri.

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MONDAY NIGHT: The storm continues to get its act together and KC starts to see rain with an increasing north wind.  It looks like our area will be in the cold air.

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TUESDAY MORNING: The cold, wind driven rain will likely be in our area with temperatures in the 40s.  This is not set in stone, but there is a strong trend in this direction.

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TUESDAY AFTERNOON: The storm system is moving northeast through Missouri with our area stuck in the 40s, with rain and a brisk north wind.  Yes, we stay in the 40s all day Tuesday with wind and rain.  It is time to pull out the warmer clothes, but do not put away the shorts as warmer air will return by the end of the week.  Southeast Missouri may have severe weather as highs will be in the 70s and 80s with copious Gulf of Mexico moisture.

Now, the details of how much rain will fall in our area, in the colder air, is not set in stone as it could be .10″ to .50″ or as much as .25″ to 1″.  The exact track of the storm system is not set yet, so this surface map projection is subject to change which means the placement of the cold and warm air may shift by 50-100 miles.

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Gary will update this blog Monday morning with the latest data on this big change.

Have a great week ahead.

Jeff Penner

2017-10-09T09:23:56+00:00 October 8th, 2017|General|13 Comments

13 Comments

  1. BDUBS October 8, 2017 at 8:47 am - Reply

    Thanks for a blog Jeff! Looking forward to some cooler weather.

  2. Three7s October 8, 2017 at 9:47 am - Reply

    Assuming this system is part of the new LRC, this could bring a decent snow event next cycle, seeing as we’re on the cold side of the low pressure.

  3. j-ox October 8, 2017 at 10:24 am - Reply

    Gary/Jeff,
    Any correlations w/ cycle length and Winter impacts?
    What have been the shortest & longest cycle years?

  4. Rockdoc October 8, 2017 at 11:16 am - Reply

    Thanks Jeff 🤗 I’m in the mountains here in Colorado and plan on driving down to Denver later today before the snowstorm arrives. They’re expecting anywhere from 3-9 inches of snow with some places up to a foot! No fun driving across South Park with blowing snow and then traversing Kenosha pass. Ugh! This storm will most likely take out the remaining aspens which are at peak color in the Arkansas River valley.

    Don’t know if my flight will leave on time Tuesday which is in the early afternoon. Scheduled to arrive in KC around 4. Based on your map, assuming conditions hold, it could be a bumpy ride into KC and raining 🙄

    Well I’m off to the hot springs for one last soak ☺. Have a Great Sunday Everyone.

    • Richard October 8, 2017 at 12:39 pm - Reply

      Rockdoc
      Safe travels by car and air.
      I am not fond of bumpy flights. Get me back on terra-firma !
      Have been on a few where I wondered how in the he** the plane held together.

    • KS Jones October 8, 2017 at 4:14 pm - Reply

      Have you returned from Bewnie (as it is known by the colorful natives)?

  5. Richard October 8, 2017 at 12:32 pm - Reply

    So this is what some bloggers on here were talking about last week, saying the gfs was showing snow for us ? Or was that a differnt system next week.

    • Anonymous October 8, 2017 at 12:38 pm - Reply

      It showed it for like one run, then it was gone

  6. Richard October 8, 2017 at 1:45 pm - Reply

    Tornado warning in North Carolina
    Looks like Nate is making his presence known

  7. Richard October 8, 2017 at 8:20 pm - Reply

    Is it just me ? This site is getting harder and slower to load.

  8. stl78 October 8, 2017 at 9:13 pm - Reply

    No problems here sir Richard

  9. f00dl3 October 9, 2017 at 7:02 am - Reply

    So our October is VERY hot. By this time last year we had already gotten our first frost. We haven’t even really dropped below 50 but maybe 1 day in isolated spots this October. If this is a sign of our LRC this year, wow… look at that Departure from Normal jump that happened when we entered October – Summer was running below average and all of a sudden every day we are +10.

  10. Michael Garner October 9, 2017 at 8:00 am - Reply

    Winter in KC…cold front means 1-2 days below average temps followed by 3-4 days above average then a day where it’s average. Hope not but October seems to be having a persistent ridge somewhere that is affecting us or we used up our fall weather in August when it was so cool, by August standards.

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