Happy Tuesday bloggers,

A cold front is slowly moving southeast across the Plains and will drift through KC tonight with a few showers and thunderstorms, but we do not expect a big rain event.   This front is pretty strong as it separates low 60s from low 80s, but the upper levels today are not set up for big thunderstorms.

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The upper level flow features an upper low in the northern Plains lifting northeast into Canada and a second upper low over western Nevada.  The first upper low is forcing the cold front south.  The second low will head east across the Rockies, Plains and Midwest at the end of the week.  This second low will take our cold front and turn it into a warm front Wednesday night and bring a second cold front Friday night.  These fronts plus this upper low will be generating many areas of rain and thunderstorms, starting Wednesday night.  So, let’s go through the next few days.

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WEDNESDAY: The front will make it to northern Oklahoma and southern Missouri.  It will be in the process of heading back north as a warm front during the afternoon.  So, this means we will have a cloudy sky with a light northeast wind and perhaps a shower.  Temperatures will be in the 60s to low 70s.

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THURSDAY: The front will be back north as warm front and areas of rain and thunderstorms will be likely Wednesday night and Thursday.  There may be showers and thunderstorms south of the warm front as disturbances track in from the southwest. Highs will warm back to the 70s.

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FRIDAY: A round of thunderstorms will be possible in the morning as the warm front lingers, then by afternoon the warm front will be well north as a new cold front moves in with the main system, the second upper low mentioned above.  This round Friday night has the potential to be very heavy and strong. Total rainfall through Saturday will be 1″ to 3″ with a few locations seeing 4″.  There is still time to seed the yard and/or fertilize.

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—————————————————————————————————————————————————–TROPICAL UPDATE: Hurricane season officially runs through the end of November, and we have another system to monitor.  If it forms, it would be named Nate.

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The tropical disturbance we are monitoring is east and north of Central America.

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The latest data has this system moving north and affecting the Gulf coast next week.  If it does, let’s hope it is not much of a system.  It does not have to be a major hurricane.

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This is the area to watch for early next week.  Again, let’s hope this not a major hurricane.

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Have a great rest of your week.

Jeff Penner