Good morning bloggers,

Yesterday we talked about the storm systems showing up in the second half of April. And, they are still showing up, but they appear to be a bit weaker and drier than yesterdays models. Most of the rain continues to show up in the days 11 to 15 range.

GFS Rainfall Forecast for the next ten days:

As you can see, there is still a nice amount of rain in some areas. The pink shade is 2″ of rain or more. Near Kansas City we are in the 0.50″ to 1.75″ range over the next ten days. This is a bit less than the models were showing yesterday.

Here is a product from the Storm Prediction Center showing the thunderstorm outlook for today:

If we get into a pattern where there are thunderstorms around each day, then the amounts of rain can add up fast if you get underneath a few of these thunderstorms. Today’s chance is concentrating over southeastern New Mexico where the SPC also has a 5% chance of a tornado within 25 miles of any spot.

It will be a gorgeous day. I am analyzing the pattern and we will go more in-depth in tomorrows blog entry. Have a great Wednesday.