Good morning Weather2020 bloggers,

A very dry weather pattern is currently in progress over most of the western two thirds of the United States.  In Los Angeles, it did rain this month 0.45″ so far. L.A. averages only 0.66″ in October, but no rain is in sight at the moment for them.  In Kansas City, MO, 0.06″ has fallen which is more than one inch below average. And, there is also no rain in sight at the moment.

This first map shows the flow aloft, around 18,000 feet up (500 mb level) valid at 7 PM tonight.  A storm is developing near the northern Great Lakes today:


The weather pattern is currently setting up for the year, and the new LRC 2015-2016 is starting out as a dry pattern from Los Angeles to Kansas City. Now, as I have been discussing let’s hang on and just put this first week of the patter as starting out dry. Let’s see what happens in the next five weeks.  There is a big chunk of this pattern for us to see and experience before we make any strong conclusions.

This next map shows the surface forecast valid at 7 PM this evening.  you can see a strong surface low north of Lake Superior and just south of Hudson Bay in Canada.  Most of the nation will have a gorgeous sunny day!


Now, look at this:


This next map shows the upper level flow valid in 120 hours or Friday night.  A big trough continues over eastern Canada extending southeast into the New England states. A storm is off the west coast trying to break through the ridge. Again, this is a dry pattern for most of the United States for another five days.

Let’s see how the models trend today. We will look at the latest AO, NOA, PNA, and ENSO conditions in tomorrow’s blog. It’s fall foliage season.  Here is a look at one tree I saw as I was heading home Saturday, after getting one last day in a friends pool. Yes, pool time in October.  Have a great day, and thank you for participating in the LRC Forecast Experience Blog. Let us know if you have any questions.