Get your 12 Week Forecast
Precipitation Is Increasing! Dangerous Driving Conditions Overnight!

Precipitation Is Increasing! Dangerous Driving Conditions Overnight!

Happy Friday Night In The Big Town, Take a look at the Midnight, February 1st radar image: SLICK & HAZARDOUS TONIGHT!  Freezing rain, sleet, and snow will cause significant slick spots through Saturday morning! Bands of freezing rain, sleet, and snow are now rapidly developing west of Kansas City.  Freezing drizzle continues to fall, but is very light at nearly 10 PM.  I believe our weather team figured out what caused the very slick conditions earlier. It was likely just partially the freezing drizzle that moved in during the mid-afternoon. It was most likely the earlier graupel/snow showers that fell that accumulated lightly on the roads, then melted, then refroze as the freezing drizzle began and combined with the low sun angle as the sun began to set.  Just my thoughts, because that was a lot of slick spot development for such very light freezing drizzle. Now, this next band of precipitation will likely be heavier with 4-6 inches of snow possible up north.  After this system moves by we will quickly turn our attention to the next storm. This forecast 850 mb map is valid at 6 AM Tuesday. It shows a well defined 850 mb low that will likely help produce wide spread snowfall. But, there is also a 0°C line approaching: This next storm is going to come more into focus on Saturday. I will go over the details tomorrow.   Have a great night and please be careful. Gary...

Freezing Drizzle Has Caused Many Crashes

Good evening bloggers, Freezing drizzle spread in during the past few hours and this has caused many accidents, including a few pile-ups. We have had reports of 15 and 20 car pile-ups around KC. So, it is obviously very slick & dangerous right now. The new data has trended towards some heavier precipitation after midnight that will be in the form of snow north and sleet or freezing rain south. We will update the blog this evening. Have a safe Friday Night In The Big Town!  We will discuss this storm and the next one around 9 PM tonight....
A Shift North On Storm #1

A Shift North On Storm #1

Good morning bloggers, Here we go again! Another tricky forecast as this storm has now shifted a bit north on the models.  There will be snow, sleet, freezing rain, and freezing drizzle through Saturday morning. Accumulations are likely with over 6 inches possible way up north to a glazing or a dusting farther south. We will have all of the details on 41 Action News today and tonight! Kansas City Weather Time-Line: This morning: light snow north with some accumulation.  There will be a sharp cut-off near KC. Flurries farther south with little or  no accumulation south of Kansas City, but there may be a dusting to a half inch in the KC metro area.  North winds with wind chills near 10 degrees and temperatures in the 20s. This afternoon: Light snow north with flurries or freezing drizzle farther south. There may be some sleet mixed in with some minor accumulation possible under an inch, especially north of KC. Tonight:  Snow increasing north of Kansas City with 2 to 6 inches total likely farther north near Maryville and Trenton. Lighter accumulations farther south. South of I-70 can expect a change to only sleet of freezing light rain or freezing drizzle. Some minor accumulation of an inch or less is possible. Saturday:  A few flurries and very cold. Sunday:  Sunny with increasing clouds later in the day. Monday-Tuesday:  Increasing chance of snow with accumulations likely. Weather Discussion: Yesterday, I showed you this map and I would like to give a great example of how fast things can change.  The 850 mb flow was forecast to be setting up nicely for...
Increasing Chance Of Snow In KC & Super Bowl Sunday Forecast

Increasing Chance Of Snow In KC & Super Bowl Sunday Forecast

Good morning bloggers, From yesterday’s press release “Weather2020 stands by original Super Bowl XLVII Weather Forecast on January 6.  As originally forecasted, Weather 2020 expects warmer air to be drawn into the areas of New York City and New Jersey on Saturday, Feb. 1, causing temperatures to surge into the 40s through the morning of Super Bowl Sunday. A cool down is expected before kickoff but chances for snow remain at zero percent.”  And, here is an excerpt from the National Weather Service in New York City this morning, “With deep southerly flow ahead of the cold front and the slower timing of the passage will allow for warmer air to move in”.  This is why we stand by the statement,”The LRC is the best weather forecasting tool known in the field of meteorology today”. We have “known” that this part of the weather pattern would be cycling through right around Super Bowl Sunday. We made our forecast for this weekend 50 days ago on the Weather 2020 app.  We said there may be some rain and a warm up into the 50s and NO SNOW WILL IMPACT THE SUPER BOWL!  And, this was very different than the message/forecast that got out to the media from other sources.  It may still get into the 50s Sunday ahead of that cold front in East Rutherford! The same pattern that is producing the forecasted east coast warm-up this weekend is going to bring Kansas City a good chance of accumulating snow. There is a series of storm systems that will begin affecting us soon.   If you remember a couple of weeks ago...

Super Bowl Sunday Forecast Is Going To Verify!

Good afternoon Weather2020 fans, Weather2020 made a forecast for the Super Bowl 50 days ago. And, then we had enough confidence in the LRC to send out a press release four weeks ago saying that “Snow will not impact the Super Bowl”, and temperatures may reach into the 50s leading up to the Super Bowl.  Other forecasts, only a few as no one realizes that long range forecasts can be made with any level of accuracy, were calling for a major snow storm on the Super Bowl.  We are still four days away from the Super Bowl. Even a four day forecast is extremely challenging. A 10 to 15 day forecast with any level of accuracy is said to be impossible, but a 50 day forecast? We used to look back, but in the past few years we have been projecting forward showing what the pattern will likely look like and getting it right. Our forecasts aren’t 100% accurate but perhaps around 60%. The LRC helps describe the cycling weather pattern and  is close to that 100% level, perhaps at around 80 to 9o%. It is up to the weather forecaster to use this new technology and make accurate forecasts, just like a seven day forecast is made today.  We “know” what the weather pattern is going to look like. Please go back and look at the blog entry from January 9, 2014:  Super Bowl Forecast Made Four Weeks Ago We had just enough confidence to make this forecast that will likely verify in the next four days. This map, below, shows a surface forecast four days before Super Bowl...