6:45 PM Update:
It was pretty fascinating, but we just found the disturbance that will help make radar exciting in the next few hours. This is a great indication of an upper level system and the snow radar echoes have rapidly responded. Take a look:
Can you see it? Pretty neat. I am still forecasting 1 to 2 inches near KC! Let’s see if it grows in the next few hours.
Previous updates below:
5 PM Update:
Here is the late afternoon in-house model that just came out valid at 11 PM tonight:
3 PM Update:
Here is our latest in house model at 41 Action News. This model has a more realistic solution into the range that I have been expecting. This is likely a 1 to 2 inch snow event, and some spots may get less. There is still a chance of a little thin band with a bit more than 2″?
This is just not a “real” storm system. Let’s enjoy it for what it is. If we get more than an inch it will be a bonus!
Previous entry below:
Good morning Weather2020 bloggers,
There is a Blizzard Warning for northwest Alaska where up to four inches of snow will be likely with 50 mph winds causing visibilities to drop to near zero. Now, I am not sure how many people live in that red zone, which is the farthest northwest part of the United States, but that warning is in effect for today. Farther south across the lower 48 states there are a variety of winter storm warnings and advisories stretching from California and Oregon to Kansas City:
A Winter Weather Advisory is indicated in that purple color over the plains. The Kansas City region just happens to be in the path of this fast moving system. This storm is not identifiable on the satellite and radar right now, as of 8 AM this morning. It will be coming more into focus early this evening and we will be able to see which counties will be targeted. Here is the liquid equivalent precipitation from this mornings NAM model
I live on the south side, so I am hoping the models are off by just a “blip”. As is, this would be a 1/2″ to 1″ snow on the south side of the KC metro area with 2″ on the north side with a 3 to 4 inch bulls-eye over north central Missouri. Again, this is if this model is exactly right. The models are rarely exactly right, but until I see the radar this is all I have to go with at this point.
The above map is from the NAM model. Let’s see how the other models come in today. Have a great day and thank you for participating and sharing in this weather experience.