Good Monday morning bloggers,

The weather has become rather calm over most of the nation.  For storm chasers this is going to be a very inactive week. Look at today’s risk:

The only serious risk of a severe thunderstorm developing is located over the rare location of Montana southwest into Idaho.  How often do we say that?  Let’s look at the upper flow forecast by Friday Night:

A big storm will be moving into the Pacific northwest states by the end of the week. This will allow a ridge to build over the middle part of the nation.  This storm will be monitored closely. What usually happens in the June version of these storm systems is that they will create the conditions for a cap to build over the plains and thus limit any severe thunderstorm potential until the storm moves by.  This is why northwest flow is more preferred for severe thunderstorms during the summer.

Rainfall Forecast Next 7 Days:

A rather dry week is in the forecast with the exception of the Pacific northwest and areas out east. Look at what is forecast for the seven days after this week:

These next seven days are somewhat suspect. At this time of the year it only takes three hours to get five inches of rain if the thunderstorms line up over your location.

Have a great day. Let’s see how this all sets up!